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Covenant Logistics Group (CVLG) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $1.1B

Price$43.09
Fair Value$7.43
Upside-82.8%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $5.57 – $8.33

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

Analysis

Covenant Logistics Group (CVLG) currently trades at $43.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.43 — implying the stock looks roughly 82.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation and logistics services in the United States. It operates through four segments: Expedited, Dedicated, Managed Freight, and Warehousing. The Expedited segment primarily provides truckload services with high service freight and delivery standards, such as 1,000 miles in 22 hours or 15-minute delivery windows. The Dedicated segment provides customers with committed truckload capacity over contracted periods with the goal of three to five years in length using equipment either owned or leased by the company. The Managed Freight segment offers brokerage services, including logistics capacity by outsourcing the carriage of customers' freight to third parties; and transport management services, such as logistics services on a contractual basis to customers who prefer to outsource their logistics needs. The Warehousing segment provides day-to-day warehouse management services to customers, as well as shu…

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Frequently asked questions

Is Covenant Logistics Group (CVLG) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.43 versus a price of $43.09 — about −83% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CVLG?
Our 21-model fair value for Covenant Logistics Group is $7.43 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $43.09.
What is the quality score of CVLG?
Covenant Logistics Group has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.