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Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 22, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Coca-Cola HBC AG stock €40.87, price €54.60, upside -25.1%, quality 66 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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This is a secondary listing. View primary listing Coca Cola HBC AG (CCH.LSE) →
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Broad data
Oct 5, 2026
Broad data
Oct 5, 2026
Coca-Cola HBC AG
EEE · ATOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
Our calculation puts a fair price 25% below what the stock costs today.
Quality 66/100
Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +13.6 %/yr in EUR)
Generates free cash flow
2.2% dividend yield · Well covered
Wide moat 67/100
Broad data
Thin margins · 8.1% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt
Fair value €40.87 · Overvalued (−25.1%)
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €16.44 – €59.90 · fair‑value band €28.22 – €53.39 · the €54.60 price screens above the €40.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 5, 2026.
Company profile
Coca-Cola HBC AG engages in the production, distribution, and sale of non-alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages under franchise in Switzerland and internationally.
Show moreShow less
The company offers sparkling soft drinks, adult sparkling, hydration drinks, juices, ready-to-drink tea, energy drinks, dairy, coffee, water, plant-based drinks, premium spirits and flavored alcoholic beverages, and snacks.
It markets and sells its products under several brands, including Coca-Cola, Fanta, Sprite, Adez, Averna, Amita, Aquarius, Aperol, Avra, Deep RiverRock, Fruice, Kinley, Schweppes, and various other brands; and distributes third-party products, such as Monster energy drinks, and beer.
The company serves retail outlets, include supermarkets, discounters, convenience stores, wholesalers, hotels, restaurants, cafés, and e-commerce retailers. Coca-Cola HBC AG was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Steinhausen, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE) currently trades at €54.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €40.87, 25.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €45.70 per share, and 4 of the 26 models we run sit above the €54.60 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €13.89, and 22 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €28.22 (bear) to €53.39 (bull), the price of €54.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Coca-Cola HBC AG reported revenue of €11.6B in FY2025 versus €7.2B in FY2021, a compound +12.8%/yr. Reported net income was €940M in FY2025, compounding +14.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €19.8B Large · P/E ratio 20.0 · P/S ratio 1.93 · EPS (TTM) €2.73 · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 8.1% · Return on equity 26.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −25%, EEE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €28.22
Fair Value €40.87
Bull €53.39
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€1.24 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF
€23.48
€36.78
€55.90
79
Growth DCF
€23.51
€36.02
€53.39
78
Owner Earnings
€21.68
€34.00
€51.71
76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
€23.48
€36.78
€55.90
79
Owner Earnings
€21.68
€34.00
€51.71
76
5Y Revenue Exit
€28.22
€48.14
€74.19
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
€34.62
€60.51
€91.58
74
5Y P/E Exit
€30.91
€53.34
€77.59
70
10Y Revenue Exit
€25.13
€42.27
€66.46
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
€29.93
€50.45
€79.26
67
10Y P/E Exit
€27.68
€45.70
€68.97
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
€17.55
€63.73
€85.96
64
Lynch FV
€15.14
€21.62
€28.11
61
PEG = 1.0
€15.14
€21.62
€28.11
57
EPV
€25.03
€28.76
€31.89
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
€8.32
€15.46
€21.89
67
DDM Multi-Stage
€8.32
€13.89
€16.46
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
€40.64
€54.18
€67.73
63
P/S Multiple
€32.90
€43.86
€54.83
58
P/B Multiple
€14.95
€19.93
€24.92
55
EV/EBIT
€44.01
€59.66
€75.32
66
EV/EBITDA
€44.35
€60.11
€75.88
67
EV/Revenue
€30.48
€44.80
€59.13
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
€1.81
€2.43
€3.62
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
€23.51
€36.02
€53.39
78
Rev-Margin DCF
€28.22
€47.87
€71.37
72
Economic Profit
Residual Income
€14.16
€18.32
€30.31
74
ROIC Compounder
€27.13
€33.89
€41.57
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
€28.61
€40.87
€53.14
67
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
66/100
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Profitability
64
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth
52
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow
47
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength
68
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment
73
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility
88
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum
56
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high
76
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares
81
Buys back shares or issues new ones?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
89/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.2% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+16.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 12%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+14.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.0% a year for the price and +12.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+7.8%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+20.3%
Projected 2028 (sales)+18.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+15.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+13.4%
EEE screens overvalued: fair value 25% below the price. Compare with PepsiCo, Inc →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (83 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
- What Does Coca-Cola (KO) Gain From 14 African Markets And $10 Billion Spending?
- Coca-Cola HBC AG (CCHBF) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Volume-Led Growth Drives ...
