Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (CIDMEGA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V MXN 20.78, price MXN 18.50, upside +12.3%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Grupe, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the tourism sector in Mexico. It operates through Hotel Operation; Timeshare; Real Estate; and Clubhouse and Others segments. The company operates hotels, resorts, and country clubs; operates and sells timeshares; and designs, constructs, and operates marinas, and tennis and golf clubs.
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Grupe, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the tourism sector in Mexico. It operates through Hotel Operation; Timeshare; Real Estate; and Clubhouse and Others segments. The company operates hotels, resorts, and country clubs; operates and sells timeshares; and designs, constructs, and operates marinas, and tennis and golf clubs. It also manages, develops, constructs, and sells real estate properties. In addition, the company provides wedding services, airport transportation, and tours; and operates as a travel agent. Grupe, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1971 and is based in Mazatlán, Mexico.
Stock analysis
Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (CIDMEGA) currently trades at 18.50 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 20.78 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 11.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 95.00 MXN per share, and 16 of the 23 models we run sit above the 18.50 MXN price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 7.79 MXN, and 7 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 15.59 MXN (bear) to 25.98 MXN (bull), the price of 18.50 MXN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Grupe S.A.B. de C.V reported revenue of 3.2B MXN in FY2025 versus 2.5B MXN in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was 61.8M MXN in FY2025, compounding −29.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.2B MXN (≈ $69.1M) · P/S ratio 0.41 · EPS (TTM) −0.2100 MXN · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity −0.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7% · Operating margin 17.3% · Revenue (TTM) 3.1B MXN.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 46% fair-value upside, at 12%, CIDMEGA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 15.59 MXNFair Value 20.78 MXNBull 25.98 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.84/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.5% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MXN ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−7.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−3% → 13%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Resorts & Casinos · 69 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside+12% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)17% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.35× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupe S.A.B. de C.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CIDMEGA
Frequently asked questions
Is Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (CIDMEGA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 20.78 MXN versus a price of 18.50 MXN, about +12% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CIDMEGA?
Our model-based fair value for Grupe S.A.B. de C.V is 20.78 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 18.50 MXN.
What is the quality score of CIDMEGA?
Grupe S.A.B. de C.V has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (CIDMEGA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 20.78 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 15.59 MXN, optimistic scenario 25.98 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grupe S.A.B. de C.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 20.78 MXN, about +12% upside versus a price of 18.50 MXN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 15.59 MXN, optimistic scenario 25.98 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (CIDMEGA)?
Grupe S.A.B. de C.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.1B MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (CIDMEGA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Grupe S.A.B. de C.V it is 20.78 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 18.50 MXN. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Grupe S.A.B. de C.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CIDMEGA trades below its calculated fair value: price 18.50 MXN, fair value 20.78 MXN, a gap of about +12% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CIDMEGA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (18.50 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (20.78 MXN). For Grupe S.A.B. de C.V the two are 2.28 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Grupe S.A.B. de C.V worth?
The market values Grupe S.A.B. de C.V at about 1.2B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 18.50 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 20.78 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CIDMEGA?
Our models span a range for Grupe S.A.B. de C.V: cautious scenario 15.59 MXN, base 20.78 MXN, optimistic 25.98 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 18.50 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (CIDMEGA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.2%, debt of 0.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CIDMEGA from its 52-week high?
Grupe S.A.B. de C.V trades at 18.50 MXN, about 34% below its 52-week high of 28.10 MXN and at the low of 18.50 MXN (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 20.78 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Grupe S.A.B. de C.V?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Las Vegas Sands Corp, Galaxy Entertainment Group, Sands China Ltd, MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries,, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Grupe S.A.B. de C.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 18.50 MXN, calculated fair value 20.78 MXN (+12%), Quality Score 61/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CIDMEGA calculated?
We run Grupe S.A.B. de C.V through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 20.78 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Grupe S.A.B. de C.V currently trades 12 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (CIDMEGA)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 18.50 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 20.78 MXN, about +12% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Grupe S.A.B. de C.V right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V
How large is the market capitalisation of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (CIDMEGA)?
The market capitalisation of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V is 1.2B MXN (≈ $69.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (CIDMEGA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V is 0.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (CIDMEGA)?
Earnings per share at Grupe S.A.B. de C.V are −0.2100 MXN. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (CIDMEGA)?
The net margin of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V is 1.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (CIDMEGA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V is −0.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (CIDMEGA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (CIDMEGA)?
The operating margin of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V is 17.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (CIDMEGA)?
Revenue at Grupe S.A.B. de C.V is growing −9.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (CIDMEGA)?
Earnings per share at Grupe S.A.B. de C.V are growing −26.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (CIDMEGA) generate?
The free cash flow of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V is 717M MXN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Grupe S.A.B. de C.V (CIDMEGA) carry?
The net debt of Grupe S.A.B. de C.V is 2.0B MXN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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