Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd $23.54, price $42.56, upside -44.7%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Bowman Consulting Group Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.81 – $44.43 · fair‑value band $16.48 – $30.60 · the $42.56 price screens above the $23.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Follow Bowman Consulting Group in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Bowman Consulting Group is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Bowman Consulting Group Ltd., provides engineering, technical consulting, and program management services in the United States. The company offers planning, engineering, program management, commissioning, environmental consulting, geospatial imaging, surveying, land procurement, and other infrastructure management services.
Show more
Bowman Consulting Group Ltd., provides engineering, technical consulting, and program management services in the United States. The company offers planning, engineering, program management, commissioning, environmental consulting, geospatial imaging, surveying, land procurement, and other infrastructure management services. It also provides site and civil design and planning, structural engineering, landscape architecture, mechanical, electrical and plumbing, fire prevention engineering, construction management, procurement and oversight, program and asset management, and environmental consulting; LNG pipeline systems, power generation facility design, utility undergrounding, grid resiliency planning, mission critical planning, data center feasibility and design, bridging power design and procurement, utility scale on-site energization, grid interconnect engineering, and transmission corridor design; and road, highway and bridge design, ports and harbors engineering, asset controls, aviation facility engineering, logistics management, bridge inspections and underwater assessments, easement acquisition, and ADA compliance and certifications solutions. In addition, the company offers ALTA boundary, topographic, route, and land title surveys, as well as right of way mapping and underground utility location services; drone inspection of transmission lines, high altitude aerial orthoimaging, laser scanning and LiDAR imaging, reality capture, GIS map, digital underwater scanning and survey, marine asset condition assessment, and hydrology and geoscience; and land services. Further, it provides digital delivery and advisory services, such as GIS-enabled asset control kits, AI-enabled feasibility and due diligence studies, asset conditions monitoring and controls, predictive lifecycle cost analysis, rate studies, and interactive digital twin. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
Stock analysis
Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN) currently trades at $42.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.54, implying the stock looks roughly 80.8% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $39.08 per share, and 5 of the 24 models we run sit above the $42.56 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $7.51, and 19 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $16.48 (bear) to $30.60 (bull), the price of $42.56 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Bowman Consulting Group Ltd reported revenue of $490M in FY2025 versus $150M in FY2021, a compound +34.4%/yr. Reported net income was $12.2M in FY2025, compounding +152.9%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $713M · P/E ratio 68.6 · P/S ratio 1.71 · EPS (TTM) $0.6200 · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 4.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0% · Operating margin −0.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −45%, BWMN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $16.48Fair Value $23.54Bull $30.60
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4535 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.6%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +43.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+43.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 4%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 143% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+16.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +17.4% a year for the price and +13.7% for the forecasts.
Compare Bowman Consulting Group Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 836 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Below median
Fair Value upside−45% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth12% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)68.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.73× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)1.42× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF21.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA15.7× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)60· sector 11
PAST (return on equity)18· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)93· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 41
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bowman Consulting Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BWMN
Frequently asked questions
Is Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $23.54 versus a price of $42.56, about −45% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BWMN?
Our model-based fair value for Bowman Consulting Group Ltd is $23.54 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $42.56.
What is the quality score of BWMN?
Bowman Consulting Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $23.54 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $16.48, optimistic scenario $30.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bowman Consulting Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $23.54, about −45% upside versus a price of $42.56 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $16.48, optimistic scenario $30.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN)?
Bowman Consulting Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $504M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bowman Consulting Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +20.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +32.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BWMN use?
Our models discount Bowman Consulting Group Ltd at 12.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.33, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bowman Consulting Group Ltd that is +20.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bowman Consulting Group Ltd grew +32.1 % a year. The price currently implies +20.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (+20.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.69 %: that much free cash flow Bowman Consulting Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bowman Consulting Group Ltd it is $23.54 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $42.56. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bowman Consulting Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, BWMN trades above its calculated fair value: price $42.56, fair value $23.54, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BWMN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($42.56); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($23.54). For Bowman Consulting Group Ltd the two are $19.02 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bowman Consulting Group Ltd worth?
The market values Bowman Consulting Group Ltd at about $713M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $42.56; our models calculate a fair value of $23.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BWMN?
Our models span a range for Bowman Consulting Group Ltd: cautious scenario $16.48, base $23.54, optimistic $30.60 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $42.56). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BWMN?
Bowman Consulting Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 68.6 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $23.54 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.7, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 15.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 4.4%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BWMN from its 52-week high?
Bowman Consulting Group Ltd trades at $42.56, about 4% below its 52-week high of $44.43 and 68% above the low of $25.31 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $23.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bowman Consulting Group Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bowman Consulting Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $42.56, calculated fair value $23.54 (−45%), Quality Score 40/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BWMN calculated?
We run Bowman Consulting Group Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $23.54, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Bowman Consulting Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $42.56. Our model-based fair value is $23.54, about −45% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bowman Consulting Group Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($30.60). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($16.48 to $30.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN)?
The market capitalisation of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd is $713M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd is 1.71 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN)?
Earnings per share at Bowman Consulting Group Ltd are $0.6200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 68.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN)?
The net margin of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd is 2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd is 4.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd is 1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN)?
The operating margin of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd is −0.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN)?
Revenue at Bowman Consulting Group Ltd is growing +12.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN)?
Earnings per share at Bowman Consulting Group Ltd are growing −67.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Bowman Consulting Group Ltd (BWMN) carry?
The net debt of Bowman Consulting Group Ltd is $136M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Bowman Consulting Group Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Bowman Consulting Group Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Some data
Sep 23, 2026