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COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · US · ISIN US22112B1044

CS COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited logo Broad data Sep 13, 2026

COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited

CSPKY · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

Fair value $13.03 · Strongly undervalued (+116%)
!Quality 47/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +10.8 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 18.4% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
·5.20% dividend yield
!Moderate moat 46/100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$7.26 $4.13 Fair Value $13.03 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.13 – $7.26 · fair‑value band $8.60 – $16.94 · the $6.03 price screens below the $13.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited, an investment holding company, manages and operates ports and terminals in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Europe, and internationally.

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COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited, an investment holding company, manages and operates ports and terminals in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Europe, and internationally. The company operates container, container freight stations, iron ore terminals, container terminals, and rail terminals, as well as offers financing, treasury, management, logistics, consultancy, container stevedoring, storage, inspection, and auxiliary services. As of December 31, 2025, it operated and managed 387 berths at 40 ports, of which 238 were for containers, with a total annual handling capacity of approximately 133 million TEU. The company was formerly known as COSCO Pacific Limited and changed its name to COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited in July 2016. COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited is a subsidiary of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd.

Stock analysis

COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY) currently trades at $6.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.03, implying the stock looks roughly 53.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $15.75 per share, and 21 of the 26 models we run sit above the $6.03 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $2.04, and 5 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $8.60 (bear) to $16.94 (bull), the price of $6.03 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was $312M in FY2025, compounding −3.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $2.3B · P/E ratio 7.4 · P/S ratio 1.39 · EPS (TTM) $0.8100 · Dividend yield 5.2% · Net margin 18.7% · Return on equity 5.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 43% fair-value upside, at 116%, CSPKY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $8.60 Fair Value $13.03 Bull $16.94
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.5703 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $9.25 $16.89 $28.84 78
Growth DCF $9.27 $16.53 $27.63 76
Residual Income $12.11 $12.04 $11.10 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $9.25 $16.89 $28.84 78
Owner Earnings $8.80 $16.15 $27.65 74
5Y Revenue Exit $4.79 $8.64 $13.53 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $8.91 $16.72 $26.11 73
5Y P/E Exit $8.75 $16.41 $24.77 69
10Y Revenue Exit $6.13 $10.12 $15.56 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $8.91 $15.75 $25.38 67
10Y P/E Exit $8.81 $15.54 $24.33 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.36 $20.67 $28.02 64
Lynch FV $5.05 $7.22 $9.39 61
PEG = 1.0 $5.05 $7.22 $9.39 57
EPV $1.39 $2.04 $2.61 73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.5300 $1.06 $1.61 66
DDM Multi-Stage $0.5300 $0.9200 $1.12 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.41 $16.55 $20.69 63
P/S Multiple $6.32 $8.43 $10.54 58
P/B Multiple $10.05 $13.40 $16.75 55
EV/EBIT $4.71 $7.19 $9.67 65
EV/EBITDA $9.95 $14.18 $18.41 67
EV/Revenue $2.58 $4.86 $7.13 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.10 $10.85 $16.19 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $9.27 $16.53 $27.63 76
Rev-Margin DCF $4.79 $8.72 $13.55 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income $12.11 $12.04 $11.10 76
ROIC Compounder $1.39 $2.04 $2.61 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $9.12 $13.03 $16.94 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 31
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 88/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.0%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.8%
Revenue growth 27 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−0.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5% vs −2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 14%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−2.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect Analysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+2.8%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.6%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.8%

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 230 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +96% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.38× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.38× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.44× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.11× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,765 ₹1,041 −41%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 21,520 kr 20,248 −6%
532921 532921 ₹1,765 ₹1,942 +10%
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG €134.70 €88.00 −35%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.49 ¥6.15 +12%
Evergreen Marine Corporation 2603 234.50 TWD 582.03 TWD +148%
HMM Co 011200 20,850 KRW 33,795 KRW +62%
SITC International Holdings 1308 HK$45.36 HK$65.04 +43%
Orient Overseas (International) Limited 0316 HK$148.90 HK$232.51 +56%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.51 ¥5.58 +59%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CSPKY

Frequently asked questions

Is COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.03 versus a price of $6.03, about +116% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CSPKY?
Our model-based fair value for COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited is $13.03 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.03.
What is the quality score of CSPKY?
COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $13.03 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.60, optimistic scenario $16.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $13.03, about +116% upside versus a price of $6.03 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $8.60, optimistic scenario $16.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY)?
COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited pay a dividend?
COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.20% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -2.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.8 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CSPKY use?
Our models discount COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited at 9.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.05, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited that is -2.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited grew +10.8 % a year. The price currently implies -2.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (-2.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 17.88 %: that much free cash flow COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited it is $13.03 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $6.03. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, CSPKY trades below its calculated fair value: price $6.03, fair value $13.03, a gap of about +116% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CSPKY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.03); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($13.03). For COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited the two are $7.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited worth?
The market values COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited at about $2.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $6.03; our models calculate a fair value of $13.03 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CSPKY?
Our models span a range for COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited: cautious scenario $8.60, base $13.03, optimistic $16.94 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $6.03). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CSPKY?
COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.4 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $13.03 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.1, P/B 0.4, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 7.9.
What is the PEG ratio of CSPKY?
The PEG ratio of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited is 1.11 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY)?
Balance-sheet figures for COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 5.2%, debt of 0.38 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CSPKY from its 52-week high?
COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited trades at $6.03, about 18% below its 52-week high of $7.39 and 18% above the low of $5.10 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $13.03 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S, 532921, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $6.03, calculated fair value $13.03 (+116%), Quality Score 47/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CSPKY calculated?
We run COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $13.03, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited currently trades 116 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($8.60). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($8.60 to $16.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY) come from?
Earnings per share at COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited grew −2.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.9 %, EBIT margin −4.2 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY)?
The market capitalisation of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited is $2.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited is 1.39 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY)?
Earnings per share at COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited are $0.8100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY)?
The dividend yield of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited is 5.2% (payout 38.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY)?
The net margin of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited is 18.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY)?
The operating margin of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited is 14.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY)?
Revenue at COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited is growing +10.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY)?
Earnings per share at COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited are growing −3.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKY) carry?
The net debt of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited is $2.8B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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