Catenai PLC (CTAI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 13, 2026: fair value of Catenai PLC £0.00, price £0.00, upside -9.1%, quality 21 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Catenai PLC, together with its subsidiaries, provides multimedia and technology solutions in the United Kingdom. It develops app-based solutions, such as OnSide, a centralized management tool for local government and community groups; no-code AI agent workforce solution; and bitcoin treasury strategy solution for treasury management.
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Catenai PLC, together with its subsidiaries, provides multimedia and technology solutions in the United Kingdom. It develops app-based solutions, such as OnSide, a centralized management tool for local government and community groups; no-code AI agent workforce solution; and bitcoin treasury strategy solution for treasury management. The company was formerly known as Catenae Innovation Plc and changed its name to Catenai PLC in March 2024. Catenai PLC was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Newcastle upon Tyne, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Catenai PLC (CTAI) currently trades at £0.0011, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.0010, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 10.0%).
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 6 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Catenai PLC reported revenue of £71.4K in FY2025 versus £30.2K in FY2021, a compound +24.0%/yr. Reported net income was −£496K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.6M GBX · P/S ratio 7.15 · Net margin −168% · Return on equity −20.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −409% · Operating margin −61.7% · Revenue (TTM) £210K · Revenue growth (YoY) +18.3%.
What moves the price
The share trades about 81% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −9%, CTAI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−45.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −13.9% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−4,978.3% (2020) → −633.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−17.4%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −19.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 353 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score21 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+9.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−10.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−168.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−61.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth18.3% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Catenai PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CTAI
Frequently asked questions
Is Catenai PLC (CTAI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.0010 versus a price of £0.0011, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CTAI?
Our model-based fair value for Catenai PLC is £0.0010 (as of Oct 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.0011.
What is the quality score of CTAI?
Catenai PLC has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Catenai PLC (CTAI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.0010 (as of Oct 14, 2026) from 2 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Catenai PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.0010, about −9% upside versus a price of £0.0011 (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Catenai PLC (CTAI)?
Catenai PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £210K (latest available figure, as of Oct 14, 2026).
What growth is priced into Catenai PLC (CTAI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Catenai PLC would have to grow free cash flow by -17.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +36.7 % per year. As of Oct 14, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CTAI use?
Our models discount Catenai PLC at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.47, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Catenai PLC that is -17.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Catenai PLC (CTAI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Catenai PLC grew +36.7 % a year. The price currently implies -17.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Catenai PLC (CTAI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Catenai PLC (-17.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Catenai PLC (CTAI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.10 %: that much free cash flow Catenai PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Catenai PLC (CTAI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Catenai PLC it is £0.0010 per share (as of Oct 14, 2026), against a price of £0.0011. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Catenai PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 14, 2026, CTAI trades above its calculated fair value: price £0.0011, fair value £0.0010, a gap of about −9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CTAI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.0011); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.0010). For Catenai PLC the two are £0.0001 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Catenai PLC worth?
The market values Catenai PLC at about 1.6M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Oct 14, 2026). Per share that is £0.0011; our models calculate a fair value of £0.0010 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Catenai PLC (CTAI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Catenai PLC (as of Oct 14, 2026): return on equity −20.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CTAI from its 52-week high?
Catenai PLC trades at £0.0011, about 81% below its 52-week high of £0.0057 and 10% above the low of £0.0010 (as of Oct 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.0010 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Catenai PLC?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Catenai PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 14, 2026: price £0.0011, calculated fair value £0.0010 (−9%), Quality Score 21/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CTAI calculated?
We run Catenai PLC through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.0010, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Catenai PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Catenai PLC (CTAI)?
The closing price on Oct 13, 2026 was £0.0011. Our model-based fair value is £0.0010, about −9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Catenai PLC right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Catenai PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Catenai PLC (CTAI)?
The market capitalisation of Catenai PLC is 1.6M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Catenai PLC (CTAI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Catenai PLC is 7.15 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Catenai PLC (CTAI)?
The net margin of Catenai PLC is −168% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Catenai PLC (CTAI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Catenai PLC is −20.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Catenai PLC (CTAI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Catenai PLC is −409% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Catenai PLC (CTAI)?
The operating margin of Catenai PLC is −61.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Catenai PLC (CTAI)?
Revenue at Catenai PLC is growing +18.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −15.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Catenai PLC (CTAI) hold?
Catenai PLC holds more cash than debt, £574K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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