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Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · TR

BR Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Baydoner Restoranlari A.S.

BYDNR · IS

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

Fair value 60.63 TRY · Strongly undervalued (+138%)
!Quality 34/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +90.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Narrow moat 20/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 21 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

63.39 TRY 18.15 TRY Fair Value 60.63 TRY Aug 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

37‑month range 18.15 TRY – 63.39 TRY · fair‑value band 45.45 TRY – 75.82 TRY · the 25.52 TRY price screens below the 60.63 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. operates, manages, and franchises chain of restaurants in Turkey and Iraq. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Izmir, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR) currently trades at 25.52 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 60.63 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 57.9% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 61.95 TRY per share, and 1 of the 4 models we run sit above the 25.52 TRY price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 11.12 TRY, and 3 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 45.45 TRY (bear) to 75.82 TRY (bull), the price of 25.52 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. reported revenue of 4.0B TRY in FY2025 versus 279M TRY in FY2021, a compound +94.2%/yr. Reported net income was −101M TRY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.3B TRY (≈ $66.7M) · P/S ratio 0.81 · EPS (TTM) −0.9700 TRY · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin −2.5% · Return on equity −5.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0% · Operating margin 1.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 138%, BYDNR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 45.45 TRY Fair Value 60.63 TRY Bull 75.82 TRY
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA 46.76 TRY 61.95 TRY 77.13 TRY 67
DDM Multi-Stage 6.46 TRY 11.12 TRY 13.59 TRY 65
Gordon GGM 6.46 TRY 12.87 TRY 19.49 TRY 64
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 6.46 TRY 12.87 TRY 19.49 TRY 64
DDM Multi-Stage 6.46 TRY 11.12 TRY 13.59 TRY 65
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 46.76 TRY 61.95 TRY 77.13 TRY 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.73 TRY 11.70 TRY 17.47 TRY 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.9%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.8%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+90.7%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−4.1% (2020) → −6.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 221 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +70% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.05× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.05× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 41
FUTURE (revenue growth)21 · sector 18
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)38 · sector 68

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCD $252.78 $149.03 −41%
Starbucks Corporation SBUX $96.58 $35.83 −63%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG $33.68 $37.05 +10%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $137.96 $58.17 −58%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR C$106.75 C$100.88 −5%
Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI $208.08 $173.68 −17%
Yum China Holdings YUMC $41.36 $49.95 +21%
Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH $170.07 $128.38 −25%
Dutch Bros Inc BROS $41.37 $12.80 −69%
Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ $301.30 $227.31 −25%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BYDNR

Frequently asked questions

Is Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 60.63 TRY versus a price of 25.52 TRY, about +138% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BYDNR?
Our model-based fair value for Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. is 60.63 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 25.52 TRY.
What is the quality score of BYDNR?
Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 60.63 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario 45.45 TRY, optimistic scenario 75.82 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 60.63 TRY, about +138% upside versus a price of 25.52 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 45.45 TRY, optimistic scenario 75.82 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR)?
Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.0B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. pay a dividend?
Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.90% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. it is 60.63 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 25.52 TRY. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, BYDNR trades below its calculated fair value: price 25.52 TRY, fair value 60.63 TRY, a gap of about +138% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BYDNR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (25.52 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (60.63 TRY). For Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. the two are 35.11 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. worth?
The market values Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. at about 3.3B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 25.52 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 60.63 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BYDNR?
Our models span a range for Baydoner Restoranlari A.S.: cautious scenario 45.45 TRY, base 60.63 TRY, optimistic 75.82 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 25.52 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −5.7%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BYDNR from its 52-week high?
Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. trades at 25.52 TRY, about 46% below its 52-week high of 46.88 TRY and 31% above the low of 19.50 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 60.63 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Baydoner Restoranlari A.S.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 25.52 TRY, calculated fair value 60.63 TRY (+138%), Quality Score 34/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BYDNR calculated?
We run Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 60.63 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. currently trades 138 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was 25.52 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 60.63 TRY, about +138% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (45.45 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S.

How large is the market capitalisation of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR)?
The market capitalisation of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. is 3.3B TRY (≈ $66.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. is 0.81 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR)?
Earnings per share at Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. are −0.9700 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR)?
The dividend yield of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. is 1.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR)?
The net margin of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. is −2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. is −5.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR)?
The operating margin of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR)?
Revenue at Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. is growing +4.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +36.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR)?
Earnings per share at Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. are growing −62.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR) generate?
The free cash flow of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. is −311M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR) carry?
The net debt of Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. is 9.2M TRY (fiscal year 2020). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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