Citycon Oyj (CTY1S) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · FI · Market cap €532M
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from €5.89 to €5.91 (+0.3%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +0.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 103% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€5.91). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- The models converge in a tight band (€5.91 to €6.16), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.14 – €4.44 · fair‑value band €5.91 – €6.16 · the €2.91 price screens below the €5.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Citycon Oyj (CTY1S) currently trades at €2.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €5.91, implying the stock looks roughly 103.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Citycon Oyj generated revenue of €305M at a net margin of 37.3%. Revenue grew 1.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.2%. Net debt stands at €2.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €5.91 (bear case) to €6.16 (bull case); at €2.91, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 103%, CTY1S screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€8.79) versus Growth DCF (€0.8300). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Citycon Oyj, a real estate investment company, owns and develops mixed-use centers in Finland, Norway, Sweden, Denmark, and Estonia. It develops mixed-use centers that include retail, offices, hotels, and housing, as well as for food and beverage, healthcare, culture, and leisure services.
Full company description
Citycon Oyj, a real estate investment company, owns and develops mixed-use centers in Finland, Norway, Sweden, Denmark, and Estonia. It develops mixed-use centers that include retail, offices, hotels, and housing, as well as for food and beverage, healthcare, culture, and leisure services. Citycon Oyj was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Espoo, Finland. As of March 6, 2026, Citycon Oyj operates as a subsidiary of G City Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Citycon Oyj reported revenue of €298M in FY2025 versus €292M in FY2021, a compound +0.5%/yr. Reported net income was €94.9M in FY2025, compounding −5.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Diversified · 138 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN | CHF 129.20 | CHF 44.83 | -65% |
| Central Pattana Public Company CPN | 68.75 THB | 71.37 THB | +4% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,733 | ₹645.21 | -63% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹2,076 | ₹701.74 | -66% |
| Fastighets AB BALDB | kr 50.42 | kr 70.70 | +40% |
| Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 | 16.39 SAR | 11.62 SAR | -29% |
| Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 | ¥2.89 | ¥0.3300 | -89% |
| Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co 000029 | ¥19.95 | ¥4.60 | -77% |
| Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO | 3,940 CLP | 2,777 CLP | -30% |
| Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A. VESTA | 59.57 MXN | 53.94 MXN | -9% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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