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Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd ILS 2.95, price ILS 4.91, upside -39.9%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · Il · ISIN IL0011853624

BV Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd

BVGG · TA

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 2.95 ILS · Strongly overvalued (−40%)
!Quality 32/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −2.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -12.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

7.66 ILS 4.91 ILS Fair Value 2.95 ILS Dec 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

10‑month range 4.91 ILS – 7.66 ILS · fair‑value band 1.95 ILS – 3.69 ILS · the 4.91 ILS price screens above the 2.95 ILS fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd engages in the initiation, planning, execution, and marketing of real estate projects in Israel. The company also offers evacuation construction, and demolition and construction services. The company was formerly known as BAIT VEGAG GL LTD and changed its name to Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd in April 2022.

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Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd engages in the initiation, planning, execution, and marketing of real estate projects in Israel. The company also offers evacuation construction, and demolition and construction services. The company was formerly known as BAIT VEGAG GL LTD and changed its name to Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd in April 2022. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in Ramat Hasharon, Israel.

Stock analysis

Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG) currently trades at 4.91 ILS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.95 ILS, implying the stock looks roughly 66.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 1.95 ILS (bear) to 3.69 ILS (bull), the price of 4.91 ILS sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd reported revenue of 110M ILS in FY2025 versus 299M ILS in FY2021, a compound −22.2%/yr. Reported net income was −13.7M ILS in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 301M ILS (≈ $98.8M) · P/S ratio 2.49 · EPS (TTM) −0.2700 ILS · Net margin −12.5% · Return on equity −6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7% · Operating margin −12.8% · Revenue (TTM) 121M ILS.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at −40%, BVGG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1.95 ILS Fair Value 2.95 ILS Bull 3.69 ILS
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 2.18 ILS 2.93 ILS 4.37 ILS 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.18 ILS 2.93 ILS 4.37 ILS 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 13
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 70
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−22.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.1%
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

BVGG screens 66% overvalued. Compare with D.R. Horton, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Residential Construction · 65 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −40% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −13% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 46% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.43× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Residential Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.41× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.82× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 80
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 33
HEALTH (low debt)79 · sector 88
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 71

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Residential Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
D.R. Horton, Inc DHI $140.17 $238.11 +70%
PulteGroup, Inc PHM $118.71 $190.19 +60%
Lennar Corporation LEN $81.52 $117.15 +44%
NVR, Inc NVR $6,242 $8,059 +29%
Toll Brothers, Inc TOL $135.27 $230.52 +70%
Installed Building Products, Inc IBP $211.94 $233.13 +10%
Meritage Homes Corporation MTH $66.40 $103.12 +55%
Champion Homes, Inc SKY $88.84 $97.72 +10%
Cavco Industries, Inc CVCO $558.39 $614.23 +10%
M/I Homes, Inc MHO $142.67 $180.03 +26%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BVGG

Frequently asked questions

Is Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.95 ILS versus a price of 4.91 ILS, about −40% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BVGG?
Our model-based fair value for Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd is 2.95 ILS (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4.91 ILS.
What is the quality score of BVGG?
Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.95 ILS (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.95 ILS, optimistic scenario 3.69 ILS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.95 ILS, about −40% upside versus a price of 4.91 ILS (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.95 ILS, optimistic scenario 3.69 ILS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG)?
Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 121M ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd it is 2.95 ILS per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 4.91 ILS. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BVGG trades above its calculated fair value: price 4.91 ILS, fair value 2.95 ILS, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BVGG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4.91 ILS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.95 ILS). For Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd the two are 1.96 ILS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd worth?
The market values Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd at about 301M ILS (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 4.91 ILS; our models calculate a fair value of 2.95 ILS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BVGG?
Our models span a range for Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd: cautious scenario 1.95 ILS, base 2.95 ILS, optimistic 3.69 ILS per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 4.91 ILS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −6.0%, debt of 0.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value D.R. Horton, Inc, PulteGroup, Inc, Lennar Corporation, NVR, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 4.91 ILS, calculated fair value 2.95 ILS (−40%), Quality Score 32/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BVGG calculated?
We run Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.95 ILS, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 4.91 ILS. Our model-based fair value is 2.95 ILS, about −40% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.69 ILS). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (1.95 ILS to 3.69 ILS) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG)?
The market capitalisation of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd is 301M ILS (≈ $98.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd is 2.49 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG)?
Earnings per share at Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd are −0.2700 ILS. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG)?
The net margin of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd is −12.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd is −6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG)?
The operating margin of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd is −12.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG)?
Revenue at Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd is growing +46.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −26.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG) generate?
The free cash flow of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd is −94.1M ILS (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd (BVGG) carry?
The net debt of Bait Vegag Real Estate Development Ltd is 117M ILS (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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