Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc £0.19, price £0.58, upside -67.4%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.5590 – £3.36 · fair‑value band £0.1500 – £0.2400 · the £0.5820 price screens above the £0.1900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Crest Nicholson Holdings plc engages in building residential homes in the United Kingdom. It develops and sells apartments, houses, and commercial properties. The company was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Addlestone, United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST) currently trades at £0.5820, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.1900, implying the stock looks roughly 206.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of £1.87 per share, and 7 of the 14 models we run sit above the £0.5820 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at £0.0700, and 7 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: £0.1500 (bear) to £0.2400 (bull), the price of £0.5820 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Crest Nicholson Holdings plc reported revenue of £611M in FY2025 versus £787M in FY2021, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was £2.2M in FY2025, compounding −58.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 170M GBX · P/E ratio 58.2 · P/S ratio 0.21 · EPS (TTM) £0.0100 · Dividend yield 5.3% · Net margin 0.4% · Return on equity 0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at −67%, CRST screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £0.1500Fair Value £0.1900Bull £0.2400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.7% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−13.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−18.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−51% vs −33%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → −21%
Compare Crest Nicholson Holdings plc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Residential Construction · 65 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−67% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)5.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Residential Construction median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)58.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.31× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.37× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA5.0× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 80
FUTURE (revenue growth)1· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)1· sector 33
HEALTH (low debt)96· sector 88
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 71
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.1900 versus a price of £0.5820, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CRST?
Our model-based fair value for Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is £0.1900 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.5820.
What is the quality score of CRST?
Crest Nicholson Holdings plc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.1900 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.1500, optimistic scenario £0.2400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Crest Nicholson Holdings plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.1900, about −67% upside versus a price of £0.5820 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £0.1500, optimistic scenario £0.2400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
Crest Nicholson Holdings plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £611M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Crest Nicholson Holdings plc pay a dividend?
Crest Nicholson Holdings plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.33% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Crest Nicholson Holdings plc it is £0.1900 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of £0.5820. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Crest Nicholson Holdings plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CRST trades above its calculated fair value: price £0.5820, fair value £0.1900, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CRST?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.5820); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.1900). For Crest Nicholson Holdings plc the two are £0.3920 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Crest Nicholson Holdings plc worth?
The market values Crest Nicholson Holdings plc at about 170M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is £0.5820; our models calculate a fair value of £0.1900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CRST?
Our models span a range for Crest Nicholson Holdings plc: cautious scenario £0.1500, base £0.1900, optimistic £0.2400 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price £0.5820). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CRST?
Crest Nicholson Holdings plc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 58.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £0.1900 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 5.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
Balance-sheet figures for Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 0.3%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CRST from its 52-week high?
Crest Nicholson Holdings plc trades at £0.5820, about 66% below its 52-week high of £1.72 and 4% above the low of £0.5590 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.1900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Crest Nicholson Holdings plc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value D.R. Horton, Inc, PulteGroup, Inc, Lennar Corporation, NVR, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Crest Nicholson Holdings plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price £0.5820, calculated fair value £0.1900 (−67%), Quality Score 57/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CRST calculated?
We run Crest Nicholson Holdings plc through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.1900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Crest Nicholson Holdings plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was £0.5820. Our model-based fair value is £0.1900, about −67% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Crest Nicholson Holdings plc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.2400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST) come from?
Earnings per share at Crest Nicholson Holdings plc grew −24.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.7 %, EBIT margin −14.5 %, tax rate −0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −8.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
The market capitalisation of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is 170M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is 0.21 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
Earnings per share at Crest Nicholson Holdings plc are £0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 58.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
The dividend yield of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is 5.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
The net margin of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is 0.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is 0.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is 0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
The operating margin of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is 4.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
Revenue at Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is growing +0.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)?
Earnings per share at Crest Nicholson Holdings plc are growing +63.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST) generate?
The free cash flow of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is −11.0M GBX (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST) carry?
The net debt of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is 48.4M GBX (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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