Braze, Inc (BRZE) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $3.0B

Below-average quality, and screening another 72% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

57‑month range $15.79 – $94.16 · fair‑value band $5.37 – $9.65 · the $26.54 price screens above the $7.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Braze, Inc (BRZE) currently trades at $26.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.51, implying the stock looks roughly 71.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Braze, Inc generated revenue of $787M at a net margin of -15.5%. Revenue grew 30.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -22.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $41.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.37 (bear case) to $9.65 (bull case); at $26.54, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -72%, BRZE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($14.55) versus Asset-Based ($3.71). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Braze, Inc. operates a customer engagement platform that provides interactions between consumers and brands worldwide. It offers Braze software development kits that automatically manage data ingestion and deliver mobile and web notifications, in-application/in-browser interstitial messages, and content cards; REST API to import or export data or to trigger …

Full company description

Braze, Inc. operates a customer engagement platform that provides interactions between consumers and brands worldwide. It offers Braze software development kits that automatically manage data ingestion and deliver mobile and web notifications, in-application/in-browser interstitial messages, and content cards; REST API to import or export data or to trigger workflows between Braze and brands' existing technology stacks; Partner Data Integrations, that allow brands to sync user cohorts from partners; Data Transformation, in which brands can programmatically sync and transform user data; Braze Cloud Data Ingestion that offers direct connections to cloud services and data warehouses, marketing, product, and growth teams; Braze Currents to stream data in real time; and Snowflake Data Sharing to track and store data. It also provides segmentation that define reusable segments of consumers based upon attributes, events, or predictive propensity scores; segment insights, which allows customers to analyze how segments are performing relative to each other across a set of pre-selected key performance indicators; and predictive suite that allows customers to identify groups of consumers that are of critical business value. In addition, the company offers Canvas, an orchestration tool; campaigns, which allows customers; event and API triggering; marketing pressure management; and reporting and analytics, as well as content generation and quality assurance platform, content management, catalogs, templating language, connected content, and intelligent timing and channel products. Further, it provides decisioning studio; agent console; liquid assistant and AI copywriter; personalized variant; AI item recommendations; and MCP Servers. The company was formerly known as Appboy, Inc. and changed its name to Braze, Inc. in November 2017. Braze, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Braze, Inc reported revenue of $738M in FY2026 versus $238M in FY2022, a compound +32.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$131M in FY2026.

BRZE screens 72% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

• nCino, Braze, ServiceNow, Health Catalyst, and Palo Alto Networks Shares Are Soaring, What You Need To Know Yahoo Finance · Aug 4, 2026
• Is Braze (BRZE) Undervalued Following Insider Selling And 30.2% Revenue Growth? Yahoo Finance · Aug 2, 2026
• Chief Business Officer Sells 51,440 Shares of Braze for $1.4 Million. With the Stock Down 2%, Is It Time to Sell? Nasdaq · Aug 1, 2026
• Why Braze Stock Recovered 15% This Week Nasdaq · Jul 31, 2026

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.