Bystronic AG (BYS) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CH · Market cap CHF 281M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from CHF 37.27 to CHF 32.95 (−11.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −0.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 76% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 35.97). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 125.40 – CHF 1,161 · fair‑value band CHF 30.89 – CHF 35.97 · the CHF 138.60 price screens above the CHF 32.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Bystronic AG (BYS) currently trades at CHF 138.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 32.95, implying the stock looks roughly 76.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Bystronic AG generated revenue of CHF 613M at a net margin of -4.7%. Revenue declined 2.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of CHF 178M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 30.89 (bear case) to CHF 35.97 (bull case); at CHF 138.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -76%, BYS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (CHF 218.95) versus Dividend Discount (CHF 33.92). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Bystronic AG, through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of sheet metal processing solutions for laser cutting technology, press brakes, automation, and software applications in Switzerland.
Full company description
Bystronic AG, through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of sheet metal processing solutions for laser cutting technology, press brakes, automation, and software applications in Switzerland. It offers laser cutting machine, laser automation, press brakes, bending automation, and tube laser cutting solutions under the ByCut, ByStar, BySmart, ByTube, ByTrans, BySort, Byloader, ByTower, Xpert, ByBend, Xpress, and DNE brands. The company also provides customer advisory, and machine and software training services; parts, tools and consumables; power upgrades; and ByCare services. It sells its products through a network of dealers and agents in approximately 30 countries, including Europe, North America, and Asia. The company was formerly known as Conzzeta AG and changed its name to Bystronic AG in May 2021. Bystronic AG was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Niederönz, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bystronic AG reported revenue of CHF 613M in FY2025 versus CHF 939M in FY2021, a compound −10.1%/yr. Reported net income was −CHF 28.9M in FY2025.
BYS screens 76% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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