China Foods Limited (CHFHY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $33.27 to $19.13 (−42.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −13.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $5.11 – $10.68 · fair‑value band $14.35 – $23.91 · the $8.20 price screens below the $19.13 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.
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China Foods Limited (CHFHY) currently trades at $8.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.13, implying the stock looks roughly 133.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Foods Limited generated revenue of $22.1B at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue declined 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $4.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $14.35 (bear case) to $23.91 (bull case); at $8.20, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at 133%, CHFHY screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
China Foods Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures, distributes, markets, and sells Coca-Cola series products in the People's Republic of China. It offers sparkling drinks, juices, water, milk drinks, energy drinks, tea, coffee, functional nutrition drinks, and sports and plant-based protein drinks under various brand names. The company is also involved in the production, sale, and distribution of beverage bottles; wholesale and retail of pre-packaged foods, and raw and auxiliary materials; provision of supply chain information consultation, management, and other services; and wholesale of packaged foods. In addition, it provides enterprise management and consulting, business information consulting, and marketing planning services, as well as computer information system development, consulting, promotion, and other services. Further, the company engages in the vending machine and food business, and internet sale of food, as well as sale of health food. The company was …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Foods Limited reported revenue of ¥22.1B in FY2025 versus ¥19.8B in FY2021, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥862M in FY2025, compounding +10.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Coca-Cola Company CCC3 | €69.53 | €27.59 | -60% |
| PepsiCo, Inc PEP | C$21.09 | C$13.48 | -36% |
| Monster Beverage Corporation MNST | $89.55 | $40.91 | -54% |
| Nongfu Spring Co NNFSF | $5.34 | $10.55 | +98% |
| Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP | $96.98 | $69.17 | -29% |
| Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. C2CA34 | R$108.87 | R$183.92 | +69% |
| Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP | $30.87 | $32.62 | +6% |
| Coca-Cola HBC AG CCHGY | $60.63 | $39.32 | -35% |
| Arca Continental, S.A. EMBVF | $12.24 | $11.49 | -6% |
| Varun Beverages Limited VBL | ₹495.70 | ₹187.49 | -62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.