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Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Il · Market cap 336M ILS

BV Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd BVGG · TA
Price6.06 ILS
Fair Value2.95 ILS
Upside-51.3%
Quality35/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -12.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range 1.95 ILS – 3.69 ILS Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price −11.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 51% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.69 ILS). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (1.95 ILS to 3.69 ILS) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (8 months)

8.59 ILS 6.06 ILS Fair Value 2.95 ILS Dec 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

8‑month range 6.06 ILS – 8.59 ILS · fair‑value band 1.95 ILS – 3.69 ILS · the 6.06 ILS price screens above the 2.95 ILS fair value. As of Jul 12, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG) currently trades at 6.06 ILS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.95 ILS, implying the stock looks roughly 51.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd generated revenue of 121M ILS at a net margin of -12.0%. Revenue grew 46.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.0%. Net debt stands at 117M ILS. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.95 ILS (bear case) to 3.69 ILS (bull case); at 6.06 ILS, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at -51%, BVGG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 2.18 ILS 2.93 ILS 4.37 ILS 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.18 ILS 2.93 ILS 4.37 ILS 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 121M ILS
Revenue growth (YoY) +46.0%
Net margin -12.0%
Return on equity -6.0%
Free cash flow −94.1M ILS FY2025
Operating margin -12.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.2700 ILS
Net debt 117M ILS FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 13
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd engages in the initiation, planning, execution, and marketing of real estate projects in Israel. The company also offers evacuation construction, and demolition and construction services. The company was formerly known as BAIT VEGAG GL LTD and changed its name to Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd in April 2022.

Full company description

Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd engages in the initiation, planning, execution, and marketing of real estate projects in Israel. The company also offers evacuation construction, and demolition and construction services. The company was formerly known as BAIT VEGAG GL LTD and changed its name to Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd in April 2022. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in Ramat Hasharon, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd reported revenue of 110M ILS in FY2025 versus 299M ILS in FY2021, a compound −22.2%/yr. Reported net income was −13.7M ILS in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
110M ILS
Latest YoY
−22.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−26.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.1%
Revenue −22.2%/yr
FY21 299M ILS
FY22 272M ILS
FY23 131M ILS
FY24 141M ILS
FY25 110M ILS
Net income
FY21 0 ILS
FY22 9.9M ILS
FY23 −6.4M ILS
FY24 −3.0M ILS
FY25 −13.7M ILS

BVGG screens 51% overvalued. Compare with D.R. Horton, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BVGG

Peer Group

Residential Construction · 65 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −51% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -13% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 46% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.43× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Residential Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.45× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.91× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 51
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 33
HEALTH 79 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Residential Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
D.R. Horton, Inc DHI $149.39 $214.93 +44%
PulteGroup, Inc PHM $124.75 $193.56 +55%
Lennar Corporation LEN $83.89 $146.58 +75%
NVR, Inc NVR $6,479 $7,821 +21%
Toll Brothers, Inc TOL $150.76 $225.76 +50%
Taylor Morrison Home Corporation TMHC $72.13 $144.47 +100%
Installed Building Products, Inc IBP $228.65 $209.51 -8%
Meritage Homes Corporation MTH $73.83 $104.26 +41%
Champion Homes, Inc SKY $82.70 $75.12 -9%
Cavco Industries, Inc CVCO $569.16 $421.10 -26%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.95 ILS versus a price of 6.06 ILS, about −51% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BVGG?
Our model-based fair value for Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd is 2.95 ILS (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 6.06 ILS.
What is the quality score of BVGG?
Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG)?
Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 121M ILS (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BVGG?
The net profit margin of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd is about -12.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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