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CeoTronics AG (CEK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of CeoTronics AG €14.14, price €9.50, upside +48.8%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · DE · ISIN DE0005407407

CA Broad data Sep 23, 2026

CeoTronics AG

CEK · XETRA

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

✓Fair value €14.14 · Undervalued (+49%)
!Quality 64/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +17.9 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·2.11% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (12/15)
✓Wide moat 72/100
!Insider activity 40/100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€16.26 €2.96 Fair Value €14.14 Feb 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €2.96 – €16.26 · fair‑value band €10.60 – €17.67 · the €9.50 price screens below the €14.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

CeoTronics AG manufactures and distributes electronic audio and video systems, and data transmission and communication solutions for difficult conditions in Germany, rest of Europe, and internationally.

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CeoTronics AG manufactures and distributes electronic audio and video systems, and data transmission and communication solutions for difficult conditions in Germany, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company offers multifunctional control units comprising CT-MultiPTT 3C, CT-MultiPTT 1C, CT-MultiPTT 1C Plus, CT-MultiCom, CT-WirelessPTT MIL, and CT-MultiPTT 2C; and DECT-systems consisting of CT-DECT Multi and CT-DECT case. It also provides headsets, including 3M PELTOR ComTac VIII, CT-ClipCom Digital, CT-HN headset, CT-DECT headset, CT-Neckband headset, CT-CombiCom, CT-ThroatMike Comfort, CT energy-less headset, and CT-ActionNeckband headset; and helmet systems, such as CT-NoiseProtection Helmet and CT-NoiseProtection Hood. The company serves the police, defense, rescue, aviation, and other industries. CeoTronics AG was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Rödermark, Germany.

Stock analysis

CeoTronics AG (CEK) currently trades at €9.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €14.14, implying the stock looks roughly 32.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €18.64 per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the €9.50 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €1.51, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €10.60 (bear) to €17.67 (bull), the price of €9.50 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

CeoTronics AG reported revenue of €55.8M in FY2025 versus €26.6M in FY2021, a compound +20.4%/yr. Reported net income was €4.7M in FY2025, compounding +22.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €85.4M · P/E ratio 9.6 · P/S ratio 0.82 · EPS (TTM) €0.9900 · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 8.5% · Return on equity 28.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at 49%, CEK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €10.60 Fair Value €14.14 Bull €17.67
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.7900 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €14.22 €20.97 €29.90 80
Growth DCF €14.13 €20.25 €27.90 79
Owner Earnings €5.01 €7.47 €10.73 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €14.22 €20.97 €29.90 80
Owner Earnings €5.01 €7.47 €10.73 76
5Y Revenue Exit €11.19 €17.06 €24.51 72
5Y EBITDA Exit €14.64 €23.76 €34.57 74
5Y P/E Exit €12.25 €19.13 €26.46 71
10Y Revenue Exit €12.10 €17.39 €24.53 67
10Y EBITDA Exit €14.24 €21.45 €31.31 68
10Y P/E Exit €12.91 €18.64 €25.84 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €4.04 €15.00 €20.28 64
Lynch FV €3.60 €5.15 €6.69 61
PEG = 1.0 €3.60 €5.15 €6.69 57
EPV €5.37 €6.04 €6.59 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.9500 €1.59 €2.07 68
DDM Multi-Stage €0.9500 €1.51 €1.71 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple €12.47 €16.63 €20.79 63
P/S Multiple €7.57 €10.10 €12.62 58
P/B Multiple €7.57 €10.10 €12.62 55
EV/EBIT €18.91 €25.30 €31.70 66
EV/EBITDA €16.85 €22.56 €28.27 67
EV/Revenue €9.42 €13.58 €17.73 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.78 €2.38 €3.55 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €14.13 €20.25 €27.90 79
Rev-Margin DCF €11.19 €17.17 €24.44 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income €3.33 €4.13 €9.11 70
ROIC Compounder €5.70 €6.94 €8.32 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €8.06 €11.51 €14.97 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 74
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 77
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 40
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 8
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+88.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.0% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+18.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+16.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.16% vs 23%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 15%
2025 sits 57% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.4% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 316 stocks

