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Advanced Blockchain AG (BWQ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Aug 6, 2026: fair value of Advanced Blockchain AG €0.35, price €1.37, upside -74.5%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · DE · ISIN DE000A0M93V6

AB Thin data Oct 2, 2026

Advanced Blockchain AG

BWQ · XETRA

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value €0.3500 · Strongly overvalued (−74.5%)
!Quality 38/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −22.8 %/yr)
!Moderate debt
!Moderate moat 51/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

€3.55 €1.01 Fair Value €0.3500 Apr 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

15‑month range €1.01 – €3.55 · fair‑value band €0.2300 – €0.4300 · the €1.37 price screens above the €0.3500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

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Company profile

Advanced Blockchain AG operates as an exchange-traded blockchain venture studio.

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Advanced Blockchain AG operates as an exchange-traded blockchain venture studio. It's investment portfolio includes Polkadot, a web 3.0 blockchain interoperability platform; Element Finance, an open-source protocol for fixed and variable yield markets; Neon Labs, an ethereum virtual machine on Solana; Obol Network, a staking infrastructure provider built; Energy Web Foundation that promotes value creation in energy sector; and Mero, a reactive liquidity platform. The company also offers Arweave that enables permanent storage of images, websites, and other features; Manta Network, a privacy-preserving protocol; Fractal, an open-source protocol for exchanging data; FinPro, accessible investment platform; Tracebloc, a blockchain and machine learning platform; Stela Labs, a smart contract auditing firm; Nakamo.to, a Web 3.0 research platform; SigmaDex and Apricot Finance, a self-stabilizing, community driven and game theory; and zCloak Network, a privacy and scalability for Web 3.0. In addition, it provides Talisman, a multi-chain wallet; Sentinel dVPN, an open-sourced and decentralized VPN; SDG Exchange, an asset marketplace; Polymer, a multi-chain infrastructure DAO; NEAR, a smart contract platform; Moxy, a decentralized gaming studio; Fragcolor, an interoperable gaming protocol; Myso Finance, a zero-liquidation loans; Forest Park, a system for institutional lending organizations; Maverick, a decentralized leveraged trading platform; Alluo, a cross-chain yield optimization and liquidity direction protocol; and Contango, an expirable futures without order books. Further, its incubation portfolio includes Composable Finance, a modular-first DeFi suite; Panoptic enables trade options on any asset pool in the Uniswap v3; Peaq, a Layer-1 blockchain; Warp Finance, a LP-token based stabelcoin loans; Instrumental Finance, a cross-layer and cross-chain strategy hub; and Quasar, an interchain asset management. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Berlin, Germany.

Stock analysis

Advanced Blockchain AG (BWQ) currently trades at €1.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.3500, 74.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 89/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: €0.2300 (bear) to €0.4300 (bull), the price of €1.37 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Advanced Blockchain AG reported revenue of €311K in FY2025 versus €1.1M in FY2020, a compound −22.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€3.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €15.9M · P/E ratio 8.6 · EPS (TTM) €0.4900 · Return on equity 20.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0% · Operating margin 14.4% · Revenue (TTM) −€7.3M · Revenue growth (YoY) −94.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −75%, BWQ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €0.2300 Fair Value €0.3500 Bull €0.4300
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.3705 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) €0.2100 €0.2800 €0.4200 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.2100 €0.2800 €0.4200 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 5

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 11
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−72.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−4.9% (2020) → −1,052.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

BWQ screens overvalued: fair value 75% below the price. Compare with SAP SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 687 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −71.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 20.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets −31.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0.0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 14.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −94.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.56× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 3.42× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €186.74 €172.46 −8%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $229.57 $342.73 +49%
Shopify Inc SHOP $144.01 $64.36 −55%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $134.01 $147.41 +10%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $69.36 $103.69 +49%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $330.31 $74.36 −77%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $261.80 $150.01 −43%
Adobe Inc ADBE $239.94 $454.04 +89%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $268.70 $32.52 −88%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $326.70 $225.48 −31%

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Advanced Blockchain AG · Fair Value
€0.3500 −75%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Advanced Blockchain AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BWQ

Frequently asked questions

Is Advanced Blockchain AG (BWQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.3500 versus the last price from Aug 6, 2026 of €1.37, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BWQ?
Our model-based fair value for Advanced Blockchain AG is €0.3500 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Aug 6, 2026): €1.37.
What is the quality score of BWQ?
Advanced Blockchain AG has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Advanced Blockchain AG (BWQ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.3500 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.2300, optimistic scenario €0.4300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Advanced Blockchain AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.3500, about −75% upside versus the last price from Aug 6, 2026 of €1.37 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.2300, optimistic scenario €0.4300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Advanced Blockchain AG (BWQ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Advanced Blockchain AG it is €0.3500 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of €1.37. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Advanced Blockchain AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, BWQ trades above its calculated fair value: price €1.37, fair value €0.3500, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BWQ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.37); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.3500). For Advanced Blockchain AG the two are €1.02 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Advanced Blockchain AG worth?
The market values Advanced Blockchain AG at about €15.9M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is €1.37; our models calculate a fair value of €0.3500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BWQ?
Our models span a range for Advanced Blockchain AG: cautious scenario €0.2300, base €0.3500, optimistic €0.4300 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price €1.37). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BWQ?
Advanced Blockchain AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.6 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €0.3500 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Advanced Blockchain AG (BWQ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Advanced Blockchain AG (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 20.9%, debt of 0.56 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BWQ from its 52-week high?
Advanced Blockchain AG trades at €1.37, about 61% below its 52-week high of €3.55 and 36% above the low of €1.01 (as of Aug 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.3500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Advanced Blockchain AG?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Advanced Blockchain AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price €1.37, calculated fair value €0.3500 (−75%), Quality Score 38/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BWQ calculated?
We run Advanced Blockchain AG through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.3500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Advanced Blockchain AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Advanced Blockchain AG (BWQ)?
The latest price we hold is from Aug 6, 2026 and stands at €1.37. Our model-based fair value is €0.3500, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Advanced Blockchain AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.4300). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (€0.2300 to €0.4300) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Advanced Blockchain AG

How large is the market capitalisation of Advanced Blockchain AG (BWQ)?
The market capitalisation of Advanced Blockchain AG is €15.9M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Advanced Blockchain AG (BWQ)?
Earnings per share at Advanced Blockchain AG are €0.4900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Advanced Blockchain AG (BWQ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Advanced Blockchain AG is 20.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Advanced Blockchain AG (BWQ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Advanced Blockchain AG is 2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Advanced Blockchain AG (BWQ)?
The operating margin of Advanced Blockchain AG is 14.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does Advanced Blockchain AG (BWQ) generate?
Advanced Blockchain AG generates revenue of −€7.3M (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at Advanced Blockchain AG (BWQ)?
Revenue at Advanced Blockchain AG is growing −94.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −73.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Advanced Blockchain AG (BWQ)?
Earnings per share at Advanced Blockchain AG are growing −46.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Advanced Blockchain AG (BWQ) carry?
The net debt of Advanced Blockchain AG is €2.9M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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