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Canagold Resources Ltd (CCM) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$111M

CR Canagold Resources Ltd CCM · TO
PriceC$0.5600
Fair ValueC$0.1100
Upside-80.4%
Quality26/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/8)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range C$0.0800 – C$0.1600 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +7.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 80% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.1600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (C$0.0800 to C$0.1600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$0.7400 C$0.1800 Fair Value C$0.1100 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.1800 – C$0.7400 · fair‑value band C$0.0800 – C$0.1600 · the C$0.5600 price screens above the C$0.1100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Canagold Resources Ltd (CCM) currently trades at C$0.5600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.1100, implying the stock looks roughly 80.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

It earns a return on equity of -7.0%. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$0.0800 (bear case) to C$0.1600 (bull case); at C$0.5600, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -80%, CCM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0800 C$0.1100 C$0.1600 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0800 C$0.1100 C$0.1600 50

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Key figures & financial health

Return on equity -7.0%
Free cash flow −C$5.1M FY2025
EPS (TTM) C$-0.0100
Net cash C$718K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Canagold Resources Ltd. engages in the evaluation, acquisition, exploration, and development of natural resource properties in the United States and Canada. It explores for gold and silver deposits.

Full company description

Canagold Resources Ltd. engages in the evaluation, acquisition, exploration, and development of natural resource properties in the United States and Canada. It explores for gold and silver deposits. The company holds 100% interest in the New Polaris project that consist of 61 crown granted mineral claims and 1 modified grid claim covering an area of approximately 2,956 acres located at Tulsequah River Valley; Corral Canyon property located at Nevada in the United States; and the Windfall Hills project consists of the Atna properties, comprising 2 mineral claims covering 959 hectares and the Dunn properties, comprising 8 mineral claims covering 2820 hectares located south of Burns Lake. The company was formerly known as Canarc Resource Corp. and changed its name to Canagold Resources Ltd. in December 2020. Canagold Resources Ltd. was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Canagold Resources Ltd reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$2.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2017)
C$14.0K
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.6%
Revenue
FY21 C$0
FY22 C$0
FY23 C$0
FY24 C$0
FY25 C$0
Net income
FY21 −C$1.8M
FY22 −C$2.7M
FY23 −C$3.1M
FY24 −C$1.1M
FY25 −C$2.6M

CCM screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Canagold Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CCM

Peer Group

Gold · 259 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.35× · Pricier than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL $112.00 $132.73 +19%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.36 ¥30.58 +8%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM C$191.93 C$154.33 -20%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $34.93 $50.66 +45%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM C$152.57 C$52.47 -66%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV C$284.75 C$97.76 -66%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $76.35 $88.63 +16%
Gold Fields Limited GFI $33.33 $59.06 +77%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $22.57 $34.62 +53%
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$20.48 A$15.98 -22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Canagold Resources Ltd (CCM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.1100 versus a price of C$0.5600, about −80% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CCM?
Our model-based fair value for Canagold Resources Ltd is C$0.1100 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$0.5600.
What is the quality score of CCM?
Canagold Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of CCM?
The net profit margin of Canagold Resources Ltd is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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