Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc stock £1.46, price £0.65, upside +125.3%, quality 56 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.5590 – £3.31 · fair‑value band £0.9800 – £1.62 · the £0.6480 price screens below the £1.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Crest Nicholson Holdings plc engages in building residential homes in the United Kingdom. It develops and sells apartments, houses, and commercial properties. The company was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Addlestone, United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST) currently trades at £0.6480, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.46, implying the stock looks roughly 56% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of £2.31 per share, and 8 of the 14 models we run sit above the £0.6480 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at £0.1650, and 6 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: £0.9800 (bear) to £1.62 (bull), the price of £0.6480 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Crest Nicholson Holdings plc reported revenue of £611M in FY2025 versus £787M in FY2021, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was £2.2M in FY2025, compounding −58.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap £166M Micro · P/S ratio 0.31 · EPS (TTM) £0.0800 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 0.4% · Return on equity −4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −8.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 38% fair-value upside, at 125%, CRST screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear£0.9800Fair Value £1.46Bull£1.62
Price £0.6480 · Upside +125.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0620 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.7% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−16.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−18.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−50.9% vs −33.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → −21%
Compare Crest Nicholson Holdings plc with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Residential Construction · 62 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Below median
Fair Value upside+125.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−5.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−8.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−20.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Residential Construction median · lower = cheaper
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Is Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.46 versus a price of £0.6480, about +125% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CRST?
Our model-based fair value for Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is £1.46 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.6480.
What is the quality score of CRST?
Crest Nicholson Holdings plc has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £1.46 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.9800, optimistic scenario £1.62. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Crest Nicholson Holdings plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £1.46, about +125% upside versus a price of £0.6480 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £0.9800, optimistic scenario £1.62. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
Crest Nicholson Holdings plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £559M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Crest Nicholson Holdings plc pay a dividend?
Crest Nicholson Holdings plc currently shows a dividend yield of 2.78% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Crest Nicholson Holdings plc pays a dividend of £0.018 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Mar 26, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2014. The payout ratio is 22.5% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Crest Nicholson Holdings plc it is £1.46 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of £0.6480. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Crest Nicholson Holdings plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, CRST trades below its calculated fair value: price £0.6480, fair value £1.46, a gap of about +125% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CRST?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.6480); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£1.46). For Crest Nicholson Holdings plc the two are £0.8120 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Crest Nicholson Holdings plc worth?
The market values Crest Nicholson Holdings plc at about £166M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is £0.6480; our models calculate a fair value of £1.46 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CRST?
Our models span a range for Crest Nicholson Holdings plc: cautious scenario £0.9800, base £1.46, optimistic £1.62 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price £0.6480). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
Balance-sheet figures for Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −4.3%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CRST from its 52-week high?
Crest Nicholson Holdings plc trades at £0.6480, about 61% below its 52-week high of £1.67 and 16% above the low of £0.5590 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £1.46 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Crest Nicholson Holdings plc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value D.R. Horton, Inc, PulteGroup, Inc, Lennar Corporation, NVR, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Crest Nicholson Holdings plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price £0.6480, calculated fair value £1.46 (+125%), Quality Score 56/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CRST calculated?
We run Crest Nicholson Holdings plc through 14 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of £1.46 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Crest Nicholson Holdings plc currently trades 56% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was £0.6480. Our model-based fair value is £1.46, about +125% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Crest Nicholson Holdings plc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (£0.9800). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST) come from?
Earnings per share at Crest Nicholson Holdings plc grew −24.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.7 %, EBIT margin −14.5 %, tax rate −0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −8.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
The market capitalisation of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is £166M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is 0.31 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
Earnings per share at Crest Nicholson Holdings plc are £0.0800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
The dividend yield of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is 2.8% (payout 22.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
The net margin of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is 0.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is −4.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is 0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
The operating margin of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is −8.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
Revenue at Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is growing −20.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
Earnings per share at Crest Nicholson Holdings plc are growing +63.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST) generate?
The free cash flow of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is −£11.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST) carry?
The net debt of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is £48.4M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 8, 2026