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Carter Bankshares, Inc (CARE) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $688M

CB Carter Bankshares, Inc logo Carter Bankshares, Inc CARE · US
Price$33.00
Fair Value$18.35
Upside-44.4%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 41.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Wide moat 76/100
Evidence: High Range $13.76 – $22.93 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +4.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 44% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($22.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$35.72 $10.11 Fair Value $18.35 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.11 – $35.72 · fair‑value band $13.76 – $22.93 · the $33.00 price screens above the $18.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Carter Bankshares, Inc (CARE) currently trades at $33.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.35, implying the stock looks roughly 44.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Carter Bankshares, Inc generated revenue of $259M at a net margin of 41.8%. Revenue grew 260.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.9%. Net debt stands at $73.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $13.76 (bear case) to $22.93 (bull case); at $33.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 103% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -44%, CARE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $14.57 $15.10 $15.40 76
P/E Multiple $13.76 $18.35 $22.93 63
P/B Multiple $17.99 $23.99 $29.99 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $13.76 $18.35 $22.93 63
P/B Multiple $17.99 $23.99 $29.99 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.44 $12.65 $18.89 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $14.57 $15.10 $15.40 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($18.35) versus Asset-Based ($12.65). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $259M
Revenue growth (YoY) +260%
Net margin 41.8%
Return on equity 23.9%
Free cash flow $31.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 6.4
More key figures
Operating margin 79.1%
EPS (TTM) $4.87
EPS growth (YoY) +901%
Net debt $73.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 93

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 7
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 95
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Carter Bankshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Carter Bank & Trust that provides various retail and commercial banking products and insurance services in the United States. It offers various deposit products, including checking, savings, retirement, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit.

Full company description

Carter Bankshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Carter Bank & Trust that provides various retail and commercial banking products and insurance services in the United States. It offers various deposit products, including checking, savings, retirement, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit. The company also provides commercial loans, such as secured and unsecured, real estate construction and acquisition, and commercial and industrial loans; consumer loans, such as automobiles, home improvements, education, overdraft protection, and personal, and residential mortgages loans; home equity lines of credit; and credit cards, as well as originates and holds fixed and variable rate mortgage loans. In addition, it offers other banking services that include safe deposit boxes, direct deposit of payroll, social security checks, and debit cards; online banking products, including online and mobile banking, online account opening, bill payment, electronic statement, mobile deposit, Zelle, credit monitoring tools, digital wallet, MoneyPass, and ATM services; title insurance and other financial institution-related products and services; and treasury and corporate cash management services. Carter Bankshares, Inc. was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Martinsville, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Carter Bankshares, Inc reported revenue of $255M in FY2025 versus $156M in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was $31.4M in FY2025, compounding −0.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 89/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$255M
Latest YoY
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+13.9%
Revenue +13.0%/yr
FY21 $156M
FY22 $179M
FY23 $212M
FY24 $240M
FY25 $255M
Net income −0.2%/yr
FY21 $31.6M
FY22 $50.1M
FY23 $23.4M
FY24 $24.5M
FY25 $31.4M

CARE screens 44% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Carter Bankshares, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CARE

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −44% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 42% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 79% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 260% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.43× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.64× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.66× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 21.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 15.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 39
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 95 · sector 41
HEALTH 79 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Carter Bankshares, Inc (CARE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.35 versus a price of $33.00, about −44% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CARE?
Our model-based fair value for Carter Bankshares, Inc is $18.35 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $33.00.
What is the quality score of CARE?
Carter Bankshares, Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Carter Bankshares, Inc (CARE)?
Carter Bankshares, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $259M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CARE?
The net profit margin of Carter Bankshares, Inc is about 41.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 41.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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