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centrotherm international AG (CTNK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of centrotherm international AG €16.43, price €9.15, upside +79.6%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · DE · ISIN DE000A1TNMM9

CI Some data Oct 1, 2026

centrotherm international AG

CTNK · F

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

Fair value €16.43 · Strongly undervalued (+79.6%)
Quality 60/100
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/13)
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.5 %/yr in EUR)
Thin margins · 9.1% net margin (TTM)
Moderate moat 52/100
Some data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€13.00 €3.00 Fair Value €16.43 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €3.00 – €13.00 · fair‑value band €12.32 – €20.54 · the €9.15 price screens below the €16.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

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Company profile

centrotherm international AG provides production equipment and solutions for the photovoltaic, semiconductor, and microelectronic industries in Germany, China, India, Other Asia, Rest of Europe, and internationally.

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centrotherm international AG provides production equipment and solutions for the photovoltaic, semiconductor, and microelectronic industries in Germany, China, India, Other Asia, Rest of Europe, and internationally. The company offers atmospheric and low pressure diffusion furnaces and LPCVD systems, technical remote and field service, training programs, upgrades for obsolete components including machine controls, maintenance and spare parts, production solutions, integrated production solutions, integrated solutions for carbon fiber production, and thermal solution equipment, including wafer manufacturing, power semiconductor, MEMS, optoelectronics, back-end, photovoltaics, and fiber manufacturing. It also provides solutions for SiC power MOSFETs, TOPCon solar cells, MEMS technology, GaN HEMTs, and carbon fibers. In addition, the company offers horizontal and vertical furnaces, single-wafer furnaces, high-temperature furnaces, vacuum soldering furnaces, and continuous-flow furnaces; production solutions for manufacturing mono and multicrystalline solar cells; production facilities for PECVD, atmospheric and low-pressure diffusion, and annealing; process, technology, and service packages for high-performance solar cells; and systems for complex thermal processes for carbon/ceramic fiber production, battery cell production, corrosion protection, and hydrogen technology, as well as SiC wafer mixing/treatment systems and horizontal furnace systems for silicon power semiconductors. centrotherm international AG was formerly known as Centrotherm photovoltaics AG and changed its name to centrotherm international AG in June 2017. The company was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Blaubeuren, Germany.

Stock analysis

centrotherm international AG (CTNK) currently trades at €9.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €16.43, implying the stock looks roughly 44.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €38.94 per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the €9.15 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €4.04, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €12.32 (bear) to €20.54 (bull), the price of €9.15 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

centrotherm international AG reported revenue of €211M in FY2025 versus €176M in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was €19.2M in FY2025, compounding +13.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €194M · P/E ratio 10.1 · P/S ratio 0.91 · EPS (TTM) €0.9100 · Net margin 9.1% · Return on equity 16.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0% · Operating margin 12.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at 80%, CTNK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €12.32 Fair Value €16.43 Bull €20.54
Price €9.15 · Upside +79.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.6906 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €37.03 €46.74 €58.34 82
Growth DCF €37.24 €45.83 €55.57 80
Owner Earnings €15.94 €18.58 €21.73 78
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €37.03 €46.74 €58.34 82
Owner Earnings €15.94 €18.58 €21.73 78
5Y Revenue Exit €26.99 €33.13 €40.36 74
5Y EBITDA Exit €30.63 €39.72 €49.75 77
5Y P/E Exit €30.20 €38.94 €47.63 72
10Y Revenue Exit €31.04 €37.00 €43.99 68
10Y EBITDA Exit €33.25 €40.84 €49.93 70
10Y P/E Exit €33.02 €40.39 €48.59 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €6.17 €16.41 €21.45 65
Lynch FV €3.17 €4.54 €5.90 61
PEG = 1.0 €3.17 €4.54 €5.90 57
EPV €16.26 €17.25 €18.04 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple €19.05 €25.40 €31.75 63
P/S Multiple €11.56 €15.42 €19.27 58
P/B Multiple €11.56 €15.42 €19.27 55
EV/EBIT €31.02 €38.67 €46.32 66
EV/EBITDA €28.00 €34.64 €41.28 67
EV/Revenue €19.67 €24.64 €29.61 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €3.02 €4.04 €6.03 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €37.24 €45.83 €55.57 80
Rev-Margin DCF €26.99 €33.70 €41.31 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €5.48 €6.31 €8.02 71
ROIC Compounder €16.26 €17.25 €18.04 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €14.64 €20.92 €27.19 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 36
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.3% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+10.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10.6% vs 16.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−10% → 13%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−35.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −36.9% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 334 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +79.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 16.2% · Above median
Return on assets 4.1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9.1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −42.4% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.52× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.92× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 2.6× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 0.8× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 88
PAST (return on equity)65 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 19

