Collins Property Group (CPP) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · ZA · Market cap 3.6B ZAR
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price +6.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 147% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (19.52 ZAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (19.52 ZAR to 41.38 ZAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.0545 ZAR – 10.81 ZAR · fair‑value band 19.52 ZAR – 41.38 ZAR · the 10.61 ZAR price screens below the 26.22 ZAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Collins Property Group (CPP) currently trades at 10.61 ZAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 26.22 ZAR, implying the stock looks roughly 147.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Collins Property Group generated revenue of 1.3B ZAR at a net margin of 74.4%. Revenue grew 48.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.0%. Net debt stands at 6.2B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 19.52 ZAR (bear case) to 41.38 ZAR (bull case); at 10.61 ZAR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at 147%, CPP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (31.15 ZAR) versus Growth DCF (3.95 ZAR). Highest evidence: Rev-Margin DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Collins Property Group Limited, an investment holding company, owns, develops, manages, and leases real estate properties. Its portfolio includes retail, office, industrial, residential, and leisure properties. The company is also involved in the ownership and development of commercial properties, as well as provision of rental and treasury services.
Full company description
Collins Property Group Limited, an investment holding company, owns, develops, manages, and leases real estate properties. Its portfolio includes retail, office, industrial, residential, and leisure properties. The company is also involved in the ownership and development of commercial properties, as well as provision of rental and treasury services. It operates in South Africa, Mozambique, Namibia, Zambia, Austria, Switzerland, Luxembourg, Malta, and Mauritius. The company was formerly known as Tradehold Limited and changed its name to Collins Property Group Limited in June 2023. Collins Property Group Limited was incorporated in 1970 and is based in Umhlanga, South Africa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Collins Property Group reported revenue of 1.3B ZAR in FY2026 versus 1.1B ZAR in FY2022, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was 950M ZAR in FY2026, compounding +23.1%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 520 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC | 223,000 VND | 25,731 VND | -88% |
| KE Holdings 2423 | HK$44.76 | HK$18.03 | -60% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$23.90 | HK$18.75 | -22% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 3,725 CLP | 5,571 CLP | +50% |
| SAGAA SAGAA | kr 170.00 | kr 75.55 | -56% |
| Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS | 2,324 CLP | 2,976 CLP | +28% |
| PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR | 372.00 IDR | 1,208 IDR | +225% |
| PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI | 20,975 IDR | 19,160 IDR | -9% |
| PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK | 3,530 IDR | 3,464 IDR | -2% |
| IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA | 2,495 ARS | 3,998 ARS | +60% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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