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Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Cadre Holdings Inc $16.26, price $26.70, upside -39.1%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · ISIN US12763L1052

CH Cadre Holdings Inc logo Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Cadre Holdings Inc

CDRE · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $16.26 · Strongly overvalued (−39%)
!Quality 43/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +8.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·1.44% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Moderate moat 48/100
!Insider activity 46/100
!Weak on dividend: 29 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$45.91 $14.44 Fair Value $16.26 Nov 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

59‑month range $14.44 – $45.91 · fair‑value band $10.19 – $22.90 · the $26.70 price screens above the $16.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Cadre Holdings, Inc. manufactures and distributes safety equipment and other related products that provides protection to users in hazardous or life-threatening situations in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Product and Distribution.

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Cadre Holdings, Inc. manufactures and distributes safety equipment and other related products that provides protection to users in hazardous or life-threatening situations in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Product and Distribution. The company offers body armor product, such as concealable, corrections, and tactical armor under the Safariland and Protech Tactical brand names; survival suits, remotely operated vehicles, specialty tools, blast sensors, accessories, and vehicle blast attenuation seats for bomb safety technicians; bomb suits; duty gear, including belts and accessories; and other protective equipment comprising communications gear, forensic and investigation products, firearms cleaning solutions, and crowd control products. It also provides third-party products, such as uniforms, optics, boots, firearms, and ammunition. In addition, the company designs, manufactures and services equipment, vessels, precision components and remote handling systems for the nuclear, defence, and oil and gas industries. It serves first responders, such as state and local law enforcement, fire and rescue, explosive ordnance disposal technicians, emergency medical technicians, fishing, and wildlife enforcement and departments of corrections, as well as federal agencies, including the U.S. Department of State, U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Department of Interior, U.S. Department of Justice, U.S. Department of Homeland Security, U.S. Department of Corrections, the Department of Energy, and various foreign government agencies. The company sells its products through its direct sales force, distribution channels and distribution partners/agents, online stores, and third-party resellers. Cadre Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.

Stock analysis

Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE) currently trades at $26.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.26, implying the stock looks roughly 64.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $18.87 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $26.70 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $4.62, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $10.19 (bear) to $22.90 (bull), the price of $26.70 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Cadre Holdings Inc reported revenue of $610M in FY2025 versus $427M in FY2021, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was $44.1M in FY2025, compounding +36.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $1.2B · P/E ratio 31.8 · P/S ratio 2.30 · EPS (TTM) $0.8400 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 7.2% · Return on equity 11.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −39%, CDRE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $10.19 Fair Value $16.26 Bull $22.90
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3328 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $11.08 $18.80 $29.56 79
Growth DCF $11.07 $18.27 $27.90 77
Owner Earnings $10.87 $18.48 $29.09 75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $11.08 $18.80 $29.56 79
Owner Earnings $10.87 $18.48 $29.09 75
5Y Revenue Exit $11.24 $20.69 $32.94 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $13.54 $25.14 $38.95 73
5Y P/E Exit $10.77 $19.79 $29.46 69
10Y Revenue Exit $10.56 $18.78 $30.20 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $12.34 $21.66 $34.51 67
10Y P/E Exit $10.71 $18.20 $27.70 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $7.01 $25.31 $34.13 64
Lynch FV $5.99 $8.56 $11.13 61
PEG = 1.0 $5.99 $8.56 $11.13 57
EPV $6.70 $8.15 $9.36 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.80 $5.05 $6.96 68
DDM Multi-Stage $2.80 $4.62 $5.40 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $16.24 $21.66 $27.07 63
P/S Multiple $13.15 $17.53 $21.92 58
P/B Multiple $13.15 $17.53 $21.92 55
EV/EBIT $18.43 $25.88 $33.34 65
EV/EBITDA $17.41 $24.53 $31.64 67
EV/Revenue $12.03 $18.87 $25.71 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.71 $4.98 $7.43 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $11.07 $18.27 $27.90 77
Rev-Margin DCF $11.24 $20.65 $31.92 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income $6.79 $8.02 $15.03 73
ROIC Compounder $6.70 $8.61 $11.32 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $11.39 $16.26 $21.14 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 33
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 10
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 12%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+8.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.8% a year for the price and +6.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+20.8%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+6.8%
Projected 2028 (sales)+6.2%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.0%

