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Colonial Coal International Corp (CAD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Colonial Coal International Corp is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Price below fair value? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · CA · ISIN CA1956151098

CC

Colonial Coal International Corp

CAD · V
Evidence: Low As of: Sep 12, 2026
PriceC$2.10
Fair ValueC$0.0300
Upside−98.6%
Quality55/100

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value C$0.0300 · Strongly overvalued (−99%)
!Quality 55/100 (market factors 40, not scored)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/6)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$3.58 C$0.5400 Fair Value C$0.0300 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.5400 – C$3.58 · fair‑value band C$0.0200 – C$0.0400 · the C$2.10 price screens above the C$0.0300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 12, 2026.

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Company profile

Colonial Coal International Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of coal properties in Canada.

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Colonial Coal International Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of coal properties in Canada. The company owns a 100% interest in the Huguenot Property consists of seventeen licenses covering an area of approximately 9,531 hectares located in the Liard Mining Division, northeastern British Columbia; and in the Flatbed Property comprising eight coal licenses covering approximately an area of 9,607 hectares located in the Liard Mining Division, northeastern British Columbia. Colonial Coal International Corp. is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

Colonial Coal International Corp (CAD) currently trades at C$2.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0300, implying the stock looks roughly 6,893.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: C$0.0200 (bear) to C$0.0400 (bull), the price of C$2.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Colonial Coal International Corp reported revenue of C$0 in FY2024 versus C$0 in FY2020. Reported net income was −C$5.6M in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap C$381M (≈ $275M) · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0300 · Return on equity −19.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −29.0% · Free cash flow −C$1.8M · Net cash C$3.6M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −60% fair-value upside, at −99%, CAD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0225 C$0.0300 C$0.0450 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0225 C$0.0300 C$0.0450 51

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Key figures & financial health

Market cap C$381M (≈ $275M)
EPS (TTM) C$−0.0300
Return on equity −19.4% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −29.0% avg 5y
Free cash flow −C$1.8M FY2024
Net cash C$3.6M FY2023

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 27
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 61
Buybacks instead of dilution

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Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Colonial Coal International Corp reported revenue of C$0 in FY2024 versus C$0 in FY2020. Reported net income was −C$5.6M in FY2024.

Revenue
FY20 C$0
FY21 C$0
FY22 C$0
FY23 C$0
FY24 C$0
Net income
FY20 −C$2.2M
FY21 −C$1.6M
FY22 −C$9.6M
FY23 −C$8.3M
FY24 −C$5.6M

CAD screens 6,893% overvalued. Compare with PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Colonial Coal International Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CAD.V

Peer Group

Coking Coal · 27 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −12% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/B 13.72× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal

Similar stocks

10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR 1,645 IDR 965.36 IDR −41%
Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC $104.45 $18.35 −82%
Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 ¥3.62 ¥1.24 −66%
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR $225.41 $45.15 −80%
Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 HK$2.68 HK$2.34 −13%
Shanxi Coking Co 600740 ¥3.59 ¥1.75 −51%
Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 ¥5.51 ¥1.72 −69%
Ramaco Resources, Inc METC $12.28 $1.80 −85%
Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 ¥2.66 ¥1.32 −50%
SunCoke Energy, Inc SXC $9.14 $3.67 −60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Colonial Coal International Corp (CAD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.0300 versus a price of C$2.10, about −99% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CAD?
Our model-based fair value for Colonial Coal International Corp is C$0.0300 (as of Sep 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$2.10.
What is the quality score of CAD?
Colonial Coal International Corp has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Colonial Coal International Corp (CAD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.0300 (as of Sep 12, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0200, optimistic scenario C$0.0400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Colonial Coal International Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.0300, about −99% upside versus a price of C$2.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.0200, optimistic scenario C$0.0400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the net profit margin of CAD?
The net profit margin of Colonial Coal International Corp is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
What is the intrinsic value of Colonial Coal International Corp (CAD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Colonial Coal International Corp it is C$0.0300 per share (as of Sep 12, 2026), against a price of C$2.10. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Colonial Coal International Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 12, 2026, CAD trades above its calculated fair value: price C$2.10, fair value C$0.0300, a gap of about −99% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CAD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$2.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.0300). For Colonial Coal International Corp the two are C$2.07 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Colonial Coal International Corp worth?
The market values Colonial Coal International Corp at about C$381M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 12, 2026). Per share that is C$2.10; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.0300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CAD?
Our models span a range for Colonial Coal International Corp: cautious scenario C$0.0200, base C$0.0300, optimistic C$0.0400 per share (as of Sep 12, 2026, price C$2.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Colonial Coal International Corp (CAD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Colonial Coal International Corp (as of Sep 12, 2026): return on equity −19.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CAD from its 52-week high?
Colonial Coal International Corp trades at C$2.10, about 43% below its 52-week high of C$3.70 and 64% above the low of C$1.28 (as of Sep 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.0300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Colonial Coal International Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk,, Warrior Met Coal, Inc, Shanxi Meijin Energy Co, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Colonial Coal International Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 12, 2026: price C$2.10, calculated fair value C$0.0300 (−99%), Quality Score 55/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CAD calculated?
We run Colonial Coal International Corp through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.0300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 31.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Colonial Coal International Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
What should I pay attention to with Colonial Coal International Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.0400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (C$0.0200 to C$0.0400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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