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G Collado S.A.B. de C.V (COLLADO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Jul 9, 2026: fair value of G Collado S.A.B. de C.V MXN 3.49, price MXN 7.80, upside -55.3%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · MX · ISIN MXP201301019

GC Thin data Sep 24, 2026

G Collado S.A.B. de C.V

COLLADO · MX

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 3.49 MXN · Strongly overvalued (−55.3%)
!Quality 50/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +9.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.2% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
!Narrow moat 32/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 21 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

8.22 MXN 6.71 MXN Fair Value 3.49 MXN Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 6.71 MXN – 8.22 MXN · the 7.80 MXN price screens above the 3.49 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

G Collado, S.A.B. de C.V. engages in the manufacture, transformation, processing, purchase, sale, and distribution of steel products in Mexico.

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G Collado, S.A.B. de C.V. engages in the manufacture, transformation, processing, purchase, sale, and distribution of steel products in Mexico. The company provides blueprint products, comprising corrugated, cast-anti slip, claw anti-slip, galvanized and painted, hot and cold rolled, and steel plates, as well as black and galvanized boards; and meshes and derivatives, such as fence accessories, polished and galvanized wire, lattices, concertinas, gabion, perforating sheet, cyclonic mesh, expanded metal, structural expanded metal, ceiling and gutter, and steel grates. It offers pipeline products, including galvanized steel conduit, square industrial, oval industrial, rectangular industrial, industrial round, and standard X pipes, as well as structural tube schedules; and construction products, such as annealed wires, prefabricated castles, standard headed nail, ladders, welded mesh, and rods. In addition, the company offers commercial profiles, including commercial angles, channels, mon-ten channels, squares, hollow structural, galvanized and painted tubular, rectangular tubular, round, soleras, IPR and IPS beam, zeta and tee; and damping economizer system. The company was founded in 1949 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.

Stock analysis

G Collado S.A.B. de C.V (COLLADO) currently trades at 7.80 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.49 MXN, 55.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 31.87 MXN per share, and 11 of the 21 models we run sit above the 7.80 MXN price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.8300 MXN, and 10 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

G Collado S.A.B. de C.V reported revenue of 8.3B MXN in FY2019 versus 5.6B MXN in FY2015, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was 21.0M MXN in FY2019.

Key figures

Market cap 1.6B MXN (≈ $90.1M) · P/E ratio 21.1 · P/S ratio 0.05 · EPS (TTM) 0.3700 MXN · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 5.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6% · Operating margin 4.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −55%, COLLADO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 3.49 MXN Fair Value 3.49 MXN Bull 3.49 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 41.06 MXN 60.89 MXN 86.37 MXN 80
Growth DCF 40.94 MXN 57.78 MXN 77.94 MXN 79
5Y EBITDA Exit 21.38 MXN 30.10 MXN 39.58 MXN 76
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 41.06 MXN 60.89 MXN 86.37 MXN 80
5Y Revenue Exit 19.53 MXN 26.57 MXN 34.59 MXN 73
5Y EBITDA Exit 21.38 MXN 30.10 MXN 39.58 MXN 76
5Y P/E Exit 15.27 MXN 18.46 MXN 21.23 MXN 72
10Y Revenue Exit 28.37 MXN 36.73 MXN 46.66 MXN 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 29.59 MXN 38.84 MXN 49.97 MXN 69
10Y P/E Exit 26.23 MXN 31.87 MXN 37.80 MXN 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.7400 MXN 2.53 MXN 3.40 MXN 64
Lynch FV 0.5800 MXN 0.8300 MXN 1.08 MXN 61
PEG = 1.0 0.5800 MXN 0.8300 MXN 1.08 MXN 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM n/a n/a 0.0100 MXN 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.39 MXN 1.86 MXN 2.32 MXN 63
P/S Multiple 1.39 MXN 1.86 MXN 2.32 MXN 58
P/B Multiple 1.39 MXN 1.86 MXN 2.32 MXN 55
EV/EBIT 5.16 MXN 8.69 MXN 12.23 MXN 64
EV/EBITDA 8.08 MXN 12.59 MXN 17.09 MXN 66
EV/Revenue 3.75 MXN 7.68 MXN 11.62 MXN 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.32 MXN 4.45 MXN 6.65 MXN 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 40.94 MXN 57.78 MXN 77.94 MXN 79
Rev-Margin DCF 19.53 MXN 27.45 MXN 37.10 MXN 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income 4.13 MXN 3.66 MXN 3.44 MXN 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.22 MXN 1.75 MXN 2.27 MXN 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.2%
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.4% (2014) → 2.3% (2019)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

