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CSU Digital S.A (CSUD3) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · BR · Market cap R$614M

CD CSU Digital S.A CSUD3 · SA
PriceR$14.18
Fair ValueR$29.72
Upside+109.6%
Quality67/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
15.70% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (14/15)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: High Range R$17.72 – R$38.10 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from R$30.10 to R$29.72 (−1.3%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −0.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 110% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$17.72). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (R$17.72 to R$38.10) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R$19.14 R$6.61 Fair Value R$29.72 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$6.61 – R$19.14 · fair‑value band R$17.72 – R$38.10 · the R$14.18 price screens below the R$29.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

CSU Digital S.A (CSUD3) currently trades at R$14.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$29.72, implying the stock looks roughly 109.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, CSU Digital S.A generated revenue of R$640M at a net margin of 15.9%. Revenue grew 11.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.9%. Net debt stands at R$47.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$17.72 (bear case) to R$38.10 (bull case); at R$14.18, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at 110%, CSUD3 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF R$12.05 R$18.24 R$26.66 80
Residual Income R$14.45 R$19.12 R$68.97 76
Rev-Margin DCF R$17.03 R$29.41 R$44.47 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings R$20.67 R$32.10 R$48.41 31
5Y P/E Exit R$18.34 R$32.26 R$47.55 38
10Y P/E Exit R$15.65 R$26.52 R$40.92 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$17.44 R$67.21 R$91.10 54
Lynch FV R$16.43 R$23.47 R$30.51 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$6.85 R$12.35 R$17.00 70
DDM Multi-Stage R$6.85 R$11.28 R$13.19 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$25.01 R$33.34 R$41.68 63
P/B Multiple R$11.81 R$15.75 R$19.68 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$5.62 R$7.54 R$11.25 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$12.05 R$18.24 R$26.66 80
Rev-Margin DCF R$17.03 R$29.41 R$44.47 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$14.45 R$19.12 R$68.97 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (R$32.10) versus Asset-Based (R$7.54). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$640M
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.0%
Net margin 15.9%
Return on equity 20.9%
Free cash flow R$51.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 6.8
More key figures
Operating margin 15.4%
EPS (TTM) R$2.47
Dividend yield 14.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -17.8%
Net debt R$47.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 71
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CSU Digital S.A., a technology company for financial services, provides digital solutions for payments, embedded finance, customer experience, and loyalty and incentive programs in Brazil. The company operates through two segments: CSU Pays and CSU DX.

Full company description

CSU Digital S.A., a technology company for financial services, provides digital solutions for payments, embedded finance, customer experience, and loyalty and incentive programs in Brazil. The company operates through two segments: CSU Pays and CSU DX. The CSU Pays segment encompasses solutions in digital payments, loyalty and incentives, and embedded finance, including card processing for issuers and acquirers in the credit, debit, digital, and virtual modalities; the offer of digital wallets, instant payments, and cryptocurrencies; and others. The CSU DX segment focuses on the development of digital experience solutions with technological and digital density, directing efforts to projects with added value and complexity. The company also provides development and operational management relationship and customer acquisition programs; electronic transaction services for companies; information technology outsourcing services; and banking correspondent services to financial institutions. In addition, it manages and operates telemarketing and telesales contact centers, and credit analysis; captures electronic transactions as means of payment; and develops credit card administration and issuance activities, as well as payment account management solutions and activities. CSU Digital S.A.was formerly known as CSU CardSystem S.A. and changed its name to CSU Digital S.A. in August 2022. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Barueri, Brazil. CSU Digital S.A. is a subsidiary of Greeneville Delaware LLC.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CSU Digital S.A reported revenue of R$624M in FY2025 versus R$514M in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was R$106M in FY2025, compounding +15.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$624M
Latest YoY
+9.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.5%
Revenue +4.9%/yr
FY21 R$514M
FY22 R$537M
FY23 R$530M
FY24 R$568M
FY25 R$624M
Net income +15.1%/yr
FY21 R$60.5M
FY22 R$73.6M
FY23 R$88.4M
FY24 R$91.2M
FY25 R$106M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CSU Digital S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CSUD3

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +110% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 15.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.18× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.32× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.96× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.08× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 55 · sector 46
PAST 84 · sector 15
HEALTH 91 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 28

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €354.50 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.64 ¥5.05 -48%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CSU Digital S.A (CSUD3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$29.72 versus a price of R$14.18, about +110% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CSUD3?
Our model-based fair value for CSU Digital S.A is R$29.72 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$14.18.
What is the quality score of CSUD3?
CSU Digital S.A has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CSU Digital S.A (CSUD3)?
CSU Digital S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$640M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CSUD3?
The net profit margin of CSU Digital S.A is about 15.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does CSU Digital S.A pay a dividend?
CSU Digital S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 14.40% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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