Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V MXN 55.41, price MXN 58.59, upside -5.4%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 30.05 MXN – 63.17 MXN · fair‑value band 37.01 MXN – 73.82 MXN · the 58.59 MXN price screens above the 55.41 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.
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Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, manages, operates industrial buildings and distribution facilities in Mexico. It offers rental income from operating leases, including reimbursable building services and energy income.
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Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, manages, operates industrial buildings and distribution facilities in Mexico. It offers rental income from operating leases, including reimbursable building services and energy income. The company serves corporations in diverse industries, such as food and beverage, automotive, aerospace, medical, logistics, and plastics. Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
Stock analysis
Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA) currently trades at 58.59 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 55.41 MXN, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.7%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 93.56 MXN per share, and 6 of the 15 models we run sit above the 58.59 MXN price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 20.10 MXN, and 9 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 37.01 MXN (bear) to 73.82 MXN (bull), the price of 58.59 MXN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V reported revenue of $283M in FY2025 versus $161M in FY2021, a compound +15.2%/yr. Reported net income was $242M in FY2025, compounding +8.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 54.5B MXN (≈ $3.0B) · P/E ratio 7.2 · P/S ratio 6.16 · EPS (TTM) 8.12 MXN · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 85.4% · Return on equity 14.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −5%, VESTA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 37.01 MXNFair Value 55.41 MXNBull 73.82 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (4.92 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.91/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.7% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4.0% vs −14.8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.81% → 78%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+63.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Mexico: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +58.4% a year for the price.
Compare Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 133 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Above median
Fair Value upside−5.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14.1% · Top 25%
Return on assets3.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)132.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)74.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth16.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.46× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VESTA
Frequently asked questions
Is Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 55.41 MXN versus a price of 58.59 MXN, about −5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of VESTA?
Our model-based fair value for Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V is 55.41 MXN (as of Sep 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 58.59 MXN.
What is the quality score of VESTA?
Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 55.41 MXN (as of Sep 30, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 37.01 MXN, optimistic scenario 73.82 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 55.41 MXN, about −5% upside versus a price of 58.59 MXN (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 37.01 MXN, optimistic scenario 73.82 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA)?
Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 304M MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 30, 2026).
Does Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V pay a dividend?
Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.64% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 30, 2026).
What growth is priced into Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V would have to grow free cash flow by +63.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.6 % per year. As of Sep 30, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VESTA use?
Our models discount Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.27, country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V that is +63.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V grew +13.6 % a year. The price currently implies +63.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (+63.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.42 %: that much free cash flow Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V it is 55.41 MXN per share (as of Sep 30, 2026), against a price of 58.59 MXN. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 30, 2026, VESTA trades above its calculated fair value: price 58.59 MXN, fair value 55.41 MXN, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VESTA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (58.59 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (55.41 MXN). For Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V the two are 3.18 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V worth?
The market values Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V at about 54.5B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 30, 2026). Per share that is 58.59 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 55.41 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VESTA?
Our models span a range for Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V: cautious scenario 37.01 MXN, base 55.41 MXN, optimistic 73.82 MXN per share (as of Sep 30, 2026, price 58.59 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VESTA?
Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.2 (as of Sep 30, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 55.41 MXN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.6, P/B 1.1, P/S 10.0, EV/EBITDA 17.3.
What is the PEG ratio of VESTA?
The PEG ratio of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V is 0.62 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 30, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (as of Sep 30, 2026): return on equity 14.1%, debt of 0.46 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VESTA from its 52-week high?
Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V trades at 58.59 MXN, about 7% below its 52-week high of 62.81 MXN and 26% above the low of 46.50 MXN (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 55.41 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Swiss Prime Site AG, Central Pattana Public Company, The Phoenix Mills Limited, Prestige Estates Projects Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 30, 2026: price 58.59 MXN, calculated fair value 55.41 MXN (−5%), Quality Score 53/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VESTA calculated?
We run Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 55.41 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was 58.59 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 55.41 MXN, about −5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (37.01 MXN to 73.82 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V
How large is the market capitalisation of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA)?
The market capitalisation of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V is 54.5B MXN (≈ $3.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V is 6.16 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA)?
Earnings per share at Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V are 8.12 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA)?
The dividend yield of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V is 2.6% (payout 19.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA)?
The net margin of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V is 85.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V is 14.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA)?
The operating margin of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V is 74.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA)?
Revenue at Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V is growing +16.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA)?
Earnings per share at Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V are growing +238% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V (VESTA) carry?
The net debt of Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V is 938M MXN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 30, 2026