CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 12, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of CIE Automotive S.A. stock €50.85, price €26.65, upside +90.8%, quality 59 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €16.78 – €31.35 · fair‑value band €32.16 – €68.85 · the €26.65 price screens below the €50.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 13, 2026.
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CIE Automotive, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automotive parts and components in North America, Brazil, Asia, CIE Forging Europe, and rest of Europe.
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The company offers powertrain and gearbox products, including brackets, pistons, camshaft bearing housing, tube assemblies, gasoline common rail, valve guide, double clutch component, body pump, crankshaft cap, camshaft cover and bearing, air tank, crankshaft, turbo housing, diesel common rail, gearbox housing, and ladder frame; and chassis, steering, and structural parts comprising structural parts, hubs and outer rings, EPS housing and component, steering nut and housing, axle arm, airbag frame, steering column braket and tube, spindles, control arm, rear axle support, suspension, caliper brackets, and front/rear knuckles.
It also provides transmission and brake products, such as motor housing, pins for differential case, planetary carrier, clutch and transmission housing, differential components, planetary carrier, differential crown and reductor fixed gear, oil pan, differential housing, differential case, flanges, CV-joint, sprocket, double clutch component, brake booster, axle shaft, I-booster, and transmission yokes; interior and exterior trim products, including storage and glove compartment, central console, ashtray, trim and seat part, seat and front cover, load floor composite spray molding, emblem, crossbeam, seat part and component, connector and junction boxes, rear window package tray, in mould decoration, wheel cover, rear view mirrors, door handle, arm rest, cup holder, pilars, grab handles, and speaker grill.
In addition, the company offers roof systems; and commercial vehicle products, such as lay and input shaft, lever, brake camshaft, differential housing, front lid, air suspension braket, brake drum, injection pump, sector shaft, stabilizer bar, battery box component, and axle beam.
CIE Automotive, S.A. was incorporated in 1939 and is headquartered in Bilbao, Spain.
Stock analysis
CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE) currently trades at €26.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €50.85, implying the stock looks roughly 48% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €62.29 per share, and 21 of the 24 models we run sit above the €26.65 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €14.42, and 3 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €32.16 (bear) to €68.85 (bull), the price of €26.65 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
CIE Automotive S.A. reported revenue of €4.0B in FY2025 versus €3.3B in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was €336M in FY2025, compounding +5.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €3.2B Mid · P/E ratio 9.3 · P/S ratio 0.77 · EPS (TTM) €2.86 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 8.4% · Return on equity 18.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.7% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 56 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 91%, CIE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€32.16Fair Value €50.85Bull€68.85
Price €26.65 · Upside +90.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€1.82 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF€36.06€56.88€86.1479
Growth DCF€36.18€53.95€77.1978
Owner Earnings€31.17€49.47€75.2176
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF€36.06€56.88€86.1479
Owner Earnings€31.17€49.47€75.2176
5Y Revenue Exit€27.55€44.66€66.3772
5Y EBITDA Exit€42.15€72.59€108.5574
5Y P/E Exit€36.71€62.18€89.2770
10Y Revenue Exit€29.72€45.63€66.9566
10Y EBITDA Exit€39.22€63.88€97.5167
10Y P/E Exit€35.97€57.08€83.5563
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd€19.25€66.66€89.5564
Lynch FV€21.42€30.61€39.7961
PEG = 1.0€21.42€30.61€39.7957
EPV€25.36€29.59€33.1474
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM€8.25€15.22€21.3867
DDM Multi-Stage€8.25€13.62€16.2267
Multiples
P/E Multiple€46.72€62.29€77.8663
P/S Multiple€30.04€40.05€50.0658
EV/EBIT€51.78€72.68€93.5865
EV/EBITDA€45.71€64.59€83.4667
EV/Revenue€17.12€29.13€41.1552
Growth DCF
Growth DCF€36.18€53.95€77.1978
Rev-Margin DCF€27.55€44.90€65.5572
Economic Profit
Residual Income€15.47€19.82€31.3774
ROIC Compounder€27.45€34.92€43.3472
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E€39.91€57.01€74.1267
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.2% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.2% vs 10.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 14%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.3%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.4% a year for the price and +1.4% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (15 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: CIE Automotive's diversified global footprint and operational efficiency shield it from cyclical pressures, yet thin evidence of durable moats leaves its edge vulnerable as markets normalize.
