City Auto Corporation (CTF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · VN · Market cap 1.6T VND
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +18.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 91% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2,259 VND). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (1,216 VND to 2,259 VND) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13,934 VND – 31,365 VND · fair‑value band 1,216 VND – 2,259 VND · the 20,200 VND price screens above the 1,738 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
City Auto Corporation (CTF) currently trades at 20,200 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,738 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 91.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, City Auto Corporation generated revenue of 8.3T VND at a net margin of 0.1%. Revenue declined 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. Net debt stands at 2.3T VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1,216 VND (bear case) to 2,259 VND (bull case); at 20,200 VND, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -91%, CTF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (7,001 VND) versus DCF Models (526.40 VND). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
City Auto Corporation trades in automobiles, spare parts, accessories, machinery, and equipment in Vietnam. It also manufactures and sells automobiles and other motor vehicles, as well as provides data processing, information technology, and other services related to computers; forest care and tree nursery services; and direct support service for railway …
Full company description
City Auto Corporation trades in automobiles, spare parts, accessories, machinery, and equipment in Vietnam. It also manufactures and sells automobiles and other motor vehicles, as well as provides data processing, information technology, and other services related to computers; forest care and tree nursery services; and direct support service for railway transport. In addition, the company is involved in the insurance agency and brokerage activities; real estate consultancy, brokerage, auction, and land use rights auction; automobile and other motor vehicle dealership; sale of spare parts and accessories of automobiles and other motor vehicles; road passenger and road freight transport; motor vehicle leasing; wholesale of computers, peripherals and software; maintenance and repair of automobiles and other motor vehicles; repair of machinery and equipment; retail sale of passenger cars; and wholesale sale of other household goods. City Auto Corporation was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
City Auto Corporation reported revenue of 8.4T VND in FY2025 versus 4.5T VND in FY2021, a compound +17.0%/yr. Reported net income was 9.1B VND in FY2025, compounding −34.4%/yr from FY2021.
CTF screens 91% overvalued. Compare with Carvana Co →
Peer Group
Auto & Truck Dealerships · 102 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carvana Co CVNA | $70.38 | $24.58 | -65% |
| Penske Automotive Group PAG | $202.66 | $241.86 | +19% |
| Hotai Motor Co 2207 | 476.50 TWD | 576.75 TWD | +21% |
| CarMax, Inc KMX | $58.47 | $29.62 | -49% |
| Lithia Motors, Inc LAD | $339.16 | $610.95 | +80% |
| AutoNation, Inc AN | $205.72 | $329.77 | +60% |
| Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA | $76.89 | $66.27 | -14% |
| Valvoline Inc VVV | $38.64 | $24.57 | -36% |
| OPENLANE, Inc OPLN | $39.46 | $33.81 | -14% |
| Eagers Automotive Limited APE | A$20.83 | A$17.66 | -15% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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