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CITIC Limited (CTPCY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $48.8B

CL CITIC Limited logo CITIC Limited CTPCY · US
Price$6.66
Fair Value$9.53
Upside+43.1%
Quality45/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $7.15 – $11.91 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026, revised from $153.14 to $9.53 (−93.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −15.5% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$8.71 $5.00 Fair Value $9.53 Mar 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $5.00 – $8.71 · fair‑value band $7.15 – $11.91 · the $6.66 price screens below the $9.53 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

CITIC Limited (CTPCY) currently trades at $6.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.53, implying the stock looks roughly 43.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, CITIC Limited generated revenue of $945B at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue declined 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at $1.8T. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.15 (bear case) to $11.91 (bull case); at $6.66, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -18% fair-value upside, at 43%, CTPCY screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $945B
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.8%
Net margin 6.2%
Return on equity 7.9%
Free cash flow $5.1B FY2025
P/E ratio 5.7
More key figures
Operating margin 29.7%
EPS (TTM) $1.48
Dividend yield 5.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -25.0%
Net debt $1.8T FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

CITIC Limited operates in the financial services, advanced intelligent manufacturing, advanced materials, consumption, and urbanization businesses in the Mainland of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The Comprehensive Financial Services segment provides banking, securities, trust, insurance, and asset management services. The Advanced Intelligent Manufacturing segment manufactures heavy machineries, specialized robotics, aluminium wheels, aluminium casting parts, and other products. The Advanced Materials segment includes exploration, processing, and trading of resources and energy products comprising iron ore, copper, and crude oil, as well as manufactures special steels. The New Consumption segment consists of motor, food and consumer products business, telecommunication services, publication services, modern agriculture services, and others. The New-Type Urbanisation segment develops, holds, and sells properties; and provides contracting and design services, as well as …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CITIC Limited reported revenue of $748B in FY2025 versus $905B in FY2021, a compound −4.6%/yr. Reported net income was $57.1B in FY2025, compounding −5.0%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −4.6%/yr
FY21 $905B
FY22 $845B
FY23 $681B
FY24 $892B
FY25 $748B
Net income −5.0%/yr
FY21 $70.2B
FY22 $73.5B
FY23 $57.5B
FY24 $54.7B
FY25 $57.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CITIC Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CTPCY

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Frequently asked questions

Is CITIC Limited (CTPCY) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.53 versus a price of $6.66, about +43% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CTPCY?
Our model-based fair value for CITIC Limited is $9.53 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $6.66.
What is the quality score of CTPCY?
CITIC Limited has a Quality Score of 45/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of CITIC Limited (CTPCY)?
CITIC Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $945B (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CTPCY?
The net profit margin of CITIC Limited is about 6.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does CITIC Limited pay a dividend?
CITIC Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.06% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.