Beats the industry median on 12/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 64 · Above median
Fair Value upside +44% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 29% · Top 25%
Return on assets 16% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 62% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.25× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 3.43× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.41× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 7.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.4× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.31× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)98 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 37
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)88 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)42 · sector 23

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $106.44 $117.08 +10%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥927.72 ¥349.40 −62%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥62.98 ¥14.18 −77%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥455.00 ¥329.86 −28%
Nokia Oyj NOK $10.63 $3.71 −65%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $460.44 $248.10 −46%
Ciena Corporation CIEN $368.56 $48.80 −87%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥275.84 ¥87.34 −68%
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 6869 HK$190.50 HK$32.70 −83%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 1,895 TWD 2,085 TWD +10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CeoTronics AG (CEK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €14.14 versus a price of €9.50, about +49% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CEK?
Our model-based fair value for CeoTronics AG is €14.14 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €9.50.
What is the quality score of CEK?
CeoTronics AG has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CeoTronics AG (CEK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €14.14 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario €10.60, optimistic scenario €17.67. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CeoTronics AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €14.14, about +49% upside versus a price of €9.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €10.60, optimistic scenario €17.67. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CeoTronics AG (CEK)?
CeoTronics AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €68.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does CeoTronics AG pay a dividend?
CeoTronics AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.11% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into CeoTronics AG (CEK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CeoTronics AG would have to grow free cash flow by -8.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CEK use?
Our models discount CeoTronics AG at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.45, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CeoTronics AG that is -8.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CeoTronics AG (CEK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CeoTronics AG grew +17.9 % a year. The price currently implies -8.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CeoTronics AG (CEK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CeoTronics AG (-8.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CeoTronics AG (CEK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.77 %: that much free cash flow CeoTronics AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CeoTronics AG (CEK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CeoTronics AG it is €14.14 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €9.50. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CeoTronics AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CEK trades below its calculated fair value: price €9.50, fair value €14.14, a gap of about +49% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CEK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€9.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€14.14). For CeoTronics AG the two are €4.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CeoTronics AG worth?
The market values CeoTronics AG at about €85.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €9.50; our models calculate a fair value of €14.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CEK?
Our models span a range for CeoTronics AG: cautious scenario €10.60, base €14.14, optimistic €17.67 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €9.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CEK?
CeoTronics AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.6 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €14.14 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 3.4, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 7.4.
What is the PEG ratio of CEK?
The PEG ratio of CeoTronics AG is 0.31 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of CeoTronics AG (CEK)?
Balance-sheet figures for CeoTronics AG (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 28.5%, debt of 0.25 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CEK from its 52-week high?
CeoTronics AG trades at €9.50, about 42% below its 52-week high of €16.26 and 7% above the low of €8.87 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €14.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CeoTronics AG?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Zhongji Innolight Co, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CeoTronics AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €9.50, calculated fair value €14.14 (+49%), Quality Score 64/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CEK calculated?
We run CeoTronics AG through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €14.14, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. CeoTronics AG currently trades 49 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CeoTronics AG (CEK)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €9.50. Our model-based fair value is €14.14, about +49% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CeoTronics AG right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€10.60). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of CeoTronics AG

How large is the market capitalisation of CeoTronics AG (CEK)?
The market capitalisation of CeoTronics AG is €85.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CeoTronics AG (CEK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CeoTronics AG is 0.82 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CeoTronics AG (CEK)?
Earnings per share at CeoTronics AG are €0.9900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CeoTronics AG (CEK)?
The dividend yield of CeoTronics AG is 2.1% (payout 20.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CeoTronics AG (CEK)?
The net margin of CeoTronics AG is 8.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CeoTronics AG (CEK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CeoTronics AG is 28.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CeoTronics AG (CEK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CeoTronics AG is 12.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CeoTronics AG (CEK)?
The operating margin of CeoTronics AG is 17.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CeoTronics AG (CEK)?
Revenue at CeoTronics AG is growing +61.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +24.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CeoTronics AG (CEK)?
Earnings per share at CeoTronics AG are growing +388% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does CeoTronics AG (CEK) carry?
The net debt of CeoTronics AG is €2.3M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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