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CSW Industrials, Inc (CSW) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $4.9B

CI CSW Industrials, Inc logo CSW Industrials, Inc CSW · US
Price$350.68
Fair Value$136.80
Upside-61.0%
Quality49/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
0.37% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/15)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range $57.23 – $180.20 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +29.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 61% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($180.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($57.23 to $180.20). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$429.58 $95.59 Fair Value $136.80 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $95.59 – $429.58 · fair‑value band $57.23 – $180.20 · the $350.68 price screens above the $136.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

CSW Industrials, Inc (CSW) currently trades at $350.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $136.80, implying the stock looks roughly 61.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, CSW Industrials, Inc generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of 10.4%. Revenue grew 34.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. Net debt stands at $898M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $57.23 (bear case) to $180.20 (bull case); at $350.68, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades near its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -61%, CSW screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $52.16 $130.02 $259.18 80
Residual Income $56.54 $63.38 $108.75 76
Rev-Margin DCF $40.45 $108.72 $199.88 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $54.01 $142.45 $296.74 38
Owner Earnings $77.01 $185.13 $373.74 31
5Y Revenue Exit $40.45 $110.75 $207.69 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $78.49 $191.59 $337.37 41
5Y P/E Exit $52.12 $135.54 $233.17 38
10Y Revenue Exit $41.29 $109.71 $217.93 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $69.11 $168.63 $327.24 37
10Y P/E Exit $51.79 $127.77 $239.41 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $46.68 $239.76 $331.39 54
Lynch FV $65.40 $93.43 $121.46 50
PEG = 1.0 $65.40 $93.43 $121.46 46
EPV $34.98 $48.30 $59.79 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $9.70 $19.32 $29.26 70
DDM Multi-Stage $9.70 $16.70 $20.40 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $108.12 $144.16 $180.20 63
P/S Multiple $87.52 $116.70 $145.87 58
P/B Multiple $87.52 $116.70 $145.87 55
EV/EBIT $94.49 $142.45 $190.41 53
EV/EBITDA $100.71 $150.75 $200.78 54
EV/Revenue $34.19 $70.01 $105.83 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $32.18 $43.12 $64.37 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $52.16 $130.02 $259.18 80
Rev-Margin DCF $40.45 $108.72 $199.88 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $56.54 $63.38 $108.75 76
ROIC Compounder $34.98 $48.30 $59.79 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $98.44 $140.63 $182.81 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($140.63) versus Dividend Discount ($16.70). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +34.0%
Net margin 10.4%
Return on equity 10.4%
Free cash flow $132M FY2026
P/E ratio 40.5
More key figures
Operating margin 18.4%
EPS (TTM) $6.86
Dividend yield 0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -41.2%
Net debt $898M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 57
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CSW Industrials, Inc. provides various industrial products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions.

Full company description

CSW Industrials, Inc. provides various industrial products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. The Contractor Solutions segment offers condensate pads, pans, and pumps; condensate switches and traps; drain management system; drain waste and vent systems mechanical products; ductless mini-split systems installation support tools and accessories; HVAC electrical protection, installation supplies, and maintenance chemicals; evaporator coils and air handlers; grilles, registers, and diffusers and vents; line set covers; load management systems; motors and capacitors; refrigerant caps; solvents, cements, traps, and thread sealants; surge protections; and wire pulling head tools under the Amrad, AquaGuard, Aspen Manufacturing, Clean Check, Cover Guard, Desolv, Duckt-Strip, Dust Free, EZ Trap, Falcon, Fortress, Goliath, G-O-N, Guardian Drain Lock, Hubsett, Kickstart, Leak Freeze, MARS, No. 5, Novent, PF WaterWorks, PRO-Fit, PSP Products, RectorSeal, Safe-T-Switch, Shoemaker Manufacturing, SureSeal, TRU-BLU, TRUaire, and Turbo 200 brands. The Engineered Building Solutions segment offers architectural railings and metals; expansion joints and joint seals; fire and smoke curtains, and fire stopping solutions; perimeter protection; and pre-engineered and custom architectural building components under the Balco, BlazeSeal, Duraspan, Greco, IllumiTread, Jointspan, Metacaulk, Metablock, Metaflex, Quakespan, and Smoke Guard brands. The Specialized Reliability Solutions segment provides compounds, lubricants, and sealants; industrial maintenance and repair, anti-seize, contamination control, and desiccant breather filtration; lubricant management systems; operation solutions; andrail applicators, and friction modifiers under the AccuTrack, OilSafe, Air Sentry, BioRail, Deacon, Envirolube, Extreme, Gearmate, Hydrotex, Jet-Lube, Kopr-Kote, Matrix, and Whitmore brands. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Dallas, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

CSW Industrials, Inc reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2026 versus $626M in FY2022, a compound +14.7%/yr. Reported net income was $112M in FY2026, compounding +14.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$1.1B
Latest YoY
+23.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.6%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y)
+14.5%
Revenue +14.7%/yr
FY22 $626M
FY23 $758M
FY24 $793M
FY25 $878M
FY26 $1.1B
Net income +14.0%/yr
FY22 $66.4M
FY23 $96.4M
FY24 $102M
FY25 $137M
FY26 $112M

CSW screens 61% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CSW Industrials, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CSW

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −61% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 34% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.80× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 43.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.53× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 37.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 23.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.84× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 42 · sector 28
HEALTH 60 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 7 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 54/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CSW Industrials, Inc (CSW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $136.80 versus a price of $350.68, about −61% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CSW?
Our model-based fair value for CSW Industrials, Inc is $136.80 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $350.68.
What is the quality score of CSW?
CSW Industrials, Inc has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CSW Industrials, Inc (CSW)?
CSW Industrials, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CSW?
The net profit margin of CSW Industrials, Inc is about 10.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does CSW Industrials, Inc pay a dividend?
CSW Industrials, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.40% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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