Cokal Limited (CKA) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$52.9M
Fair value as of: Jun 11, 2026
From 5 valuation models · updated 60 days ago
Share price +32.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 85% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0100). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (17/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0240 – A$0.2500 · the A$0.0650 price screens above the A$0.0100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 11, 2026.
Analysis
Cokal Limited (CKA) currently trades at A$0.0650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0100, implying the stock looks roughly 84.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 17/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$3.5M. Revenue grew 6.8% year over year. Net debt stands at A$29.6M. Fundamentals as of Jun 11, 2026
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 141% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at -85%, CKA screens richer than that median.
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 17 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cokal Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the identification, exploration, and development of coal in Indonesia, Australia, and Tanzania. The company explores for metallurgical coal deposits. Its flagship project is the 60% owned Bumi Barito Mineral project that covers an area of 14,980 hectares located in Central Kalimantan, Indonesia.
Full company description
Cokal Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the identification, exploration, and development of coal in Indonesia, Australia, and Tanzania. The company explores for metallurgical coal deposits. Its flagship project is the 60% owned Bumi Barito Mineral project that covers an area of 14,980 hectares located in Central Kalimantan, Indonesia. Cokal Limited is based in Sydney, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cokal Limited reported revenue of A$3.4M in FY2025 versus A$3.4K in FY2021, a compound +461.2%/yr. Reported net income was −A$7.3M in FY2025.
CKA screens 85% overvalued. Compare with PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, →
Peer Group
Coking Coal · 28 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR | 1,515 IDR | 1,267 IDR | -16% |
| Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC | $78.91 | $18.35 | -77% |
| Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 | ¥3.34 | ¥1.24 | -63% |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR | $143.80 | $45.29 | -69% |
| Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 | HK$2.39 | HK$2.34 | -2% |
| Shanxi Coking Co 600740 | ¥3.54 | ¥1.75 | -51% |
| Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 | ¥5.41 | ¥1.72 | -68% |
| Ramaco Resources, Inc METC | $12.80 | $1.74 | -86% |
| Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 | ¥2.63 | ¥1.91 | -27% |
| SunCoke Energy, Inc SXC | $8.37 | $3.67 | -56% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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