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Cooper Stnd (CPS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Cooper Stnd $38.34, price $23.01, upside +66.6%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN US21676P1030

CS Cooper Stnd logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Cooper Stnd

CPS · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $38.34 · Strongly undervalued (+67%)
!Quality 47/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 25/100
✓Insider activity 66/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $38.34 to $90.56
!Weak on future: 15 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$45.20 $3.71 Fair Value $38.34 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.71 – $45.20 · fair‑value band $38.34 – $90.56 · the $23.01 price screens below the $38.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc., through its subsidiary, manufactures sealing systems and fluid handling systems in the North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and the South America.

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Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc., through its subsidiary, manufactures sealing systems and fluid handling systems in the North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and the South America. The company offers sealing systems, such as dynamic seals, static seals, encapsulated glass, obstacle detection sensor system, variable extrusion, specialty sealing products, decorative trims, and frameless systems, as well as Fortrex materials platform, FlexiCore thermoplastic body seal, and FlushSeal sealing systems. It also provides fuel and brake delivery systems, including chassis and tank fuel lines, and bundles; metallic brake lines and bundles; quick connectors; low oligomer multi-layer convoluted tube; brake jounce lines; direct injection and port fuel rails; MagAlloy, a brake tube coating; ArmorTube, a brake tube coating; Series 300 and S300LT low temperature quick connect products; Gen III Posi-Lock quick connect products. In addition, the company offers fluid transfer systems comprising eCoFlow switch pump; heaters and coolant hoses; SAE and VDA quick connects; diesel particulate filter lines; charge air cooler ducts and assemblies; charged air cooling; transmission oil cooling hoses; multilayer tubing for glycol thermal management; PlastiCool 5000 high temperature MLT and 2000 multi-layer tubing for glycol thermal management; secondary air hoses; brake and clutch hoses; Easy-Lock, a quick connect; Ergo-Lock VDA quick connect and + VDA quick connect; plastic coolant hub; and TC3000 transmission oil cooling plastic tubing. Its products are primarily used in passenger vehicles and light trucks that are manufactured by automotive original equipment manufacturers and replacement markets. Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Northville, Michigan.

Stock analysis

Cooper Stnd (CPS) currently trades at $23.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $38.34, implying the stock looks roughly 40.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $62.13 per share, and 9 of the 12 models we run sit above the $23.01 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $25.89, and 3 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $38.34 (bear) to $90.56 (bull), the price of $23.01 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Cooper Stnd reported revenue of $2.7B in FY2025 versus $2.3B in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$4.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $529M · P/S ratio 0.19 · EPS (TTM) $−2.17 · Net margin −0.2% · Return on equity −3,549% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.5% · Operating margin 4.1% · Revenue (TTM) $2.8B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 67%, CPS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $38.34 Fair Value $38.34 Bull $90.56
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings $45,314 $58,364 $81,190 77
FCF DCF $9.08 $24.99 $52.80 74
5Y EBITDA Exit $24,090 $41,325 $64,398 74
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $9.08 $24.99 $52.80 74
Owner Earnings $45,314 $58,364 $81,190 77
5Y Revenue Exit $6.33 $28.17 $60.38 65
5Y EBITDA Exit $24,090 $41,325 $64,398 74
10Y Revenue Exit $5.95 $22.24 $39.88 62
10Y EBITDA Exit $13,428 $23,935 $35,825 67
Earnings-Based
EPV n/a $3.04 $7.97 68
Multiples
EV/EBIT $35.05 $62.13 $89.21 64
EV/EBITDA $49,671 $66,243 $82,815 67
EV/Revenue $8.57 $32.04 $55.51 49
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $10.75 $25.89 $50.24 73
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder n/a $3.81 $10.56 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 6

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 67
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.0% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−11.3% (2020) → 3.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+48.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +45.1% a year for the price and +1.9% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+3.7%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.1%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.9%

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Compare Cooper Stnd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 663 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.19× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 32.6× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 6.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.22× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)15 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 35

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY $85.82 $48.08 −44%
AutoZone, Inc AZO $2,895 $2,368 −18%
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 367,500 KRW 655,250 KRW +78%
Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥53.77 ¥75.79 +41%
Magna International Inc MGA $63.79 $68.17 +7%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹161.77 ₹96.97 −40%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥45.71 ¥28.28 −38%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,290 ₹26,308 −46%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,009 ₹415.47 −79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,226 ₹426.57 −65%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cooper Stnd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CPS

Frequently asked questions

Is Cooper Stnd (CPS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $38.34 versus a price of $23.01, about +67% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CPS?
Our model-based fair value for Cooper Stnd is $38.34 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $23.01.
What is the quality score of CPS?
Cooper Stnd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cooper Stnd (CPS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $38.34 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $38.34, optimistic scenario $90.56. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cooper Stnd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $38.34, about +67% upside versus a price of $23.01 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $38.34, optimistic scenario $90.56. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cooper Stnd (CPS)?
Cooper Stnd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Cooper Stnd (CPS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cooper Stnd would have to grow free cash flow by +48.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CPS use?
Our models discount Cooper Stnd at 13.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.98, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Cooper Stnd that is +48.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Cooper Stnd (CPS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Cooper Stnd grew +2.9 % a year. The price currently implies +48.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Cooper Stnd (CPS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Cooper Stnd (+48.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Cooper Stnd (CPS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.95 %: that much free cash flow Cooper Stnd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Cooper Stnd (CPS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cooper Stnd it is $38.34 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $23.01. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cooper Stnd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CPS trades below its calculated fair value: price $23.01, fair value $38.34, a gap of about +67% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CPS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($23.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($38.34). For Cooper Stnd the two are $15.33 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cooper Stnd worth?
The market values Cooper Stnd at about $529M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $23.01; our models calculate a fair value of $38.34 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CPS?
Our models span a range for Cooper Stnd: cautious scenario $38.34, base $38.34, optimistic $90.56 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $23.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CPS?
The PEG ratio of Cooper Stnd is 2.22 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cooper Stnd (CPS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cooper Stnd (as of Sep 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CPS from its 52-week high?
Cooper Stnd trades at $23.01, about 49% below its 52-week high of $45.20 and 1% above the low of $22.76 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $38.34 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cooper Stnd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cooper Stnd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $23.01, calculated fair value $38.34 (+67%), Quality Score 47/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CPS calculated?
We run Cooper Stnd through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $38.34, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Cooper Stnd currently trades 67 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cooper Stnd (CPS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $23.01. Our model-based fair value is $38.34, about +67% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cooper Stnd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($38.34). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($38.34 to $90.56) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Cooper Stnd

How large is the market capitalisation of Cooper Stnd (CPS)?
The market capitalisation of Cooper Stnd is $529M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cooper Stnd (CPS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cooper Stnd is 0.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cooper Stnd (CPS)?
Earnings per share at Cooper Stnd are $−2.17. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Cooper Stnd (CPS)?
The net margin of Cooper Stnd is −0.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cooper Stnd (CPS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cooper Stnd is −3,549% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cooper Stnd (CPS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cooper Stnd is −0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cooper Stnd (CPS)?
The operating margin of Cooper Stnd is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cooper Stnd (CPS)?
Revenue at Cooper Stnd is growing +2.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cooper Stnd (CPS)?
Earnings per share at Cooper Stnd are growing −91.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Cooper Stnd (CPS) carry?
The net debt of Cooper Stnd is $1.1B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 65.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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