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Century Communities, Inc (CCS) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $1.7B

CC Century Communities, Inc logo Century Communities, Inc CCS · US
Price$71.31
Fair Value$112.87
Upside+58.3%
Quality54/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.95% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: High Range $64.10 – $141.08 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +12.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 58% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($64.10 to $141.08) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$103.42 $37.91 Fair Value $112.87 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $37.91 – $103.42 · fair‑value band $64.10 – $141.08 · the $71.31 price screens below the $112.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Century Communities, Inc (CCS) currently trades at $71.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $112.87, implying the stock looks roughly 58.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Century Communities, Inc generated revenue of $4.0B at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue declined 12.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. Net debt stands at $1.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $64.10 (bear case) to $141.08 (bull case); at $71.31, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 58%, CCS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $8.73 $48.57 $115.43 80
Residual Income $66.05 $65.91 $60.63 76
Rev-Margin DCF $56.64 $163.73 $321.92 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $11.31 $42.98 $123.80 38
Owner Earnings $19.75 $84.54 $202.89 31
5Y Revenue Exit $56.64 $157.60 $343.12 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $55.32 $154.71 $324.73 41
5Y P/E Exit $29.11 $106.50 $205.13 38
10Y Revenue Exit $35.55 $135.96 $272.74 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $38.72 $133.73 $307.34 37
10Y P/E Exit $21.94 $89.45 $203.52 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $34.89 $236.37 $331.30 54
Lynch FV $69.35 $99.07 $128.79 50
PEG = 1.0 $69.35 $99.07 $128.79 46
EPV $49.00 $61.53 $71.97 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $9.38 $16.90 $23.27 70
DDM Multi-Stage $9.38 $15.44 $18.06 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $84.65 $112.87 $141.08 63
P/S Multiple $65.41 $87.22 $109.02 58
P/B Multiple $65.41 $87.22 $109.02 55
EV/EBIT $134.14 $193.15 $252.16 53
EV/EBITDA $82.90 $124.83 $166.75 54
EV/Revenue $76.45 $127.59 $178.72 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $45.04 $60.36 $90.09 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $8.73 $48.57 $115.43 80
Rev-Margin DCF $56.64 $163.73 $321.92 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $66.05 $65.91 $60.63 76
ROIC Compounder $49.00 $61.53 $71.97 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $97.90 $139.86 $181.81 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($139.86) versus Dividend Discount ($15.44). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) -12.6%
Net margin 3.3%
Return on equity 5.2%
Free cash flow $124M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.5
More key figures
Operating margin 4.3%
EPS (TTM) $4.44
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -33.6%
Net debt $1.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Century Communities, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, construction, marketing, and sale of single-family attached and detached homes. It is also involved in the entitlement and development of the underlying land; and provision of mortgage, title, and insurance services to its homebuyers.

Full company description

Century Communities, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, construction, marketing, and sale of single-family attached and detached homes. It is also involved in the entitlement and development of the underlying land; and provision of mortgage, title, and insurance services to its homebuyers. The company offers homes under the Century Communities and Century Complete brands. It sells homes through its sales representatives, retail studios, and internet, as well as through independent real estate brokers in 18 states in the United States. Century Communities, Inc. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Century Communities, Inc reported revenue of $4.1B in FY2025 versus $4.2B in FY2021, a compound −0.6%/yr. Reported net income was $148M in FY2025, compounding −26.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.1B
Latest YoY
−6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+33.5%
Revenue −0.6%/yr
FY21 $4.2B
FY22 $4.5B
FY23 $3.7B
FY24 $4.4B
FY25 $4.1B
Net income −26.2%/yr
FY21 $499M
FY22 $525M
FY23 $259M
FY24 $334M
FY25 $148M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Century Communities, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CCS

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside +58% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth -13% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.54× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.66× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.43× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 13.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.45× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 48
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 21 · sector 10
HEALTH 73 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 39 · sector 38

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Century Communities, Inc (CCS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $112.87 versus a price of $71.31, about +58% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CCS?
Our model-based fair value for Century Communities, Inc is $112.87 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $71.31.
What is the quality score of CCS?
Century Communities, Inc has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Century Communities, Inc (CCS)?
Century Communities, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CCS?
The net profit margin of Century Communities, Inc is about 3.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Century Communities, Inc pay a dividend?
Century Communities, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.95% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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