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CIE Automotive, S.A (CIE) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · ES · Market cap €3.1B

CA CIE Automotive, S.A CIE · MC
Price€26.20
Fair Value€46.01
Upside+75.6%
Quality59/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: Medium Range €27.97 – €68.79 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 14, 2026, revised from €57.95 to €46.01 (−20.6%) since Jul 18, 2026.

A solid business, screening 76% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€27.97). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (€27.97 to €68.79) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€31.35 €16.78 Fair Value €46.01 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €16.78 – €31.35 · fair‑value band €27.97 – €68.79 · the €26.20 price screens below the €46.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

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Analysis

CIE Automotive, S.A (CIE) currently trades at €26.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €46.01, implying the stock looks roughly 75.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, CIE Automotive, S.A generated revenue of €4.0B at a net margin of 8.5%. Revenue grew 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.7%. Net debt stands at €1.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €27.97 (bear case) to €68.79 (bull case); at €26.20, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at 76%, CIE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €32.81 €51.23 €77.10 80
Residual Income €17.75 €23.60 €102.98 76
Rev-Margin DCF €25.96 €43.65 €64.64 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €32.50 €53.86 €86.12 38
Owner Earnings €25.82 €43.33 €69.78 31
5Y Revenue Exit €25.96 €43.56 €66.08 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €41.31 €72.92 €110.45 41
5Y P/E Exit €35.59 €61.98 €90.18 38
10Y Revenue Exit €27.17 €43.77 €66.35 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €37.66 €63.95 €100.16 37
10Y P/E Exit €34.06 €56.43 €84.71 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €19.25 €66.66 €89.55 54
Lynch FV €15.44 €22.06 €28.67 50
PEG = 1.0 €15.44 €22.06 €28.67 46
EPV €28.37 €33.56 €38.04 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €8.12 €16.18 €24.50 70
DDM Multi-Stage €8.12 €13.86 €17.08 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €46.72 €62.29 €77.86 63
P/S Multiple €30.04 €40.05 €50.06 58
P/B Multiple €36.10 €48.13 €60.16 55
EV/EBIT €58.17 €79.07 €99.96 53
EV/EBITDA €52.09 €70.97 €89.84 54
EV/Revenue €23.50 €35.52 €47.53 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €6.11 €8.19 €12.22 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €32.81 €51.23 €77.10 80
Rev-Margin DCF €25.96 €43.65 €64.64 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €17.75 €23.60 €102.98 76
ROIC Compounder €31.00 €40.35 €51.23 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €39.91 €57.01 €74.11 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€57.01) versus Asset-Based (€8.19). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €4.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.9%
Net margin 8.5%
Return on equity 18.7%
Free cash flow €395M FY2025
P/E ratio 9.3
More key figures
Operating margin 14.5%
EPS (TTM) €2.81
EPS growth (YoY) +0.3%
Net debt €1.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CIE Automotive, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automotive parts and components in North America, Brazil, Asia, CIE Forging Europe, and rest of Europe.

Full company description

CIE Automotive, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automotive parts and components in North America, Brazil, Asia, CIE Forging Europe, and rest of Europe. The company offers powertrain and gearbox products, including brackets, pistons, camshaft bearing housing, tube assemblies, gasoline common rail, valve guide, double clutch component, body pump, crankshaft cap, camshaft cover and bearing, air tank, crankshaft, turbo housing, diesel common rail, gearbox housing, and ladder frame; and chassis, steering, and structural parts comprising structural parts, hubs and outer rings, EPS housing and component, steering nut and housing, axle arm, airbag frame, steering column braket and tube, spindles, control arm, rear axle support, suspension, caliper brackets, and front/rear knuckles. It also provides transmission and brake products, such as motor housing, pins for differential case, planetary carrier, clutch and transmission housing, differential components, planetary carrier, differential crown and reductor fixed gear, oil pan, differential housing, differential case, flanges, CV-joint, sprocket, double clutch component, brake booster, axle shaft, I-booster, and transmission yokes; interior and exterior trim products, including storage and glove compartment, central console, ashtray, trim and seat part, seat and front cover, load floor composite spray molding, emblem, crossbeam, seat part and component, connector and junction boxes, rear window package tray, in mould decoration, wheel cover, rear view mirrors, door handle, arm rest, cup holder, pilars, grab handles, and speaker grill. In addition, the company offers roof systems; and commercial vehicle products, such as lay and input shaft, lever, brake camshaft, differential housing, front lid, air suspension braket, brake drum, injection pump, sector shaft, stabilizer bar, battery box component, and axle beam. CIE Automotive, S.A. was incorporated in 1939 and is headquartered in Bilbao, Spain.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CIE Automotive, S.A reported revenue of €4.0B in FY2025 versus €3.3B in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was €336M in FY2025, compounding +5.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€4.0B
Latest YoY
−0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.2%
Revenue +4.9%/yr
FY21 €3.3B
FY22 €3.8B
FY23 €4.0B
FY24 €4.0B
FY25 €4.0B
Net income +5.8%/yr
FY21 €268M
FY22 €300M
FY23 €320M
FY24 €326M
FY25 €336M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +12.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.7 pp

of which total revenue +4.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.8 pp

EBIT margin +4.3 pp
Tax rate +0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CIE Automotive, S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CIE

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +76% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.95× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.45× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.89× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 9.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.72× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 16
FUTURE 20 · sector 23
PAST 75 · sector 26
HEALTH 52 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 31

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 511,000 KRW 643,909 KRW +26%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,142 MXN +2%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹169.50 ₹80.63 -52%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹46,750 ₹13,061 -72%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,082 ₹393.20 -81%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,232 ₹426.57 -65%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,126 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 71,500 KRW 196,479 KRW +175%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹799.90 ₹207.06 -74%
Balkrishna Industries Limited BALKRISIND ₹2,497 ₹1,211 -51%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CIE Automotive, S.A (CIE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €46.01 versus a price of €26.20, about +76% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CIE?
Our model-based fair value for CIE Automotive, S.A is €46.01 (as of Aug 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €26.20.
What is the quality score of CIE?
CIE Automotive, S.A has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CIE Automotive, S.A (CIE)?
CIE Automotive, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €4.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CIE?
The net profit margin of CIE Automotive, S.A is about 8.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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