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Cenntro Electric Group Ltd (CENN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $9.3M · ISIN AU0000198582

CE Cenntro Electric Group Ltd logo Cenntro Electric Group Ltd CENN · US
Price$4.14
Fair Value$3.96
Upside-4.3%
Quality20/100
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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +27.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/8)
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +27.1 %/yr)
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range $2.61 – $4.95 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +19.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

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What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($2.61 to $4.95) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$74,970 $3.19 Fair Value $3.96 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.19 – $74,970 · fair‑value band $2.61 – $4.95 · the $4.14 price screens above the $3.96 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Cenntro Electric Group Ltd (CENN) currently trades at $4.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.96, implying the stock looks roughly 4.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $17.1M. Revenue declined 43.4% year over year. Net debt stands at $6.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.61 (bear case) to $4.95 (bull case); at $4.14, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -17% fair-value upside, at -4%, CENN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $8.17 $10.95 $16.34 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.17 $10.95 $16.34 50

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.54 TTM
EPS (TTM) $-74.63
Return on equity -122% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) -23.2% avg 5y
Operating margin -328% TTM
Revenue (TTM) $17.1M TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) -43.4% 3y avg +26.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$13.4M FY2025
Net debt $6.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 20/100

Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 9

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 11
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 8
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Cenntro Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, distribution, and service of commercial vehicles powered by either electricity or hydrogen energy sources in Europe, Asia, the United States, and internationally.

Full company description

Cenntro Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, distribution, and service of commercial vehicles powered by either electricity or hydrogen energy sources in Europe, Asia, the United States, and internationally. Its commercial vehicles are designed to serve various fleet and municipal organizations in support of city services, last-mile delivery, and other commercial applications. The company sells its products under the Metro, Logistar, iChassis, Avantier, Teemak, Bison Motor, and Antric One names. Cenntro Inc. was founded in 2013 and is based in Iselin, New Jersey. Cenntro Inc. is a subsidiary of Cenntro Electric Group Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cenntro Electric Group Ltd reported revenue of $18.1M in FY2025 versus $8.6M in FY2021, a compound +20.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$73.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$18.1M
Latest YoY
−42.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+37.2%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +20.5%/yr
FY21 $8.6M
FY22 $8.9M
FY23 $10.4M
FY24 $31.3M
FY25 $18.1M
Net income
FY21 −$16.4M
FY22 −$110M
FY23 −$54.2M
FY24 −$44.9M
FY25 −$73.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cenntro Electric Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CENN

Peer Group

Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −4% · Below median
Return on assets -19% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth -43% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.23× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.54× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE28 · sector 29
FUTURE0 · sector 32
PAST0 · sector 21
HEALTH0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Toyota Motor Corporation TM $188.78 $228.25 +21%
BYD Company 81211 HK$76.90 HK$48.59 -37%
Hyundai Motor Company 005380 418,500 KRW 567,393 KRW +36%
Ferrari N.V RACE €355.80 €167.67 -53%
General Motors Company GM $86.33 $52.69 -39%
Ford Motor Company F $13.90 $11.51 -17%
Mercedes-Benz Group MBG €46.95 €106.16 +126%
Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG P911 €43.91 €17.34 -61%
Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI ₹13,875 ₹8,236 -41%
Volkswagen AG VOW3 €77.42 €248.34 +221%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cenntro Electric Group Ltd (CENN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.96 versus a price of $4.14, about −4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CENN?
Our model-based fair value for Cenntro Electric Group Ltd is $3.96 (as of Aug 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.14.
What is the quality score of CENN?
Cenntro Electric Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cenntro Electric Group Ltd (CENN)?
Cenntro Electric Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $17.1M (latest available figure, as of Aug 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CENN?
The net profit margin of Cenntro Electric Group Ltd is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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