Carter's, Inc (CRI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $1.6B

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

• The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
• A fairly wide model range ($23.79 to $59.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $22.92 – $91.05 · fair‑value band $23.79 – $59.25 · the $39.96 price screens above the $39.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Carter's, Inc (CRI) currently trades at $39.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $39.39, implying the stock looks roughly 1.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Carter's, Inc generated revenue of $2.9B at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue grew 8.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. Net debt stands at $725M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $23.79 (bear case) to $59.25 (bull case); at $39.96, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -1%, CRI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples ($48.60) versus Asset-Based ($16.82). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Carter's, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, sources, and markets branded childrenswear in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: U.S. Retail, U.S. Wholesale, and International.

Full company description

Carter's, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, sources, and markets branded childrenswear in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: U.S. Retail, U.S. Wholesale, and International. The company's products include babies and young children's products, such as bodysuits, layette essentials, sleep and play, pants, tops and t-shirts, multipiece sets, dresses, and sleepwear; and playclothes, such as denim jeans, overalls, core bottoms, knit tops, t-shirts, and layering pieces. It also provides products for playtime, travel, mealtime, bath time, and home gear, as well as kid's and diaper bags, as well as range of licensed sports and character t-shirts. In addition, the company offers sleepwear, swimwear, outerwear, bedding, accessories, and toys; and toddler apparel and accessories. It sells its products through its retail stores, websites, and mobile app, as well as its wholesale distribution; and distributes its products to wholesale customers, including department stores, national chains, and specialty retailers. The company markets its products under the Carter's, OshKosh B'gosh, Skip Hop, Child of Mine, Just One You, Simple Joys, Little Planet, Otter Avenue, and other brands. Carter's, Inc. was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Carter's, Inc reported revenue of $2.9B in FY2025 versus $3.5B in FY2021, a compound −4.5%/yr. Reported net income was $91.8M in FY2025, compounding −27.9%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Apparel Retail · 107 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.