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Bowman Consulting Group (BWMN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $546M

BC Bowman Consulting Group logo Bowman Consulting Group BWMN · US
Price$27.23
Fair Value$11.87
Upside-56.4%
Quality40/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (1/13)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: High Range $10.51 – $15.21 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $14.67 to $11.87 (−19.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 56% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($15.21). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$44.43 $10.81 Fair Value $11.87 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.81 – $44.43 · fair‑value band $10.51 – $15.21 · the $27.23 price screens above the $11.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Bowman Consulting Group (BWMN) currently trades at $27.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.87, implying the stock looks roughly 56.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Bowman Consulting Group generated revenue of $504M at a net margin of 2.2%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. Net debt stands at $136M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.51 (bear case) to $15.21 (bull case); at $27.23, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -56%, BWMN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $23.02 $39.09 $68.64 80
Residual Income $10.80 $10.80 $9.64 76
Rev-Margin DCF $14.58 $26.73 $49.84 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $24.67 $36.62 $72.34 38
Owner Earnings $25.88 $55.07 $109.23 31
5Y Revenue Exit $14.30 $23.17 $41.55 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $24.89 $44.57 $83.14 41
5Y P/E Exit $14.62 $29.53 $49.04 38
10Y Revenue Exit $17.51 $33.95 $42.64 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $24.95 $54.76 $106.04 37
10Y P/E Exit $18.09 $34.58 $59.86 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.75 $33.12 $46.48 54
Lynch FV $13.05 $18.64 $24.23 50
PEG = 1.0 $13.05 $18.64 $24.23 46
EPV $6.45 $7.51 $8.40 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $10.14 $18.26 $25.14 70
DDM Multi-Stage $10.14 $16.68 $19.51 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.00 $14.67 $18.33 63
P/S Multiple $8.91 $11.87 $14.84 58
P/B Multiple $8.91 $11.87 $14.84 55
EV/EBIT $12.45 $17.04 $21.64 53
EV/EBITDA $24.55 $33.18 $41.80 54
EV/Revenue $8.51 $12.72 $16.94 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.46 $9.99 $14.91 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $23.02 $39.09 $68.64 80
Rev-Margin DCF $14.58 $26.73 $49.84 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.80 $10.80 $9.64 76
ROIC Compounder $6.45 $7.51 $8.40 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $16.48 $23.54 $30.60 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($34.58) versus Economic Profit ($7.51). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $504M
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.0%
Net margin 2.2%
Return on equity 4.4%
Free cash flow $33.4M FY2025
P/E ratio 50.3
More key figures
Operating margin -0.2%
EPS (TTM) $0.6200
EPS growth (YoY) -67.2%
Net debt $136M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 32
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 21
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd., provides engineering, technical consulting, and program management services in the United States. The company offers planning, engineering, program management, commissioning, environmental consulting, geospatial imaging, surveying, land procurement, and other infrastructure management services.

Full company description

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd., provides engineering, technical consulting, and program management services in the United States. The company offers planning, engineering, program management, commissioning, environmental consulting, geospatial imaging, surveying, land procurement, and other infrastructure management services. It also provides site and civil design and planning, structural engineering, landscape architecture, mechanical, electrical and plumbing, fire prevention engineering, construction management, procurement and oversight, program and asset management, and environmental consulting; LNG pipeline systems, power generation facility design, utility undergrounding, grid resiliency planning, mission critical planning, data center feasibility and design, bridging power design and procurement, utility scale on-site energization, grid interconnect engineering, and transmission corridor design; and road, highway and bridge design, ports and harbors engineering, asset controls, aviation facility engineering, logistics management, bridge inspections and underwater assessments, easement acquisition, and ADA compliance and certifications solutions. In addition, the company offers ALTA boundary, topographic, route, and land title surveys, as well as right of way mapping and underground utility location services; drone inspection of transmission lines, high altitude aerial orthoimaging, laser scanning and LiDAR imaging, reality capture, GIS map, digital underwater scanning and survey, marine asset condition assessment, and hydrology and geoscience; and land services. Further, it provides digital delivery and advisory services, such as GIS-enabled asset control kits, AI-enabled feasibility and due diligence studies, asset conditions monitoring and controls, predictive lifecycle cost analysis, rate studies, and interactive digital twin. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bowman Consulting Group reported revenue of $490M in FY2025 versus $150M in FY2021, a compound +34.4%/yr. Reported net income was $12.2M in FY2025, compounding +152.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$490M
Latest YoY
+14.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+23.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+32.1%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+27.6%
Revenue +34.4%/yr
FY21 $150M
FY22 $262M
FY23 $346M
FY24 $427M
FY25 $490M
Net income +152.9%/yr
FY21 $299K
FY22 $5.0M
FY23 −$6.6M
FY24 $2.8M
FY25 $12.2M

BWMN screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bowman Consulting Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BWMN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Below median
Fair Value upside −56% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 50.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.09× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.08× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 16.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 60 · sector 18
PAST 18 · sector 26
HEALTH 93 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bowman Consulting Group (BWMN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.87 versus a price of $27.23, about −56% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BWMN?
Our model-based fair value for Bowman Consulting Group is $11.87 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $27.23.
What is the quality score of BWMN?
Bowman Consulting Group has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bowman Consulting Group (BWMN)?
Bowman Consulting Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $504M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BWMN?
The net profit margin of Bowman Consulting Group is about 2.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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