Bathurst Resources Limited (BRL) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$121M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price −14.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 33% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.3600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.2900 – A$1.56 · fair‑value band A$0.2200 – A$0.3600 · the A$0.4300 price screens above the A$0.2900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Bathurst Resources Limited (BRL) currently trades at A$0.4300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.2900, implying the stock looks roughly 32.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Bathurst Resources Limited generated revenue of A$31.2M at a net margin of -23.1%. Revenue declined 46.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$31.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.2200 (bear case) to A$0.3600 (bull case); at A$0.4300, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at -33%, BRL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (A$0.9200) versus Multiples (A$0.2900). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Bathurst Resources Limited engages in the exploration, development, and production of bituminous and coking coal in New Zealand and Canada. The company is involved in steelmaking coal development projects, and the operation of coal mines. It exports coal to Japan, South Korea, India, and China.
Full company description
Bathurst Resources Limited engages in the exploration, development, and production of bituminous and coking coal in New Zealand and Canada. The company is involved in steelmaking coal development projects, and the operation of coal mines. It exports coal to Japan, South Korea, India, and China. It serves the steelmaking, energy generation, agricultural, health, and food manufacturing industries. The company was formerly known as Bathurst Resources (New Zealand) Limited and changed its name to Bathurst Resources Limited in December 2013. Bathurst Resources Limited was founded in 2011 and is based in Wellington, New Zealand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bathurst Resources Limited reported revenue of A$38.5M in FY2025 versus A$44.9M in FY2021, a compound −3.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$4.1M in FY2025, compounding −49.3%/yr from FY2021.
BRL screens 33% overvalued. Compare with PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, →
Peer Group
Coking Coal · 28 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR | 1,515 IDR | 1,267 IDR | -16% |
| Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC | $78.91 | $18.35 | -77% |
| Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 | ¥3.34 | ¥1.24 | -63% |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR | $143.80 | $45.29 | -69% |
| Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 | HK$2.39 | HK$2.34 | -2% |
| Shanxi Coking Co 600740 | ¥3.54 | ¥1.75 | -51% |
| Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 | ¥5.41 | ¥1.72 | -68% |
| Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 | ¥2.63 | ¥1.91 | -27% |
| SunCoke Energy, Inc SXC | $8.37 | $3.67 | -56% |
| Ramaco Resources, Inc METC | $10.18 | $1.80 | -82% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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