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Caledonia Mining Corporation (CMCL) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $396M

Price$19.59
Fair Value$48.61
Upside+148.1%
Quality86/100
Evidence: Medium Range $36.45 – $90.05

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

Analysis

Caledonia Mining Corporation (CMCL) currently trades at $19.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $48.61 — implying the stock looks roughly 148.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 86/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc primarily operates a gold mine in Jersey. It also engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties for precious metals. The company was formerly known as Caledonia Mining Corporation and changed its name to Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc in March 2016. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Saint Helier, Jersey.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Caledonia Mining Corporation (CMCL) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $48.61 versus a price of $19.59 — about +148% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CMCL?
Our 21-model fair value for Caledonia Mining Corporation is $48.61 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $19.59.
What is the quality score of CMCL?
Caledonia Mining Corporation has a Quality Score of 86/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.