Centuri Holdings (CTRI) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $2.7B
Centuri Holdings
CTRI · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $5.79 to $4.66 (−19.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −9.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 80% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
28‑month range $14.92 – $41.80 · fair‑value band $3.49 – $5.82 · the $23.85 price screens above the $4.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Centuri Holdings (CTRI) currently trades at $23.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.66, implying the stock looks roughly 80.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Centuri Holdings generated revenue of $3.2B at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 31.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. Net debt stands at $195M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.49 (bear case) to $5.82 (bull case); at $23.85, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at -80%, CTRI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($10.48) versus Earnings-Based ($1.56). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Centuri Holdings, Inc. operates as a utility infrastructure services company in North America. It operates through four segments: U.S. Gas Utility Services; Canadian Operations; Union Electric Utility Services; and Non-Union Electric Utility Services.
Full company description
Centuri Holdings, Inc. operates as a utility infrastructure services company in North America. It operates through four segments: U.S. Gas Utility Services; Canadian Operations; Union Electric Utility Services; and Non-Union Electric Utility Services. The company offers gas utility services, including maintenance, replacement, repair, and installation for local natural gas distribution utilities focused on the modernization of customers' infrastructure. It also provides electric utility services encompassing maintenance, replacement, repair, upgrade, and expansion services for urban transmission and local distribution infrastructure, as well as corporate and non-allocated transactions. The company customers include electric, gas, and combination utility providers, as well as serves end markets, such as distributed power projects, and data centers. The company was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona. Centuri Holdings, Inc. is a subsidiary of Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Centuri Holdings reported revenue of $2.9B in FY2025 versus $2.2B in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was $22.4M in FY2025, compounding −13.8%/yr from FY2021.
CTRI screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Naturgy Energy Group →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Centuri Releases 2025 Sustainability Report
- Centuri Holdings, Inc. to Report Second Quarter 2026 Results on August 4th, 2026
- Centuri Expands Industrial and Union Electric Capabilities with Acquisition of J.J. White
- Centuri Announces More than $360 Million in Customer Awards
Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naturgy Energy Group NTGY | €28.84 | €35.80 | +24% |
| Atmos Energy Corporation ATO | $177.68 | $85.67 | -52% |
| NiSource Inc NI | $47.07 | $28.59 | -39% |
| Uniper SE UN0 | €42.80 | €49.13 | +15% |
| The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 | HK$7.03 | HK$5.08 | -28% |
| Italgas S.p.A IG | €9.98 | €8.11 | -19% |
| GAIL (India) Limited GAIL | ₹171.71 | ₹147.74 | -14% |
| Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL | ₹723.90 | ₹101.36 | -86% |
| ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 | ¥17.30 | ¥25.71 | +49% |
| UGI Corporation UGI | $35.84 | $27.13 | -24% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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