Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TR · Market cap 3.3B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +1.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 70% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (49.25 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
35‑month range 18.15 TRY – 63.39 TRY · fair‑value band 49.25 TRY – 82.15 TRY · the 38.74 TRY price screens below the 65.70 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
Analysis
Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. (BYDNR) currently trades at 38.74 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 65.70 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 69.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. generated revenue of 4.0B TRY at a net margin of -2.1%. Revenue grew 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.7%. Net debt stands at 9.2M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 49.25 TRY (bear case) to 82.15 TRY (bull case); at 38.74 TRY, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 99% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 70%, BYDNR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (67.01 TRY) versus Dividend Discount (11.12 TRY). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. operates, manages, and franchises chain of restaurants in Turkey and Iraq. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Izmir, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Baydoner Restoranlari A.S. reported revenue of 4.0B TRY in FY2025 versus 279M TRY in FY2021, a compound +94.2%/yr. Reported net income was −101M TRY in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Restaurants · 231 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $105.49 | $35.83 | -66% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $34.63 | $18.43 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $163.54 | $59.66 | -64% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.19 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $195.74 | $173.68 | -11% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $43.90 | $55.10 | +26% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $197.03 | $104.89 | -47% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $68.36 | $12.80 | -81% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $322.18 | $231.96 | -28% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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