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Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Coronado Global Resources Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000026122

CG Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Coronado Global Resources Inc

CRN · AU

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value A$0.1600 · Overvalued (−35%)
!Quality 28/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +7.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -33.3% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$2.11 A$0.1050 Fair Value A$0.1600 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.1050 – A$2.11 · fair‑value band A$0.0900 – A$0.2500 · the A$0.2450 price screens above the A$0.1600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Coronado Global Resources Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces, markets, and exports metallurgical coal in Asia, North America, South America, Europe, and Australia.

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Coronado Global Resources Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces, markets, and exports metallurgical coal in Asia, North America, South America, Europe, and Australia. The company owns 100% interests in the Curragh mining property located in the Bowen Basin of Queensland, Australia; and the Buchanan and the Logan properties, as well as development mining properties comprising the Mon Valley and the Russell County properties primarily located in the Central Appalachian region of the United States. It also owns and controls a portfolio of operating mines and development projects in Queensland, Australia. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia. Coronado Global Resources Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Coronado Group LLC.

Stock analysis

Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN) currently trades at A$0.2450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1600, implying the stock looks roughly 53.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of A$0.3600 per share, and 1 of the 3 models we run sit above the A$0.2450 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at A$0.0800, and 2 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: A$0.0900 (bear) to A$0.2500 (bull), the price of A$0.2450 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Coronado Global Resources Inc reported revenue of $2.0B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$447M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$411M (≈ $294M) · P/S ratio 0.29 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0400 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin −22.2% · Return on equity −101% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.1% · Operating margin −30.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 109% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −56% fair-value upside, at −35%, CRN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0900 Fair Value A$0.1600 Bull A$0.2500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM A$0.0500 A$0.1000 A$0.1400 67
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0500 A$0.0800 A$0.1000 67
NCAV (Graham) A$0.2700 A$0.3600 A$0.5300 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.0500 A$0.1000 A$0.1400 67
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0500 A$0.0800 A$0.1000 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.2700 A$0.3600 A$0.5300 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 22/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−27.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.2%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−13.8% (2020) → −17.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CRN screens 53% overvalued. Compare with PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Coking Coal · 26 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −52% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −33% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −30% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.05× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.33× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.11× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal

Similar stocks

10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR 1,600 IDR 963.39 IDR −40%
Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC $97.77 $14.38 −85%
Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 ¥3.76 ¥1.24 −67%
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR $209.41 $45.15 −78%
Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 HK$3.05 HK$4.83 +59%
Shanxi Coking Co 600740 ¥3.88 ¥1.75 −55%
Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 ¥5.36 ¥3.07 −43%
Mongolian Mining Corporation 0975 HK$9.66 HK$1.00 −90%
Ramaco Resources, Inc METC $11.19 $1.80 −84%
Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 ¥2.98 ¥1.32 −56%

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Coronado Global Resources Inc · Fair Value
A$0.1600 −53%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coronado Global Resources Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CRN

Frequently asked questions

Is Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1600 versus a price of A$0.2450, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CRN?
Our model-based fair value for Coronado Global Resources Inc is A$0.1600 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2450.
What is the quality score of CRN?
Coronado Global Resources Inc has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.1600 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0900, optimistic scenario A$0.2500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Coronado Global Resources Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.1600, about −35% upside versus a price of A$0.2450 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0900, optimistic scenario A$0.2500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN)?
Coronado Global Resources Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$2.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Coronado Global Resources Inc pay a dividend?
Coronado Global Resources Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.53% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Coronado Global Resources Inc it is A$0.1600 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of A$0.2450. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Coronado Global Resources Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, CRN trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.2450, fair value A$0.1600, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CRN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2450); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1600). For Coronado Global Resources Inc the two are A$0.0850 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Coronado Global Resources Inc worth?
The market values Coronado Global Resources Inc at about A$411M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2450; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CRN?
Our models span a range for Coronado Global Resources Inc: cautious scenario A$0.0900, base A$0.1600, optimistic A$0.2500 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price A$0.2450). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Coronado Global Resources Inc (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −101.0%, debt of 1.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CRN from its 52-week high?
Coronado Global Resources Inc trades at A$0.2450, about 50% below its 52-week high of A$0.4900 and 109% above the low of A$0.1175 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Coronado Global Resources Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk,, Warrior Met Coal, Inc, Shanxi Meijin Energy Co, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Coronado Global Resources Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price A$0.2450, calculated fair value A$0.1600 (−35%), Quality Score 28/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CRN calculated?
We run Coronado Global Resources Inc through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.1600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Coronado Global Resources Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Coronado Global Resources Inc right now?
Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (A$0.0900 to A$0.2500). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Coronado Global Resources Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN)?
The market capitalisation of Coronado Global Resources Inc is A$411M (≈ $294M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Coronado Global Resources Inc is 0.29 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN)?
Earnings per share at Coronado Global Resources Inc are A$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN)?
The dividend yield of Coronado Global Resources Inc is 1.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN)?
The net margin of Coronado Global Resources Inc is −22.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Coronado Global Resources Inc is −101% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Coronado Global Resources Inc is 14.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN)?
The operating margin of Coronado Global Resources Inc is −30.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN)?
Revenue at Coronado Global Resources Inc is growing +4.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −27.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN)?
Earnings per share at Coronado Global Resources Inc are growing −50.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN) generate?
The free cash flow of Coronado Global Resources Inc is −A$336M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN) carry?
The net debt of Coronado Global Resources Inc is A$652M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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