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City Chic Collective Ltd (CCX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of City Chic Collective Ltd A$0.06, price A$0.04, upside +63.1%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · AU · ISIN AU0000031767

CC City Chic Collective Ltd logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

City Chic Collective Ltd

CCX · AU

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value A$0.0636 · Strongly undervalued (+63.1%)
!Quality 41/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −7.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$5.60 A$0.0350 Fair Value A$0.0636 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0350 – A$5.60 · fair‑value band A$0.0457 – A$0.0779 · the A$0.0390 price screens below the A$0.0636 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

City Chic Collective Limited is an ASX-listed multi-channel retailer with a customer-led offer that appeals to fashion-forward women.

Stock analysis

City Chic Collective Ltd (CCX) currently trades at A$0.0390, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0636, implying the stock looks roughly 38.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$0.3500 per share, and 3 of the 3 models we run sit above the A$0.0390 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0600, and 0 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: A$0.0457 (bear) to A$0.0779 (bull), the price of A$0.0390 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

City Chic Collective Ltd reported revenue of A$135M in FY2025 versus A$266M in FY2021, a compound −15.6%/yr. Reported net income was −A$5.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$23.5M (≈ $16.5M) · P/S ratio 0.17 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Net margin −4.1% · Return on equity −16.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.6% · Operating margin −1.3% · Revenue (TTM) A$135M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 63%, CCX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0457 Fair Value A$0.0636 Bull A$0.0779
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings A$0.2600 A$0.3500 A$0.5000 77
EV/EBITDA A$0.1600 A$0.2100 A$0.2600 67
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0500 A$0.0600 A$0.0900 54
All 3 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings A$0.2600 A$0.3500 A$0.5000 77
Multiples
EV/EBITDA A$0.1600 A$0.2100 A$0.2600 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0500 A$0.0600 A$0.0900 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 9

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −16.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.3% (2020) → −6.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare City Chic Collective Ltd with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Retail · 100 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +63.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −4.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −4.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −1.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −0.4% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.45× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.12× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.3× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.86× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 55
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 13
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 100
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 53

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A ITX €53.26 €58.59 +10%
Fast Retailing Co 6288 HK$33.92 HK$30.82 −9%
The TJX Companies, Inc TJX $130.06 $84.95 −35%
Ross Stores, Inc ROST $236.12 $118.41 −50%
Burlington Stores, Inc BURL $254.69 $150.49 −41%
Trent Limited TRENT ₹2,669 ₹709.49 −73%
lululemon athletica inc., LULU $101.30 $307.70 +204%
Aritzia Inc ATZ C$117.81 C$129.59 +10%
The Gap, Inc GAP $21.82 $37.58 +72%
Urban Outfitters, Inc URBN $75.35 $93.57 +24%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "City Chic Collective Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CCX

Frequently asked questions

Is City Chic Collective Ltd (CCX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0636 versus a price of A$0.0390, about +63% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CCX?
Our model-based fair value for City Chic Collective Ltd is A$0.0636 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0390.
What is the quality score of CCX?
City Chic Collective Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for City Chic Collective Ltd (CCX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0636 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0457, optimistic scenario A$0.0779. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the City Chic Collective Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0636, about +63% upside versus a price of A$0.0390 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0457, optimistic scenario A$0.0779. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of City Chic Collective Ltd (CCX)?
City Chic Collective Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$135M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of City Chic Collective Ltd (CCX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For City Chic Collective Ltd it is A$0.0636 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of A$0.0390. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is City Chic Collective Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, CCX trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0390, fair value A$0.0636, a gap of about +63% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CCX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0390); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0636). For City Chic Collective Ltd the two are A$0.0246 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is City Chic Collective Ltd worth?
The market values City Chic Collective Ltd at about A$23.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0390; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0636 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CCX?
Our models span a range for City Chic Collective Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0457, base A$0.0636, optimistic A$0.0779 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price A$0.0390). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CCX?
The PEG ratio of City Chic Collective Ltd is 0.86 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of City Chic Collective Ltd (CCX)?
Balance-sheet figures for City Chic Collective Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −16.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CCX from its 52-week high?
City Chic Collective Ltd trades at A$0.0390, about 73% below its 52-week high of A$0.1450 and 11% above the low of A$0.0350 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0636 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to City Chic Collective Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A, Fast Retailing Co, The TJX Companies, Inc, Ross Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is City Chic Collective Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price A$0.0390, calculated fair value A$0.0636 (+63%), Quality Score 41/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CCX calculated?
We run City Chic Collective Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0636, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. City Chic Collective Ltd currently trades 63 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of City Chic Collective Ltd (CCX)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was A$0.0390. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0636, about +63% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with City Chic Collective Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0457). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of City Chic Collective Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of City Chic Collective Ltd (CCX)?
The market capitalisation of City Chic Collective Ltd is A$23.5M (≈ $16.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of City Chic Collective Ltd (CCX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of City Chic Collective Ltd is 0.17 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of City Chic Collective Ltd (CCX)?
Earnings per share at City Chic Collective Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of City Chic Collective Ltd (CCX)?
The net margin of City Chic Collective Ltd is −4.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of City Chic Collective Ltd (CCX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of City Chic Collective Ltd is −16.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of City Chic Collective Ltd (CCX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of City Chic Collective Ltd is −5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of City Chic Collective Ltd (CCX)?
The operating margin of City Chic Collective Ltd is −1.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at City Chic Collective Ltd (CCX)?
Revenue at City Chic Collective Ltd is growing −0.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −25.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at City Chic Collective Ltd (CCX)?
Earnings per share at City Chic Collective Ltd are growing +15.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does City Chic Collective Ltd (CCX) generate?
The free cash flow of City Chic Collective Ltd is −A$8.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does City Chic Collective Ltd (CCX) carry?
The net debt of City Chic Collective Ltd is A$29.1M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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