Viña Concha y Toro S.A (CONCHATORO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CL · Market cap 636B CLP
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price +1.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 44% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (1,012 CLP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (1,012 CLP to 2,071 CLP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 807.34 CLP – 1,217 CLP · fair‑value band 1,012 CLP – 2,071 CLP · the 860.00 CLP price screens below the 1,236 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Viña Concha y Toro S.A (CONCHATORO) currently trades at 860.00 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,236 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 43.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Viña Concha y Toro S.A generated revenue of 959B CLP at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue declined 7.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.3%. Net debt stands at 418B CLP. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1,012 CLP (bear case) to 2,071 CLP (bull case); at 860.00 CLP, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 44%, CONCHATORO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (1,598 CLP) versus Growth DCF (201.10 CLP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Viña Concha y Toro S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces, distributes, stores, transports, and sells wines in Chile, Argentina, and the United States.
Full company description
Viña Concha y Toro S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces, distributes, stores, transports, and sells wines in Chile, Argentina, and the United States. The company sells its wines under the Concha y Toro, Don Melchor, Marques de Casa Concha, Casillero del Diablo, Diablo, Frontera, Viña Maipo, Carmín de Peumo, Amelia, Terrunyo, Trio, Tocornal, Santa Emiliana, Clos de Pirque, Sunrise, Palo Alto, Sendero, Reservado Concha y Toro, SBX, Descorcha, Cono Sur, Bicicleta, Isla Negra, Ocio, 20 Barrels, Trivento, Eolo, Fetzer, Bonterra, 1000 Stories, Sanctuary, and Jekel brands, as well as Krossbar and Kross Cervecería Independiente brands. It is also involved in distribution of premium spirits and beers; provision of tourism services; and real estate business. Concha y Toro S.A. was founded in 1883 and is headquartered in Las Condes, Chile.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Viña Concha y Toro S.A reported revenue of 975B CLP in FY2025 versus 837B CLP in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was 67.2B CLP in FY2025, compounding −9.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 96 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 | ¥1,251 | ¥1,238 | -1% |
| Diageo plc DEON | 1,487 MXN | 1,239 MXN | -17% |
| Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 | ¥73.69 | ¥48.44 | -34% |
| Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 | ¥110.50 | ¥185.80 | +68% |
| Pernod Ricard SA RI | €65.24 | €76.68 | +18% |
| Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 | ¥83.12 | ¥149.17 | +79% |
| Brown-Forman Corporation BFA | $26.60 | $28.15 | +6% |
| United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR | ₹1,376 | ₹440.56 | -68% |
| Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 | 0.4450 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +55% |
| Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 | ¥38.08 | ¥27.82 | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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