CDRE screens 64% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 230 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −39% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 20% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.92× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 31.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.65× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.82× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 20.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.6× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)98 · sector 46
PAST (return on equity)45 · sector 37
HEALTH (low debt)54 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)29 · sector 17

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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General Electric Company GE $319.22 $92.68 −71%
RTX Corporation RTX $190.99 $88.37 −54%
Airbus SE AIR €194.60 €112.75 −42%
Safran SA SAF €332.00 €365.20 +10%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $524.68 $440.05 −16%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $228.78 $52.47 −77%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $343.33 $274.32 −20%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $514.42 $383.06 −26%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,112 $1,224 +10%
L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX $239.21 $263.13 +10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cadre Holdings Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CDRE

Frequently asked questions

Is Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.26 versus a price of $26.70, about −39% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CDRE?
Our model-based fair value for Cadre Holdings Inc is $16.26 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $26.70.
What is the quality score of CDRE?
Cadre Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.26 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.19, optimistic scenario $22.90. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cadre Holdings Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $16.26, about −39% upside versus a price of $26.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $10.19, optimistic scenario $22.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE)?
Cadre Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $636M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Cadre Holdings Inc pay a dividend?
Cadre Holdings Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.44% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cadre Holdings Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +18.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CDRE use?
Our models discount Cadre Holdings Inc at 12.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.31, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Cadre Holdings Inc that is +18.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Cadre Holdings Inc grew +8.6 % a year. The price currently implies +18.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Cadre Holdings Inc (+18.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.90 %: that much free cash flow Cadre Holdings Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cadre Holdings Inc it is $16.26 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $26.70. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cadre Holdings Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CDRE trades above its calculated fair value: price $26.70, fair value $16.26, a gap of about −39% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CDRE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($26.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($16.26). For Cadre Holdings Inc the two are $10.44 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cadre Holdings Inc worth?
The market values Cadre Holdings Inc at about $1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $26.70; our models calculate a fair value of $16.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CDRE?
Our models span a range for Cadre Holdings Inc: cautious scenario $10.19, base $16.26, optimistic $22.90 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $26.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CDRE?
Cadre Holdings Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.8 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $16.26 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 24.5 (reported 26.2). Other multiples: P/B 3.7, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 13.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cadre Holdings Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 11.3%, debt of 0.92 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CDRE from its 52-week high?
Cadre Holdings Inc trades at $26.70, about 42% below its 52-week high of $45.91 and 2% above the low of $26.10 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $16.26 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cadre Holdings Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cadre Holdings Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $26.70, calculated fair value $16.26 (−39%), Quality Score 43/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CDRE calculated?
We run Cadre Holdings Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $16.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Cadre Holdings Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $26.70. Our model-based fair value is $16.26, about −39% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cadre Holdings Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($22.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($10.19 to $22.90) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Cadre Holdings Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE)?
The market capitalisation of Cadre Holdings Inc is $1.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cadre Holdings Inc is 2.30 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE)?
Earnings per share at Cadre Holdings Inc are $0.8400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE)?
The dividend yield of Cadre Holdings Inc is 1.4% (payout 45.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE)?
The net margin of Cadre Holdings Inc is 7.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cadre Holdings Inc is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cadre Holdings Inc is 10.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE)?
The operating margin of Cadre Holdings Inc is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE)?
Revenue at Cadre Holdings Inc is growing +19.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE)?
Earnings per share at Cadre Holdings Inc are growing −79.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE) carry?
The net debt of Cadre Holdings Inc is $205M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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