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Centerspace (CSR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Centerspace $28.03, price $55.08, upside -49.1%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · US · ISIN US15202L1070

C Centerspace logo Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Centerspace

CSR · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $28.03 · Strongly overvalued (−49%)
!Quality 44/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.1% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·5.59% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/15)
!Narrow moat 23/100
!The models disagree: range $23.99 to $60.00
!Weak on past: 6 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$90.84 $42.34 Fair Value $28.03 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $42.34 – $90.84 · fair‑value band $23.99 – $60.00 · the $55.08 price screens above the $28.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Centerspace is an owner and operator of apartment communities committed to providing great homes by focusing on integrity and serving others. As of March 31, 2026, Centerspace owned 61 apartment communities consisting of 12,263 homes located in Colorado, Minnesota, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Utah.

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Centerspace is an owner and operator of apartment communities committed to providing great homes by focusing on integrity and serving others. As of March 31, 2026, Centerspace owned 61 apartment communities consisting of 12,263 homes located in Colorado, Minnesota, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Utah. Centerspace was named a top workplace for the sixth consecutive year in 2025 by the Minnesota Star Tribune. Centerspace was established and incorporated on July 31, 1970 in North Dakota and is based in Minot, North Dakota.

Stock analysis

Centerspace (CSR) currently trades at $55.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.03, implying the stock looks roughly 96.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $39.24 per share, and 4 of the 16 models we run sit above the $55.08 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $19.73, and 12 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $23.99 (bear) to $60.00 (bull), the price of $55.08 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Centerspace reported revenue of $353M in FY2025 versus $202M in FY2021, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was $17.6M in FY2025, compounding +131.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $924M · P/E ratio 118.4 · P/S ratio 5.90 · EPS (TTM) $0.4700 · Dividend yield 5.6% · Net margin 5.0% · Return on equity 1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −49%, CSR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $23.99 Fair Value $28.03 Bull $60.00
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $29.21 $27.95 $21.32 76
5Y EBITDA Exit $53.85 $139.96 $243.07 71
FCF DCF $0.1900 $30.40 $72.23 70
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.1900 $30.40 $72.23 70
5Y Revenue Exit n/a $28.93 $71.23 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $53.85 $139.96 $243.07 71
10Y Revenue Exit n/a $24.58 $64.34 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $31.04 $96.00 $187.03 63
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $23.84 $42.96 $59.14 68
DDM Multi-Stage $23.84 $39.24 $45.89 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple $13.34 $17.79 $22.24 58
P/B Multiple $13.34 $17.79 $22.24 55
EV/EBIT $41.20 $74.94 $108.68 63
EV/EBITDA $106.65 $162.20 $217.76 66
EV/Revenue n/a $19.73 $43.66 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $21.58 $28.91 $43.15 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.2200 $25.87 $58.84 69
Rev-Margin DCF n/a $29.00 $68.31 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income $29.21 $27.95 $21.32 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 25
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+35.3%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.5% a year
Revenue growth 30 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−1.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.21% vs −12%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 29%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.9%/yr over ~11Y (margins intact) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect Analysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−5.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +19.1% a year for the price and −7.9% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−25.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)−0.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)−0.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+0.0%
Projected 2030 (sales)+0.4%

CSR screens 97% overvalued. Compare with Essex Property Trust, Inc →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Residential · 43 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −49% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.41× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Residential median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 118.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.27× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.40× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 14.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 14.4× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 40.89× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 10
PAST (return on equity)6 · sector 6
HEALTH (low debt)30 · sector 60
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 83

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Residential stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Essex Property Trust, Inc ESS $274.76 $288.20 +5%
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc MAA $119.15 $120.44 +1%
Sun Communities, Inc SUI $113.77 $150.48 +32%
UDR, Inc UDR $34.10 $34.33 +1%
American Homes 4 Rent (AMH or the General Partner) AMH $31.28 $53.11 +70%
Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc ELS $60.26 $30.57 −49%
Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company CPT $99.31 $60.42 −39%
Millrose Properties, Inc MRP $28.73 $41.87 +46%
Independence Realty Trust, Inc IRT $14.76 $12.60 −15%
Altarea SCA ALTA €84.90 €35.06 −59%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Centerspace Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CSR

Frequently asked questions

Is Centerspace (CSR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $28.03 versus a price of $55.08, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CSR?
Our model-based fair value for Centerspace is $28.03 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $55.08.
What is the quality score of CSR?
Centerspace has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Centerspace (CSR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $28.03 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $23.99, optimistic scenario $60.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Centerspace stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $28.03, about −49% upside versus a price of $55.08 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $23.99, optimistic scenario $60.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Centerspace (CSR)?
Centerspace reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $272M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Centerspace pay a dividend?
Centerspace currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.59% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Centerspace (CSR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Centerspace would have to grow free cash flow by +21.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.7 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CSR use?
Our models discount Centerspace at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.89, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Centerspace that is +21.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Centerspace (CSR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Centerspace grew +14.7 % a year. The price currently implies +21.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Centerspace (CSR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Centerspace (+21.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Centerspace (CSR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.96 %: that much free cash flow Centerspace produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Centerspace (CSR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Centerspace it is $28.03 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $55.08. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Centerspace stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CSR trades above its calculated fair value: price $55.08, fair value $28.03, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CSR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($55.08); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($28.03). For Centerspace the two are $27.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Centerspace worth?
The market values Centerspace at about $924M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $55.08; our models calculate a fair value of $28.03 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CSR?
Our models span a range for Centerspace: cautious scenario $23.99, base $28.03, optimistic $60.00 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $55.08). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CSR?
Centerspace trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 118.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $28.03 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 40.9, P/B 1.3, P/S 3.4, EV/EBITDA 14.4.
What is the PEG ratio of CSR?
The PEG ratio of Centerspace is 40.89 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Centerspace (CSR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Centerspace (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 1.4%, debt of 1.41 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CSR from its 52-week high?
Centerspace trades at $55.08, about 20% below its 52-week high of $68.89 and 5% above the low of $52.39 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $28.03 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Centerspace?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Essex Property Trust, Inc, Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc, Sun Communities, Inc, UDR, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Centerspace stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $55.08, calculated fair value $28.03 (−49%), Quality Score 44/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CSR calculated?
We run Centerspace through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $28.03, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Centerspace itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Centerspace (CSR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $55.08. Our model-based fair value is $28.03, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Centerspace right now?
Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($23.99 to $60.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Centerspace

How large is the market capitalisation of Centerspace (CSR)?
The market capitalisation of Centerspace is $924M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Centerspace (CSR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Centerspace is 5.90 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Centerspace (CSR)?
Earnings per share at Centerspace are $0.4700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 118.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Centerspace (CSR)?
The dividend yield of Centerspace is 5.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Centerspace (CSR)?
The net margin of Centerspace is 5.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Centerspace (CSR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Centerspace is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Centerspace (CSR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Centerspace is 2.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Centerspace (CSR)?
The operating margin of Centerspace is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Centerspace (CSR)?
Revenue at Centerspace is growing −3.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Centerspace (CSR) carry?
The net debt of Centerspace is $1.0B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 15.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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