Coffee Stain Group (COFFEE-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · SE · Market cap 3.9B SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from kr 6.62 to kr 2.11 (−68.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (7 months)
7‑month range kr 16.03 – kr 23.80 · fair‑value band kr 1.39 – kr 2.64 · the kr 17.52 price screens above the kr 2.11 fair value. As of Jul 11, 2026.
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Coffee Stain Group (COFFEE-B) currently trades at kr 17.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 2.11, implying the stock looks roughly 88.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Coffee Stain Group generated revenue of 961M SEK at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue grew 20.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 598M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 1.39 (bear case) to kr 2.64 (bull case); at kr 17.52, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -88%, COFFEE-B screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Coffee Stain Group AB (publ) develops and publishes community-driven games primarily for PC and console platforms in Scandinavia and internationally. It operates game studios, including Coffee Stain, Ghost Ship, and Tuxedo Labs. The company's titles include Goat Simulator, Satisfactory, Deep Rock Galactic, Valheim, Teardown, and Welcome to Bloxburg. It serves gamers and digital entertainment consumers. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Karlstad, Sweden.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2024 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Coffee Stain Group reported revenue of kr 961M in FY2026 versus kr 1.1B in FY2024, a compound −5.9%/yr. Reported net income was kr 11.0M in FY2026, compounding −81.4%/yr from FY2024.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.