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Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc (COKE) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $11.9B

CC Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc logo Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc COKE · US
Price$187.90
Fair Value$195.28
Upside+3.9%
Quality77/100
Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.7% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
0.57% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 60/100
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Evidence: High Range $106.30 – $265.01 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from $194.96 to $195.28 (+0.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.1% over the past month.

A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($106.30 to $265.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$216.63 $27.34 Fair Value $195.28 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $27.34 – $216.63 · fair‑value band $106.30 – $265.01 · the $187.90 price screens below the $195.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc (COKE) currently trades at $187.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $195.28, implying the stock looks roughly 3.9% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 77/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc generated revenue of $7.5B at a net margin of 7.7%. Revenue grew 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 135.2%. Net debt stands at $2.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $106.30 (bear case) to $265.01 (bull case); at $187.90, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -9% fair-value upside, at 4%, COKE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $87.36 $154.15 $251.44 80
Rev-Margin DCF $97.89 $189.76 $297.43 74
ROIC Compounder $90.94 $122.17 $155.85 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $85.68 $162.27 $281.83 38
Owner Earnings $55.32 $113.78 $205.03 31
5Y Revenue Exit $97.89 $190.62 $310.62 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $120.05 $232.77 $366.16 41
5Y P/E Exit $90.51 $176.57 $268.03 38
10Y Revenue Exit $87.55 $171.77 $288.15 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $106.53 $201.31 $331.22 37
10Y P/E Exit $87.57 $161.93 $255.13 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $68.65 $231.38 $310.08 54
Lynch FV $52.79 $75.41 $98.04 50
PEG = 1.0 $52.79 $75.41 $98.04 46
EPV $83.56 $104.58 $122.97 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $14.08 $29.28 $46.45 70
DDM Multi-Stage $14.08 $24.16 $30.73 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $151.44 $201.91 $252.39 63
P/S Multiple $128.72 $171.63 $214.53 58
EV/EBIT $184.54 $260.23 $335.93 53
EV/EBITDA $159.16 $226.40 $293.63 54
EV/Revenue $110.53 $176.13 $241.73 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $87.36 $154.15 $251.44 80
Rev-Margin DCF $97.89 $189.76 $297.43 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $90.94 $122.17 $155.85 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $129.56 $185.08 $240.60 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($201.91) versus Dividend Discount ($24.16). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $7.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.3%
Net margin 7.7%
Return on equity 135%
Free cash flow $625M FY2025
P/E ratio 24.6
More key figures
Operating margin 7.4%
EPS (TTM) $7.30
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +266%
Net debt $2.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 77/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 79
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes nonalcoholic beverages in the United States. It operates through Nonalcoholic Beverages and All Other segments.

Full company description

Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes nonalcoholic beverages in the United States. It operates through Nonalcoholic Beverages and All Other segments. The company offers sparkling beverages; still beverages, including energy products; noncarbonated beverages, such as bottled water, ready to drink coffee and tea, enhanced water, juices, and sports drinks. It also sells its products to other Coca-Cola bottlers; and post-mix products that are dispensed through equipment, which mix the fountain syrups with carbonated or still water enabling fountain retailers to sell finished products to consumers in cups or glasses. In addition, the company manufactures and distributes various other beverage brands comprising Dr Pepper and Monster Energy. It sells and distributes its products directly to customers, including grocery stores, mass merchandise stores, club stores, convenience stores and drug stores, restaurants, schools, amusement parks, and recreational facilities, as well as vending machine outlets. The company was formerly known as Coca-Cola Bottling Co. Consolidated and changed its name to Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. in January 2019. Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc reported revenue of $7.2B in FY2025 versus $5.6B in FY2021, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was $571M in FY2025, compounding +31.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$7.2B
Latest YoY
+4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+7.9%
Revenue +6.8%/yr
FY21 $5.6B
FY22 $6.2B
FY23 $6.7B
FY24 $6.9B
FY25 $7.2B
Net income +31.7%/yr
FY21 $190M
FY22 $430M
FY23 $408M
FY24 $633M
FY25 $571M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/COKE

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 91 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +4% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 135% · Top 25%
Return on assets 13% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.6× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.59× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 19.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 3.04× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 39 · sector 27
FUTURE 42 · sector 46
PAST 100 · sector 48
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 11 · sector 45

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $137.38 $106.91 -22%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $97.50 $35.82 -63%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$41.44 HK$30.72 -26%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP €92.10 €85.41 -7%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $31.25 $30.99 -1%
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF $102.04 $106.45 +4%
Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE €57.90 €52.82 -9%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹495.70 ₹187.49 -62%
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥124.43 ¥107.57 -14%
MIXUE Group 2097 HK$229.20 HK$339.26 +48%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc (COKE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $195.28 versus a price of $187.90, about +4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of COKE?
Our model-based fair value for Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc is $195.28 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $187.90.
What is the quality score of COKE?
Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc has a Quality Score of 77/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc (COKE)?
Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of COKE?
The net profit margin of Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc is about 7.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc pay a dividend?
Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.56% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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