Grupe, S.A. (CIDMEGA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · MX · Market cap 1.3B MXN
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from 27.54 MXN to 20.78 MXN (−24.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −0.1% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from 15.59 MXN (bear) to 25.98 MXN (bull), base 20.78 MXN. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 61/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 19.25 MXN – 38.80 MXN · fair‑value band 15.59 MXN – 25.98 MXN · the 19.49 MXN price screens below the 20.78 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Grupe, S.A. (CIDMEGA) currently trades at 19.49 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 20.78 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 6.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Grupe, S.A. generated revenue of 3.1B MXN at a net margin of -0.4%. Revenue declined 9.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.2%. Net debt stands at 2.0B MXN. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 15.59 MXN (bear case) to 25.98 MXN (bull case); at 19.49 MXN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 7%, CIDMEGA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (81.28 MXN) versus Earnings-Based (7.79 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Grupe, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the tourism sector in Mexico. It operates through Hotel Operation; Timeshare; Real Estate; and Clubhouse and Others segments. The company operates hotels, resorts, and country clubs; operates and sells timeshares; and designs, constructs, and operates marinas, and tennis and golf clubs.
Full company description
Grupe, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the tourism sector in Mexico. It operates through Hotel Operation; Timeshare; Real Estate; and Clubhouse and Others segments. The company operates hotels, resorts, and country clubs; operates and sells timeshares; and designs, constructs, and operates marinas, and tennis and golf clubs. It also manages, develops, constructs, and sells real estate properties. In addition, the company provides wedding services, airport transportation, and tours; and operates as a travel agent. Grupe, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1971 and is based in Mazatlán, Mexico.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Grupe, S.A. reported revenue of 3.2B MXN in FY2025 versus 2.5B MXN in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was 61.8M MXN in FY2025, compounding −29.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Resorts & Casinos · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS | $44.79 | $52.27 | +17% |
| Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 | HK$34.20 | HK$41.44 | +21% |
| Sands China Ltd 1928 | HK$13.08 | HK$2.05 | -84% |
| MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM | $46.13 | $13.70 | -70% |
| Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN | $97.05 | $69.39 | -29% |
| Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR | $64.75 | $17.09 | -74% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD | $87.64 | $151.24 | +73% |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR | $29.91 | $80.92 | +171% |
| Genting Singapore Limited G13 | 0.6200 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +11% |
| Vail Resorts, Inc MTN | $150.14 | $125.02 | -17% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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