COLLADO screens overvalued: fair value 55% below the price. Compare with Nucor Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 405 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside −55.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5.2% · Above median
Return on assets 4.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −13.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.86× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.28× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.15× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 4.4× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 33
PAST (return on equity)21 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)57 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nucor Corporation NUE $236.24 $116.49 −51%
ArcelorMittal S.A MT €59.82 €35.15 −41%
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $230.39 $127.93 −44%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,233 ₹1,095 −11%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹178.00 ₹147.10 −17%
Reliance, Inc RS $393.04 $211.55 −46%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.84 ¥8.07 +38%
POSCO Holdings 005490 311,000 KRW 155,270 KRW −50%
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010 ¥2.09 ¥0.5300 −75%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,165 ₹516.27 −56%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "G Collado S.A.B. de C.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/COLLADO

Frequently asked questions

Is G Collado S.A.B. de C.V (COLLADO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.49 MXN versus the last price from Jul 9, 2026 of 7.80 MXN, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of COLLADO?
Our model-based fair value for G Collado S.A.B. de C.V is 3.49 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 9, 2026): 7.80 MXN.
What is the quality score of COLLADO?
G Collado S.A.B. de C.V has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for G Collado S.A.B. de C.V (COLLADO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.49 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the G Collado S.A.B. de C.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.49 MXN, about −55% upside versus the last price from Jul 9, 2026 of 7.80 MXN (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of G Collado S.A.B. de C.V (COLLADO)?
G Collado S.A.B. de C.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.2B MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of G Collado S.A.B. de C.V (COLLADO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For G Collado S.A.B. de C.V it is 3.49 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 7.80 MXN. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is G Collado S.A.B. de C.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, COLLADO trades above its calculated fair value: price 7.80 MXN, fair value 3.49 MXN, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of COLLADO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (7.80 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.49 MXN). For G Collado S.A.B. de C.V the two are 4.31 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is G Collado S.A.B. de C.V worth?
The market values G Collado S.A.B. de C.V at about 1.6B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 7.80 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 3.49 MXN per share.
What is the P/E ratio of COLLADO?
G Collado S.A.B. de C.V trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 3.49 MXN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 4.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of G Collado S.A.B. de C.V (COLLADO)?
Balance-sheet figures for G Collado S.A.B. de C.V (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.2%, debt of 0.86 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is COLLADO from its 52-week high?
G Collado S.A.B. de C.V trades at 7.80 MXN, at its 52-week high of 7.80 MXN and at the low of 7.80 MXN (as of Jul 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.49 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to G Collado S.A.B. de C.V?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is G Collado S.A.B. de C.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 7.80 MXN, calculated fair value 3.49 MXN (−55%), Quality Score 50/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of COLLADO calculated?
We run G Collado S.A.B. de C.V through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.49 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. G Collado S.A.B. de C.V itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of G Collado S.A.B. de C.V (COLLADO)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 9, 2026 and stands at 7.80 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 3.49 MXN, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with G Collado S.A.B. de C.V right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.49 MXN). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of G Collado S.A.B. de C.V

How large is the market capitalisation of G Collado S.A.B. de C.V (COLLADO)?
The market capitalisation of G Collado S.A.B. de C.V is 1.6B MXN (≈ $90.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of G Collado S.A.B. de C.V (COLLADO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of G Collado S.A.B. de C.V is 0.05 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of G Collado S.A.B. de C.V (COLLADO)?
Earnings per share at G Collado S.A.B. de C.V are 0.3700 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of G Collado S.A.B. de C.V (COLLADO)?
The net margin of G Collado S.A.B. de C.V is 0.3% (fiscal year 2019). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of G Collado S.A.B. de C.V (COLLADO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of G Collado S.A.B. de C.V is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of G Collado S.A.B. de C.V (COLLADO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of G Collado S.A.B. de C.V is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of G Collado S.A.B. de C.V (COLLADO)?
The operating margin of G Collado S.A.B. de C.V is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at G Collado S.A.B. de C.V (COLLADO)?
Revenue at G Collado S.A.B. de C.V is growing −13.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at G Collado S.A.B. de C.V (COLLADO)?
Earnings per share at G Collado S.A.B. de C.V are growing −57.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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