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Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation (CHMI) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $88.0M

CH Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation logo Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation CHMI · US
Price$2.41
Fair Value$2.69
Upside+11.5%
Quality33/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 35.3% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
18.91% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: High Range $2.01 – $3.36 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +6.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 11% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
  • Our model range runs from $2.01 (bear) to $3.36 (bull), base $2.69. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 33/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$4.76 $1.81 Fair Value $2.69 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.81 – $4.76 · fair‑value band $2.01 – $3.36 · the $2.41 price screens below the $2.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation (CHMI) currently trades at $2.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.69, implying the stock looks roughly 11.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation generated revenue of $40.0M at a net margin of 35.3%. Revenue declined 34.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.2%. Net debt stands at $1.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.01 (bear case) to $3.36 (bull case); at $2.41, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 11%, CHMI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $4.22 $4.03 $3.02 76
Gordon GGM $5.43 $9.10 $11.81 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.43 $8.63 $9.79 61
All 9 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.43 $9.10 $11.81 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.43 $8.63 $9.79 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple $2.37 $3.16 $3.95 58
P/B Multiple $2.37 $3.16 $3.95 55
EV/EBIT $11.98 $16.79 $21.60 53
EV/EBITDA $9.63 $13.66 $17.69 54
EV/Revenue $1.56 $3.28 $5.00 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.21 $4.30 $6.42 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.22 $4.03 $3.02 76

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($8.63) versus Multiples ($3.28). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $40.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) -34.8%
Net margin 35.3%
Return on equity 6.2%
Free cash flow −$4.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 15.7
More key figures
Operating margin 19.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.1500
EPS growth (YoY) -49.5%
Net debt $1.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation, a residential real estate finance company, acquires, invests, and manages residential mortgage assets in the United States. It operates in two segments, Investments in RMBS and Investments in Servicing Related Assets. The trust qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes.

Full company description

Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation, a residential real estate finance company, acquires, invests, and manages residential mortgage assets in the United States. It operates in two segments, Investments in RMBS and Investments in Servicing Related Assets. The trust qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT) and would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Tinton Falls, New Jersey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation reported revenue of $105M in FY2025 versus $28.1M in FY2021, a compound +39.1%/yr. Reported net income was $6.8M in FY2025, compounding −13.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 52/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$105M
Latest YoY
+204.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+37.9%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.7%
Revenue +39.1%/yr
FY21 $28.1M
FY22 $40.2M
FY23 −$21.2M
FY24 $34.6M
FY25 $105M
Net income −13.7%/yr
FY21 $12.3M
FY22 $21.7M
FY23 −$34.8M
FY24 $12.0M
FY25 $6.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHMI

Peer Group

REIT - Mortgage · 40 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +12% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 35% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Below median
Revenue growth -35% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 18.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.62× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Mortgage median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.37× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.20× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 49 · sector 88
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 25 · sector 25
HEALTH 69 · sector 1
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 100

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Mortgage stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation (CHMI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.69 versus a price of $2.41, about +11% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CHMI?
Our model-based fair value for Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation is $2.69 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.41.
What is the quality score of CHMI?
Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation (CHMI)?
Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $40.0M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CHMI?
The net profit margin of Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation is about 35.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 35.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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