Creepy Jar SA (CRJ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Creepy Jar SA PLN 306, price PLN 460, upside -33.6%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 234.74 PLN – 807.63 PLN · fair‑value band 151.59 PLN – 485.03 PLN · the 460.00 PLN price screens above the 305.62 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Creepy Jar S.A. develops and publishes computer games in Poland and internationally. Creepy Jar S.A. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Warsaw, Poland.
Stock analysis
Creepy Jar SA (CRJ) currently trades at 460.00 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 305.62 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 50.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 1,142 PLN per share, and 7 of the 26 models we run sit above the 460.00 PLN price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 58.96 PLN, and 19 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 151.59 PLN (bear) to 485.03 PLN (bull), the price of 460.00 PLN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
Creepy Jar SA reported revenue of 29.8M PLN in FY2025 versus 46.1M PLN in FY2021, a compound −10.3%/yr. Reported net income was 17.2M PLN in FY2025, compounding −12.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 322M PLN (≈ $83.7M) · P/E ratio 7.9 · P/S ratio 4.56 · EPS (TTM) 58.19 PLN · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 57.6% · Return on equity 32.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 23.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at −34%, CRJ screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 151.59 PLNFair Value 305.62 PLNBull 485.03 PLN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (42.73 PLN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−3.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.68% → 53%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+70.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Poland: IMF forecast 3.1% a year to 2030, 4.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +65.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 149 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Creepy Jar SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CRJ
Frequently asked questions
Is Creepy Jar SA (CRJ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 305.62 PLN versus a price of 460.00 PLN, about −34% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CRJ?
Our model-based fair value for Creepy Jar SA is 305.62 PLN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 460.00 PLN.
What is the quality score of CRJ?
Creepy Jar SA has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Creepy Jar SA (CRJ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 305.62 PLN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 151.59 PLN, optimistic scenario 485.03 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Creepy Jar SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 305.62 PLN, about −34% upside versus a price of 460.00 PLN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 151.59 PLN, optimistic scenario 485.03 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Creepy Jar SA (CRJ)?
Creepy Jar SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 61.3M PLN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Creepy Jar SA pay a dividend?
Creepy Jar SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.38% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Creepy Jar SA (CRJ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Creepy Jar SA would have to grow free cash flow by +70.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -4.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CRJ use?
Our models discount Creepy Jar SA at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.64, country premium for Poland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Creepy Jar SA that is +70.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Creepy Jar SA (CRJ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Creepy Jar SA grew -4.6 % a year. The price currently implies +70.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Creepy Jar SA (CRJ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Creepy Jar SA (+70.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Creepy Jar SA (CRJ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.31 %: that much free cash flow Creepy Jar SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Creepy Jar SA (CRJ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Creepy Jar SA it is 305.62 PLN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 460.00 PLN. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Creepy Jar SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CRJ trades above its calculated fair value: price 460.00 PLN, fair value 305.62 PLN, a gap of about −34% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CRJ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (460.00 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (305.62 PLN). For Creepy Jar SA the two are 154.38 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Creepy Jar SA worth?
The market values Creepy Jar SA at about 322M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 460.00 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 305.62 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CRJ?
Our models span a range for Creepy Jar SA: cautious scenario 151.59 PLN, base 305.62 PLN, optimistic 485.03 PLN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 460.00 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CRJ?
Creepy Jar SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 305.62 PLN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 1.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Creepy Jar SA (CRJ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Creepy Jar SA (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 32.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CRJ from its 52-week high?
Creepy Jar SA trades at 460.00 PLN, about 38% below its 52-week high of 738.00 PLN and 21% above the low of 380.00 PLN (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 305.62 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Creepy Jar SA?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Konami Group, NetEase, Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, Roblox Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Creepy Jar SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 460.00 PLN, calculated fair value 305.62 PLN (−34%), Quality Score 65/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CRJ calculated?
We run Creepy Jar SA through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 305.62 PLN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Creepy Jar SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Creepy Jar SA (CRJ)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 460.00 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 305.62 PLN, about −34% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Creepy Jar SA right now?
The model range is unusually wide (151.59 PLN to 485.03 PLN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Creepy Jar SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Creepy Jar SA (CRJ)?
The market capitalisation of Creepy Jar SA is 322M PLN (≈ $83.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Creepy Jar SA (CRJ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Creepy Jar SA is 4.56 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Creepy Jar SA (CRJ)?
Earnings per share at Creepy Jar SA are 58.19 PLN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Creepy Jar SA (CRJ)?
The dividend yield of Creepy Jar SA is 2.4% (payout 18.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Creepy Jar SA (CRJ)?
The net margin of Creepy Jar SA is 57.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Creepy Jar SA (CRJ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Creepy Jar SA is 32.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Creepy Jar SA (CRJ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Creepy Jar SA is 23.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Creepy Jar SA (CRJ)?
The operating margin of Creepy Jar SA is 80.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Creepy Jar SA (CRJ)?
Revenue at Creepy Jar SA is growing +368% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Creepy Jar SA (CRJ)?
Earnings per share at Creepy Jar SA are growing +503% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Creepy Jar SA (CRJ) hold?
Creepy Jar SA holds more cash than debt, 21.3M PLN net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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