- Coca-Cola (KO) Advances 75% Africa Bottler Deal After South African Approval Backing
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 81 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Alcohol
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 | ¥100.65 | ¥173.16 | +72% | vs EEE |
| Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP | $34.47 | $40.34 | +17% | vs EEE |
| Monster Beverage Corporation MNST | $46.63 | $51.29 | +10% | vs EEE |
| Nongfu Spring Co 9633 | HK$41.04 | HK$45.14 | +10% | vs EEE |
| Celsius Holdings CELH | $28.31 | $31.14 | +10% | vs EEE |
| Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP | $110.29 | $84.83 | −23% | vs EEE |
| PepsiCo, Inc PEP | $134.02 | $97.18 | −27% | vs EEE |
| Primo Brands Corporation PRMB | $20.03 | $12.22 | −39% | vs EEE |
| Varun Beverages Limited VBL | ₹420.55 | ₹188.52 | −55% | vs EEE |
| The Coca-Cola Company KO | $92.68 | $29.32 | −68% | vs EEE |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €40.87 versus a price of €54.60, about −25% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EEE?
Our model-based fair value for Coca-Cola HBC AG is €40.87 (as of Oct 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €54.60.
What is the quality score of EEE?
Coca-Cola HBC AG has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €40.87 (as of Oct 5, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario €28.22, optimistic scenario €53.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Coca-Cola HBC AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €40.87, about −25% upside versus a price of €54.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €28.22, optimistic scenario €53.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE)?
Coca-Cola HBC AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €12.2B (latest available figure, as of Oct 5, 2026).
Does Coca-Cola HBC AG pay a dividend?
Coca-Cola HBC AG currently shows a dividend yield of 2.20% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Coca-Cola HBC AG would have to grow free cash flow by +17.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.6 % per year. As of Oct 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EEE use?
Our models discount Coca-Cola HBC AG at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.54, country premium for Greece. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Coca-Cola HBC AG that is +17.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Coca-Cola HBC AG grew +13.6 % a year. The price currently implies +17.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Coca-Cola HBC AG (+17.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.83 %: that much free cash flow Coca-Cola HBC AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Coca-Cola HBC AG it is €40.87 per share (as of Oct 5, 2026), against a price of €54.60. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Coca-Cola HBC AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 5, 2026, EEE trades above its calculated fair value: price €54.60, fair value €40.87, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EEE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€54.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€40.87). For Coca-Cola HBC AG the two are €13.73 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Coca-Cola HBC AG worth?
The market values Coca-Cola HBC AG at about €19.8B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 5, 2026). Per share that is €54.60; our models calculate a fair value of €40.87 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EEE?
Our models span a range for Coca-Cola HBC AG: cautious scenario €28.22, base €40.87, optimistic €53.39 per share (as of Oct 5, 2026, price €54.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EEE?
Coca-Cola HBC AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.0 (as of Oct 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €40.87 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.9, P/B 5.8, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 13.4.
What is the PEG ratio of EEE?
The PEG ratio of Coca-Cola HBC AG is 1.86 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 5, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Coca-Cola HBC AG (as of Oct 5, 2026): return on equity 26.0%, debt of 0.75 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EEE from its 52-week high?
Coca-Cola HBC AG trades at €54.60, about 9% below its 52-week high of €59.90 and 40% above the low of €39.02 (as of Oct 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €40.87 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Coca-Cola HBC AG?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Coca-Cola HBC AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 5, 2026: price €54.60, calculated fair value €40.87 (−25%), Quality Score 66/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EEE calculated?
We run Coca-Cola HBC AG through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €40.87, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Coca-Cola HBC AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE)?
The closing price on Oct 22, 2026 was €54.60. Our model-based fair value is €40.87, about −25% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Coca-Cola HBC AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€53.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€28.22 to €53.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Coca-Cola HBC AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE)?
The market capitalisation of Coca-Cola HBC AG is €19.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Coca-Cola HBC AG is 1.93 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE)?
Earnings per share at Coca-Cola HBC AG are €2.73 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE)?
The dividend yield of Coca-Cola HBC AG is 2.2% (payout 44.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE)?
The net margin of Coca-Cola HBC AG is 8.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Coca-Cola HBC AG is 26.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Coca-Cola HBC AG is 10.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE)?
The operating margin of Coca-Cola HBC AG is 12.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE)?
Revenue at Coca-Cola HBC AG is growing +10.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE)?
Earnings per share at Coca-Cola HBC AG are growing +11.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Coca-Cola HBC AG (EEE) carry?
The net debt of Coca-Cola HBC AG is €1.1B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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