Main risk: As markets normalize and competition intensifies the advantages from acquisitions and cost discipline may fade, reducing margins and cash generation.
CIE Automotive keeps posting record half-year results with strong cash generation even while the wider auto industry struggles. Its diversified global footprint and focus on operational efficiency appear to shield it from the usual cyclical pressures. Yet the real test lies ahead: does this edge come mainly from recent acquisitions and cost discipline, or will it hold up as markets normalize and competition intensifies?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 668 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+90.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)18.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.9% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)8.4% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)13.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)6.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.95× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)9.3× · Cheapest 25%
P/B2.18× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)0.77× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)8.0× · Cheaper than median
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Is CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €50.85 versus a price of €26.65, about +91% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CIE?
Our model-based fair value for CIE Automotive S.A. is €50.85 (as of Nov 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €26.65.
What is the quality score of CIE?
CIE Automotive S.A. has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €50.85 (as of Nov 13, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €32.16, optimistic scenario €68.85. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CIE Automotive S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €50.85, about +91% upside versus a price of €26.65 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €32.16, optimistic scenario €68.85. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE)?
CIE Automotive S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €4.1B (latest available figure, as of Nov 13, 2026).
Does CIE Automotive S.A. pay a dividend?
CIE Automotive S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of 2.86% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 13, 2026).
How much is the dividend of CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE) and when is the ex-dividend date?
CIE Automotive S.A. pays a dividend of €0.761 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.9%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 3, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2012. The payout ratio is 26.6% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 4.38 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CIE Automotive S.A. would have to grow free cash flow by -0.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.6 % per year. As of Nov 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CIE use?
Our models discount CIE Automotive S.A. at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.84, country premium for Spain. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CIE Automotive S.A. that is -0.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CIE Automotive S.A. grew +6.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -0.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CIE Automotive S.A. (-0.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.51 %: that much free cash flow CIE Automotive S.A. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CIE Automotive S.A. it is €50.85 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026), against a price of €26.65. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is CIE Automotive S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 13, 2026, CIE trades below its calculated fair value: price €26.65, fair value €50.85, a gap of about +91% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CIE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€26.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€50.85). For CIE Automotive S.A. the two are €24.20 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CIE Automotive S.A. worth?
The market values CIE Automotive S.A. at about €3.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 13, 2026). Per share that is €26.65; our models calculate a fair value of €50.85 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CIE?
Our models span a range for CIE Automotive S.A.: cautious scenario €32.16, base €50.85, optimistic €68.85 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026, price €26.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CIE?
CIE Automotive S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.3 (as of Nov 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €50.85 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 10.1. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 2.2, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 4.8.
What is the PEG ratio of CIE?
The PEG ratio of CIE Automotive S.A. is 0.72 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 13, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE)?
Balance-sheet figures for CIE Automotive S.A. (as of Nov 13, 2026): return on equity 18.7%, debt of 0.95 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CIE from its 52-week high?
CIE Automotive S.A. trades at €26.65, about 15% below its 52-week high of €31.35 and 6% above the low of €25.10 (as of Nov 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €50.85 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CIE Automotive S.A.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CIE Automotive S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 13, 2026: price €26.65, calculated fair value €50.85 (+91%), Quality Score 59/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CIE calculated?
We run CIE Automotive S.A. through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €50.85 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.3% above its aggregate fair value. CIE Automotive S.A. currently trades 48% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE)?
The closing price on Nov 12, 2026 was €26.65. Our model-based fair value is €50.85, about +91% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CIE Automotive S.A. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€32.16). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (€32.16 to €68.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE) come from?
Earnings per share at CIE Automotive S.A. grew +12.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.7 %, EBIT margin +4.3 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of CIE Automotive S.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE)?
The market capitalisation of CIE Automotive S.A. is €3.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CIE Automotive S.A. is 0.77 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE)?
Earnings per share at CIE Automotive S.A. are €2.86 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE)?
The dividend yield of CIE Automotive S.A. is 2.9% (payout 26.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE)?
The net margin of CIE Automotive S.A. is 8.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CIE Automotive S.A. is 18.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CIE Automotive S.A. is 8.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE)?
The operating margin of CIE Automotive S.A. is 13.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE)?
Revenue at CIE Automotive S.A. is growing +6.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE)?
Earnings per share at CIE Automotive S.A. are growing +0.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does CIE Automotive S.A. (CIE) carry?
The net debt of CIE Automotive S.A. is €1.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 13, 2026