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Constellium SE (CSTM) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $4.9B

Price$33.27
Fair Value$19.28
Upside-42.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $11.92 – $42.61

Analysis

Constellium SE (CSTM) currently trades at $33.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.28 — implying the stock looks roughly 42.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Constellium SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of rolled and extruded aluminum products for the aerospace, packaging, automotive, commercial transportation, general industrial, and defense end-markets. It operates through three segments: Packaging & Automotive Rolled Products, Aerospace & Transportation, and Automotive Structures & Industry. The Packaging & Automotive Rolled Products segment produces and develops rolled aluminum products, including canstock and closure stock for the beverage and food industry, as well as foil stock for the flexible packaging market. This segment also supplies automotive body sheets, heat exchangers, and battery foil products for the automotive market. The Aerospace & Transportation segment provides aluminum products including plate, sheet, and extrusions to aerospace, space, commercial transportation, general industrial, and defense sectors. The Automotive Structures & Industry segment offers structural …

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.