China Oriental Group (CUGCF) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $708M
China Oriental Group
CUGCF · US
Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $0.1902 – $0.1902 · fair‑value band $0.2056 – $0.3364 · the $0.1902 price screens below the $0.2803 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.
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China Oriental Group (CUGCF) currently trades at $0.1902, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2803, implying the stock looks roughly 47.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Oriental Group generated revenue of $40.4B at a net margin of 0.6%. Revenue grew 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. Net debt stands at $7.7B. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.2056 (bear case) to $0.3364 (bull case); at $0.1902, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 47%, CUGCF screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
China Oriental Group Company Limited manufactures and sells iron and steel products for downstream steel manufacturers in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Iron and Steel, and Real Estate segments. The company offers H-section steel products for use in non-residential construction and infrastructure projects; strips and strip products; cold rolled sheets for use in manufacturing home electric appliances, hardware, and pipes, etc.; galvanized sheets for production of civil-purpose sheets; billets for use as substrate in downstream steel products; and rebars for use in residential and non-residential projects, as well as sheet piling products. It also engages in the trade of steel, iron ore, and related products; sale of power equipment; manufacture and sale of casting products; equipment maintenance; and real estate business. China Oriental Group Company Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Oriental Group reported revenue of $39.4B in FY2025 versus $52.0B in FY2021, a compound −6.7%/yr. Reported net income was $219M in FY2025, compounding −45.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nucor Corporation N1UE34 | R$110.09 | R$38.41 | -65% |
| ArcelorMittal S.A ARMT34 | R$166.77 | R$110.23 | -34% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,282 | ₹1,113 | -13% |
| Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL | ₹193.56 | ₹148.08 | -23% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.74 | ¥6.34 | +10% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 363,000 KRW | 143,097 KRW | -61% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 3,280 ARS | -76% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,028 | ₹545.12 | -47% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,779 | ₹1,314 | -26% |
| SSAB AB SSABA | kr 96.26 | kr 63.08 | -34% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.