Bowman Consulting Group (BWMN) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $546M
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $14.67 to $11.87 (−19.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 56% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($15.21). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.81 – $44.43 · fair‑value band $10.51 – $15.21 · the $27.23 price screens above the $11.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Bowman Consulting Group (BWMN) currently trades at $27.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.87, implying the stock looks roughly 56.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Bowman Consulting Group generated revenue of $504M at a net margin of 2.2%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. Net debt stands at $136M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $10.51 (bear case) to $15.21 (bull case); at $27.23, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -56%, BWMN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($34.58) versus Economic Profit ($7.51). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Bowman Consulting Group Ltd., provides engineering, technical consulting, and program management services in the United States. The company offers planning, engineering, program management, commissioning, environmental consulting, geospatial imaging, surveying, land procurement, and other infrastructure management services.
Full company description
Bowman Consulting Group Ltd., provides engineering, technical consulting, and program management services in the United States. The company offers planning, engineering, program management, commissioning, environmental consulting, geospatial imaging, surveying, land procurement, and other infrastructure management services. It also provides site and civil design and planning, structural engineering, landscape architecture, mechanical, electrical and plumbing, fire prevention engineering, construction management, procurement and oversight, program and asset management, and environmental consulting; LNG pipeline systems, power generation facility design, utility undergrounding, grid resiliency planning, mission critical planning, data center feasibility and design, bridging power design and procurement, utility scale on-site energization, grid interconnect engineering, and transmission corridor design; and road, highway and bridge design, ports and harbors engineering, asset controls, aviation facility engineering, logistics management, bridge inspections and underwater assessments, easement acquisition, and ADA compliance and certifications solutions. In addition, the company offers ALTA boundary, topographic, route, and land title surveys, as well as right of way mapping and underground utility location services; drone inspection of transmission lines, high altitude aerial orthoimaging, laser scanning and LiDAR imaging, reality capture, GIS map, digital underwater scanning and survey, marine asset condition assessment, and hydrology and geoscience; and land services. Further, it provides digital delivery and advisory services, such as GIS-enabled asset control kits, AI-enabled feasibility and due diligence studies, asset conditions monitoring and controls, predictive lifecycle cost analysis, rate studies, and interactive digital twin. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bowman Consulting Group reported revenue of $490M in FY2025 versus $150M in FY2021, a compound +34.4%/yr. Reported net income was $12.2M in FY2025, compounding +152.9%/yr from FY2021.
BWMN screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- How Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) Connects Data Center Growth to Site Engineering and Liquid-Cooling Design
- Bowman Selected to Lead Waterside Infrastructure Design for PhilaPort’s $50 Million Cruise Terminal Capital Program
- How The Bowman Consulting Group (BWMN) Narrative Is Evolving With New Growth And Valuation Assumptions
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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