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD $611.76 $122.60 −80%
SK hynix Inc 000660 1,833,000 KRW 2,016,300 KRW +10%
Intel Corporation INTC $115.93 $33.67 −71%
Arm Holdings ARM $310.32 $44.44 −86%
MediaTek Inc 2454 5,285 TWD 3,142 TWD −41%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $280.09 $81.75 −71%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "centrotherm international AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CTNK

Frequently asked questions

Is centrotherm international AG (CTNK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €16.43 versus a price of €9.15, about +80% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CTNK?
Our model-based fair value for centrotherm international AG is €16.43 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €9.15.
What is the quality score of CTNK?
centrotherm international AG has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for centrotherm international AG (CTNK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €16.43 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €12.32, optimistic scenario €20.54. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the centrotherm international AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €16.43, about +80% upside versus a price of €9.15 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €12.32, optimistic scenario €20.54. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of centrotherm international AG (CTNK)?
centrotherm international AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €211M (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into centrotherm international AG (CTNK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, centrotherm international AG would have to grow free cash flow by -35.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.5 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CTNK use?
Our models discount centrotherm international AG at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.41, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For centrotherm international AG that is -35.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has centrotherm international AG (CTNK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at centrotherm international AG grew +14.5 % a year. The price currently implies -35.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of centrotherm international AG (CTNK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into centrotherm international AG (-35.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of centrotherm international AG (CTNK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 38.95 %: that much free cash flow centrotherm international AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of centrotherm international AG (CTNK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For centrotherm international AG it is €16.43 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of €9.15. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is centrotherm international AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, CTNK trades below its calculated fair value: price €9.15, fair value €16.43, a gap of about +80% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CTNK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€9.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€16.43). For centrotherm international AG the two are €7.28 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is centrotherm international AG worth?
The market values centrotherm international AG at about €194M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is €9.15; our models calculate a fair value of €16.43 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CTNK?
Our models span a range for centrotherm international AG: cautious scenario €12.32, base €16.43, optimistic €20.54 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price €9.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CTNK?
centrotherm international AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.1 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €16.43 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 0.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of centrotherm international AG (CTNK)?
Balance-sheet figures for centrotherm international AG (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 16.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CTNK from its 52-week high?
centrotherm international AG trades at €9.15, about 30% below its 52-week high of €13.00 and 87% above the low of €4.90 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €16.43 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to centrotherm international AG?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is centrotherm international AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price €9.15, calculated fair value €16.43 (+80%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CTNK calculated?
We run centrotherm international AG through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €16.43, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. centrotherm international AG currently trades 44 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of centrotherm international AG (CTNK)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was €9.15. Our model-based fair value is €16.43, about +80% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with centrotherm international AG right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€12.32). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of centrotherm international AG

How large is the market capitalisation of centrotherm international AG (CTNK)?
The market capitalisation of centrotherm international AG is €194M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of centrotherm international AG (CTNK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of centrotherm international AG is 0.91 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of centrotherm international AG (CTNK)?
Earnings per share at centrotherm international AG are €0.9100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of centrotherm international AG (CTNK)?
The net margin of centrotherm international AG is 9.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of centrotherm international AG (CTNK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of centrotherm international AG is 16.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of centrotherm international AG (CTNK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of centrotherm international AG is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of centrotherm international AG (CTNK)?
The operating margin of centrotherm international AG is 12.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at centrotherm international AG (CTNK)?
Revenue at centrotherm international AG is growing −42.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at centrotherm international AG (CTNK)?
Earnings per share at centrotherm international AG are growing −62.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does centrotherm international AG (CTNK) hold?
centrotherm international AG holds more cash than debt, €42.5M net (fiscal year 2022). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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