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Data-driven stock valuation

Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Centuri Holdings, Inc. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Utilities · US · Market cap $2.7B · ISIN US1559231055

At a glance

CH Centuri Holdings, Inc. logo Centuri Holdings, Inc. CTRI · US
Price$20.16
Fair Value$4.66
Upside−76.9%
Quality39/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 333% above our fair value of $4.66.

As of Aug 27, 2026, the fair value of Centuri Holdings, Inc. is $4.66 per share against a price of $20.16, so the fair value sits 77% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.0% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 18 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $3.49 to $5.45

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price −15.2% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

$41.80 $14.92 Fair Value $4.66 Apr 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

29‑month range $14.92 – $41.80 · fair‑value band $3.49 – $5.45 · the $20.16 price screens above the $4.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI) currently trades at $20.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.66, implying the stock looks roughly 332.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $10.48 per share, and 1 of the 15 models we run sit above the $20.16 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.56, and 14 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Centuri Holdings, Inc. generated revenue of $3.2B at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 31.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. Net debt stands at $195M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Scenario range: $3.49 (bear) to $5.45 (bull), the price of $20.16 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −77%, CTRI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2495 per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely ($1.56 to $26.96). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $6.09 $5.81 $4.66 76
Owner Earnings $4.76 $10.48 $18.95 73
EPV $1.76 $2.95 $3.98 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $4.76 $10.48 $18.95 73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.51 $4.90 $6.54 64
Lynch FV $1.09 $1.56 $2.03 61
PEG = 1.0 $1.09 $1.56 $2.03 57
EPV $1.76 $2.95 $3.98 72
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.49 $4.66 $5.82 63
P/S Multiple $2.83 $3.77 $4.71 58
P/B Multiple $2.83 $3.77 $4.71 55
EV/EBIT $5.96 $9.87 $13.78 64
EV/EBITDA $18.78 $26.96 $35.14 67
EV/Revenue $2.61 $6.19 $9.78 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.32 $5.79 $8.65 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $6.09 $5.81 $4.66 76
ROIC Compounder $1.76 $2.95 $3.98 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.93 $4.19 $5.45 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($10.48) versus Earnings-Based ($1.56). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 56.0
P/S ratio 0.43 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.3600 price ÷ EPS = P/E 56.0
Net margin 0.8% FY2025
Return on equity 4.4% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin −0.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $3.2B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +31.5% 3y avg +1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +175%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$8.2M FY2025
Net debt $195M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 38
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Centuri Holdings, Inc. operates as a utility infrastructure services company in North America. It operates through four segments: U.S. Gas Utility Services; Canadian Operations; Union Electric Utility Services; and Non-Union Electric Utility Services.

Full company description

Centuri Holdings, Inc. operates as a utility infrastructure services company in North America. It operates through four segments: U.S. Gas Utility Services; Canadian Operations; Union Electric Utility Services; and Non-Union Electric Utility Services. The company offers gas utility services, including maintenance, replacement, repair, and installation for local natural gas distribution utilities focused on the modernization of customers' infrastructure. It also provides electric utility services encompassing maintenance, replacement, repair, upgrade, and expansion services for urban transmission and local distribution infrastructure, as well as corporate and non-allocated transactions. The company customers include electric, gas, and combination utility providers, as well as serves end markets, such as distributed power projects, and data centers. The company was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona. Centuri Holdings, Inc. is a subsidiary of Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Centuri Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $2.9B in FY2025 versus $2.2B in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was $22.4M in FY2025, compounding −13.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.9B
Latest YoY
+9.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−28.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−28.4%
Dividend yield0.0%
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5.7% (2020) → 3.2% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop275% (2022) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
Revenue +7.5%/yr
FY21 $2.2B
FY22 $2.8B
FY23 $2.9B
FY24 $2.6B
FY25 $2.9B
Net income −13.8%/yr
FY21 $40.5M
FY22 −$168M
FY23 −$186M
FY24 −$6.7M
FY25 $22.4M

CTRI screens 333% overvalued. Compare with Naturgy Energy Group →

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Centuri Holdings, Inc. · Fair Value
$4.66 −333%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Centuri Holdings, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CTRI

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.81× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 56.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 3.04× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.84× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 13.0× · Priciest 25%
PEG 1.01× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 27
FUTURE100 · sector 0
PAST18 · sector 35
HEALTH59 · sector 85
DIVIDEND0 · sector 72

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group NTGY €29.60 €31.58 +7%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $167.56 $85.67 −49%
NiSource Inc NI $40.96 $28.59 −30%
Uniper SE UN0 €46.10 €48.32 +5%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 HK$7.31 HK$4.79 −34%
GAIL (India) Limited GAIL ₹171.10 ₹130.21 −24%
Italgas S.p.A IG €8.67 €8.63 −1%
Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL ₹654.05 ₹101.36 −85%
ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 ¥17.51 ¥25.71 +47%
UGI Corporation UGI $37.94 $26.72 −30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.66 versus a price of $20.16, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CTRI?
Our model-based fair value for Centuri Holdings, Inc. is $4.66 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $20.16.
What is the quality score of CTRI?
Centuri Holdings, Inc. has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.66 (as of Aug 27, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.49, optimistic scenario $5.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Centuri Holdings, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.66, about −77% upside versus a price of $20.16 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $3.49, optimistic scenario $5.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI)?
Centuri Holdings, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CTRI?
The net profit margin of Centuri Holdings, Inc. is about 1.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
What is the intrinsic value of Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Centuri Holdings, Inc. it is $4.66 per share (as of Aug 27, 2026), against a price of $20.16. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Centuri Holdings, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 27, 2026, CTRI trades above its calculated fair value: price $20.16, fair value $4.66, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CTRI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($20.16); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.66). For Centuri Holdings, Inc. the two are $15.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Centuri Holdings, Inc. worth?
The market values Centuri Holdings, Inc. at about $2.7B (market capitalisation, as of Aug 27, 2026). Per share that is $20.16; our models calculate a fair value of $4.66 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CTRI?
Our models span a range for Centuri Holdings, Inc.: cautious scenario $3.49, base $4.66, optimistic $5.45 per share (as of Aug 27, 2026, price $20.16). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CTRI?
Centuri Holdings, Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 56.0 (as of Aug 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.66 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 3.0, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 13.0.
What is the PEG ratio of CTRI?
The PEG ratio of Centuri Holdings, Inc. is 1.01 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Aug 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Centuri Holdings, Inc. (as of Aug 27, 2026): return on equity 4.4%, debt of 0.81 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CTRI from its 52-week high?
Centuri Holdings, Inc. trades at $20.16, about 53% below its 52-week high of $42.99 and 6% above the low of $19.04 (as of Aug 27, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Centuri Holdings, Inc.?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Naturgy Energy Group, Atmos Energy Corporation, NiSource Inc, Uniper SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Centuri Holdings, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 27, 2026: price $20.16, calculated fair value $4.66 (−77%), Quality Score 39/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CTRI calculated?
We run Centuri Holdings, Inc. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.66, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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