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Creepy Jar S.A (CRJ) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · PL · Market cap 334M PLN

CJ Creepy Jar S.A CRJ · WAR
Price554.00 PLN
Fair Value353.30 PLN
Upside-36.2%
Quality65/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 68.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Wide moat 84/100
Evidence: High Range 162.59 PLN – 485.03 PLN Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price +15.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 36% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (485.03 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (162.59 PLN to 485.03 PLN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

820.10 PLN 234.74 PLN Fair Value 353.30 PLN Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 234.74 PLN – 820.10 PLN · fair‑value band 162.59 PLN – 485.03 PLN · the 554.00 PLN price screens above the 353.30 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Creepy Jar S.A (CRJ) currently trades at 554.00 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 353.30 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 36.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Creepy Jar S.A generated revenue of 29.8M PLN at a net margin of 57.6%. Revenue grew 24.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 21.3M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 162.59 PLN (bear case) to 485.03 PLN (bull case); at 554.00 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at -36%, CRJ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 49.88 PLN 63.28 PLN 84.33 PLN 80
Residual Income 157.82 PLN 188.56 PLN 361.41 PLN 76
Rev-Margin DCF 112.57 PLN 192.76 PLN 359.23 PLN 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 51.12 PLN 60.14 PLN 87.12 PLN 38
Owner Earnings 108.38 PLN 190.85 PLN 343.88 PLN 31
5Y Revenue Exit 104.06 PLN 172.73 PLN 317.72 PLN 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 186.51 PLN 339.26 PLN 639.95 PLN 41
5Y P/E Exit 317.90 PLN 759.03 PLN 1,375 PLN 38
10Y Revenue Exit 83.13 PLN 177.48 PLN 247.60 PLN 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 141.53 PLN 339.40 PLN 704.17 PLN 37
10Y P/E Exit 229.18 PLN 597.43 PLN 1,234 PLN 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 167.19 PLN 1,166 PLN 1,636 PLN 54
Lynch FV 602.39 PLN 860.55 PLN 1,119 PLN 50
PEG = 1.0 602.39 PLN 860.55 PLN 1,119 PLN 46
EPV 190.25 PLN 211.90 PLN 229.95 PLN 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 88.34 PLN 159.18 PLN 219.13 PLN 70
DDM Multi-Stage 88.34 PLN 145.41 PLN 170.04 PLN 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 405.69 PLN 540.92 PLN 676.15 PLN 63
P/S Multiple 111.97 PLN 149.30 PLN 186.62 PLN 58
P/B Multiple 313.49 PLN 417.98 PLN 522.48 PLN 55
EV/EBIT 304.23 PLN 395.15 PLN 486.06 PLN 53
EV/EBITDA 246.88 PLN 318.68 PLN 390.48 PLN 54
EV/Revenue 121.06 PLN 159.45 PLN 197.85 PLN 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 84.87 PLN 113.72 PLN 169.73 PLN 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 49.88 PLN 63.28 PLN 84.33 PLN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 112.57 PLN 192.76 PLN 359.23 PLN 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 157.82 PLN 188.56 PLN 361.41 PLN 76
ROIC Compounder 211.28 PLN 271.55 PLN 320.27 PLN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 799.62 PLN 1,142 PLN 1,485 PLN 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (1,142 PLN) versus Growth DCF (63.28 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 61.3M PLN
Revenue growth (YoY) +368%
Net margin 68.5%
Return on equity 32.8%
Free cash flow 1.0M PLN FY2025
P/E ratio 8.2
More key figures
Operating margin 80.7%
EPS (TTM) 58.19 PLN
EPS growth (YoY) +503%
Net cash 21.3M PLN FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 47
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Creepy Jar S.A. develops and publishes computer games in Poland and internationally. Creepy Jar S.A. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Warsaw, Poland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Creepy Jar S.A reported revenue of 29.8M PLN in FY2025 versus 46.1M PLN in FY2021, a compound −10.3%/yr. Reported net income was 17.2M PLN in FY2025, compounding −12.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
29.8M PLN
Latest YoY
−3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−18.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+360.3%
Revenue −10.3%/yr
FY21 46.1M PLN
FY22 54.9M PLN
FY23 37.5M PLN
FY24 31.0M PLN
FY25 29.8M PLN
Net income −12.3%/yr
FY21 29.1M PLN
FY22 36.5M PLN
FY23 18.3M PLN
FY24 15.9M PLN
FY25 17.2M PLN

CRJ screens 36% overvalued. Compare with NetEase, Inc →

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Creepy Jar S.A · Fair Value
353.30 PLN −36%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Creepy Jar S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CRJ

Peer Group

Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 152 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Above median
Fair Value upside −36% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 33% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 68% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 81% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 368% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.76× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.46× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 88.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 15
FUTURE 100 · sector 10
PAST 100 · sector 11
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NetEase, Inc 9999 HK$202.60 HK$192.74 -5%
Electronic Arts Inc EA $207.27 $76.57 -63%
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO $237.04 $60.45 -74%
Roblox Corporation RBLX $57.07 $21.20 -63%
Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 ¥14.04 ¥14.68 +5%
KRAFTON, Inc 259960 240,500 KRW 395,557 KRW +64%
Kunlun Tech Co 300418 ¥44.61 ¥6.87 -85%
Giant Network Group 002558 ¥29.98 ¥15.69 -48%
International Games System Co 3293 704.00 TWD 568.16 TWD -19%
37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 ¥19.02 ¥22.29 +17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Creepy Jar S.A (CRJ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 353.30 PLN versus a price of 554.00 PLN, about −36% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CRJ?
Our model-based fair value for Creepy Jar S.A is 353.30 PLN (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 554.00 PLN.
What is the quality score of CRJ?
Creepy Jar S.A has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Creepy Jar S.A (CRJ)?
Creepy Jar S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 29.8M PLN (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CRJ?
The net profit margin of Creepy Jar S.A is about 57.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 57.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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