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CONX Corp (CNXX) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $73.3M

CC CONX Corp logo CONX Corp CNXX · US
Price$4.50
Fair Value$4.21
Upside-6.5%
Quality33/100
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Weak Growth
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: Low Range $3.15 – $5.25 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price −29.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$11.35 $1.00 Fair Value $4.21 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.00 – $11.35 · fair‑value band $3.15 – $5.25 · the $4.50 price screens above the $4.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

CONX Corp (CNXX) currently trades at $4.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.21, implying the stock looks roughly 6.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $3.4M. Revenue grew 30.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 31.6%. Net debt stands at $83.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.15 (bear case) to $5.25 (bull case); at $4.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 150% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -7%, CNXX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E $2.58 $3.69 $4.79 68
P/E Multiple $3.71 $4.95 $6.18 63
P/S Multiple $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 58
All 4 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.9600 $1.17 $1.32 54
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.71 $4.95 $6.18 63
P/S Multiple $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 58
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.58 $3.69 $4.79 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($3.69) versus Multiples ($0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) +30.5%
Net margin 1,996%
Return on equity 31.6%
Free cash flow −$31.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 2.1
More key figures
Operating margin -53.2%
EPS (TTM) $1.84
EPS growth (YoY) -10.9%
Net debt $83.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CONX Corp. is involved in the operation of real estate property. It operates through two segments: Technology & Telecommunications, Infrastructure & Real Estate. The company also provides cloud - based solutions and operated 5G connectivity solutions. In addition, it offers citizens broadband radio service, television white space. CONX Corp.

Full company description

CONX Corp. is involved in the operation of real estate property. It operates through two segments: Technology & Telecommunications, Infrastructure & Real Estate. The company also provides cloud - based solutions and operated 5G connectivity solutions. In addition, it offers citizens broadband radio service, television white space. CONX Corp. was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Littleton, Colorado.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CONX Corp reported revenue of $21.1K in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was $2.7M in FY2025, compounding −39.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 14/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$21.1K
Latest YoY
+0.0%
Revenue
FY21 $0
FY22 $0
FY23 $0
FY24 $21.1K
FY25 $21.1K
Net income −39.0%/yr
FY21 $19.4M
FY22 $24.2M
FY23 −$6.0M
FY24 $2.7M
FY25 $2.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CONX Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNXX

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 520 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −7% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -53% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 31% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 21.77× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 25 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 10
PAST 100 · sector 16
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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KE Holdings 2423 HK$44.76 HK$18.03 -60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$23.90 HK$18.75 -22%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,725 CLP 5,571 CLP +50%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,324 CLP 2,976 CLP +28%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 3,998 ARS +60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CONX Corp (CNXX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.21 versus a price of $4.50, about −7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CNXX?
Our model-based fair value for CONX Corp is $4.21 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.50.
What is the quality score of CNXX?
CONX Corp has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CONX Corp (CNXX)?
CONX Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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