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CONX Corp. (CNXX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of CONX Corp. $1.56, price $5.56, upside -71.9%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · US

CC CONX Corp. logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

CONX Corp.

CNXX · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $1.56 · Strongly overvalued (−72%)
!Quality 33/100
!Weak Growth (revenue YoY +0.0 %/yr)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/7)
!Narrow moat 39/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$11.35 $1.00 Fair Value $1.56 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.00 – $11.35 · fair‑value band $1.17 – $1.96 · the $5.56 price screens above the $1.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

CONX Corp. is involved in the operation of real estate property. It operates through two segments: Technology & Telecommunications, Infrastructure & Real Estate. The company also provides cloud - based solutions and operated 5G connectivity solutions. In addition, it offers citizens broadband radio service, television white space. CONX Corp.

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CONX Corp. is involved in the operation of real estate property. It operates through two segments: Technology & Telecommunications, Infrastructure & Real Estate. The company also provides cloud - based solutions and operated 5G connectivity solutions. In addition, it offers citizens broadband radio service, television white space. CONX Corp. was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Littleton, Colorado.

Stock analysis

CONX Corp. (CNXX) currently trades at $5.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.56, implying the stock looks roughly 255.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 4 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $1.17 (bear) to $1.96 (bull), the price of $5.56 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

CONX Corp. reported revenue of $21.1K in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was $2.7M in FY2025, compounding −39.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $146M · P/E ratio 3.0 · EPS (TTM) $1.84 · Net margin 1,996% · Return on equity 31.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.4% · Operating margin −53.2% · Revenue growth (YoY) +30.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 209% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −72%, CNXX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.17 Fair Value $1.56 Bull $1.96
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.35 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple $1.38 $1.84 $2.30 63
Graham-Dodd $0.9600 $1.17 $1.32 61
All 2 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.9600 $1.17 $1.32 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.38 $1.84 $2.30 63

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 14/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−2.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

CNXX screens 255% overvalued. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 547 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −72% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −53% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 31% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 43.49× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 38
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 65

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 236,000 VND 25,731 VND −89%
CBRE Group CBRE $141.05 $89.43 −37%
Vonovia SE VNA €17.09 €36.67 +115%
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €25.33 €23.78 −6%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$42.78 HK$17.18 −60%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $324.06 $530.17 +64%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.40 HK$13.50 −45%
CoStar Group CSGP $28.77 $6.17 −79%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$37.44 HK$56.43 +51%
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.62 SGD 0.5000 SGD −81%

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CONX Corp. · Fair Value
$1.56 −255%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CONX Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNXX

Frequently asked questions

Is CONX Corp. (CNXX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.56 versus a price of $5.56, about −72% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CNXX?
Our model-based fair value for CONX Corp. is $1.56 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.56.
What is the quality score of CNXX?
CONX Corp. has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CONX Corp. (CNXX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.56 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.17, optimistic scenario $1.96. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CONX Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.56, about −72% upside versus a price of $5.56 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.17, optimistic scenario $1.96. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of CONX Corp. (CNXX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CONX Corp. it is $1.56 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $5.56. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CONX Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CNXX trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.56, fair value $1.56, a gap of about −72% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CNXX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.56); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.56). For CONX Corp. the two are $4.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CONX Corp. worth?
The market values CONX Corp. at about $146M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $5.56; our models calculate a fair value of $1.56 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CNXX?
Our models span a range for CONX Corp.: cautious scenario $1.17, base $1.56, optimistic $1.96 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $5.56). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CNXX?
CONX Corp. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 3.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.56 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 43.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of CONX Corp. (CNXX)?
Balance-sheet figures for CONX Corp. (as of Sep 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CNXX from its 52-week high?
CONX Corp. trades at $5.56, about 13% below its 52-week high of $6.40 and 209% above the low of $1.80 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.56 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CONX Corp.?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CONX Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $5.56, calculated fair value $1.56 (−72%), Quality Score 33/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CNXX calculated?
We run CONX Corp. through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.56, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. CONX Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CONX Corp. (CNXX)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $5.56. Our model-based fair value is $1.56, about −72% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CONX Corp. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of CONX Corp.

How large is the market capitalisation of CONX Corp. (CNXX)?
The market capitalisation of CONX Corp. is $146M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of CONX Corp. (CNXX)?
Earnings per share at CONX Corp. are $1.84 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 3.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of CONX Corp. (CNXX)?
The net margin of CONX Corp. is 1,996% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CONX Corp. (CNXX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CONX Corp. is 31.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CONX Corp. (CNXX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CONX Corp. is −2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CONX Corp. (CNXX)?
The operating margin of CONX Corp. is −53.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CONX Corp. (CNXX)?
Revenue at CONX Corp. is growing +30.5% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CONX Corp. (CNXX)?
Earnings per share at CONX Corp. are growing −10.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does CONX Corp. (CNXX) generate?
The free cash flow of CONX Corp. is −$31.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does CONX Corp. (CNXX) carry?
The net debt of CONX Corp. is $83.1M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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