CSW Industrials, Inc (CSW) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $4.9B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +29.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 61% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($180.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($57.23 to $180.20). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $95.59 – $429.58 · fair‑value band $57.23 – $180.20 · the $350.68 price screens above the $136.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
CSW Industrials, Inc (CSW) currently trades at $350.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $136.80, implying the stock looks roughly 61.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, CSW Industrials, Inc generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of 10.4%. Revenue grew 34.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. Net debt stands at $898M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $57.23 (bear case) to $180.20 (bull case); at $350.68, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades near its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -61%, CSW screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($140.63) versus Dividend Discount ($16.70). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
CSW Industrials, Inc. provides various industrial products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions.
Full company description
CSW Industrials, Inc. provides various industrial products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. The Contractor Solutions segment offers condensate pads, pans, and pumps; condensate switches and traps; drain management system; drain waste and vent systems mechanical products; ductless mini-split systems installation support tools and accessories; HVAC electrical protection, installation supplies, and maintenance chemicals; evaporator coils and air handlers; grilles, registers, and diffusers and vents; line set covers; load management systems; motors and capacitors; refrigerant caps; solvents, cements, traps, and thread sealants; surge protections; and wire pulling head tools under the Amrad, AquaGuard, Aspen Manufacturing, Clean Check, Cover Guard, Desolv, Duckt-Strip, Dust Free, EZ Trap, Falcon, Fortress, Goliath, G-O-N, Guardian Drain Lock, Hubsett, Kickstart, Leak Freeze, MARS, No. 5, Novent, PF WaterWorks, PRO-Fit, PSP Products, RectorSeal, Safe-T-Switch, Shoemaker Manufacturing, SureSeal, TRU-BLU, TRUaire, and Turbo 200 brands. The Engineered Building Solutions segment offers architectural railings and metals; expansion joints and joint seals; fire and smoke curtains, and fire stopping solutions; perimeter protection; and pre-engineered and custom architectural building components under the Balco, BlazeSeal, Duraspan, Greco, IllumiTread, Jointspan, Metacaulk, Metablock, Metaflex, Quakespan, and Smoke Guard brands. The Specialized Reliability Solutions segment provides compounds, lubricants, and sealants; industrial maintenance and repair, anti-seize, contamination control, and desiccant breather filtration; lubricant management systems; operation solutions; andrail applicators, and friction modifiers under the AccuTrack, OilSafe, Air Sentry, BioRail, Deacon, Envirolube, Extreme, Gearmate, Hydrotex, Jet-Lube, Kopr-Kote, Matrix, and Whitmore brands. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Dallas, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
CSW Industrials, Inc reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2026 versus $626M in FY2022, a compound +14.7%/yr. Reported net income was $112M in FY2026, compounding +14.0%/yr from FY2022.
CSW screens 61% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- CSW Industrials Inc (CSW) (Q1 2027) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue and EBITDA Growth ...
- CSW (NYSE:CSW) Beats Q2 CY2026 Sales Expectations
- CSW Industrials (CSW) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates
- CSW Industrials Reports Impressive Fiscal 2027 First Quarter with All-Time Record Results; Contractor Solutions Segment Delivers Second Cons
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 54/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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