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Caravel Minerals Ltd (CVV) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Caravel Minerals Ltd stock A$0.09, price A$0.21, that is 56.4% below the price, quality 18 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU000000CVV1

CM Caravel Minerals Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Caravel Minerals Ltd

CVV · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 56% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter +89% vs. a year ago.
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +274.5 %/yr in AUD)
Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Fair value A$0.0894 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 18/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/6)
Narrow moat 21/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$0.4950 A$0.1300 Fair Value A$0.0894 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.1300 – A$0.4950 · fair‑value band A$0.0671 – A$0.1118 · the A$0.2050 price screens above the A$0.0894 fair value. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Caravel Minerals Limited, together with its subsidiaries, explores for mineral tenements in Western Australia. The company explores for copper, gold, silver, and molybdenum deposits. It holds an interest in the 100% owned Caravel Copper project located in Perth, Western Australia.

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The company was formerly known as Silver Swan Group Limited and changed its name to Caravel Minerals Limited in November 2012. Caravel Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.

Stock analysis

Caravel Minerals Ltd (CVV) currently trades at A$0.2050, while our estimate is A$0.0894, 56% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0671 (bear) to A$0.1118 (bull), the price of A$0.2050 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Caravel Minerals Ltd reported revenue of A$346K in FY2025 versus A$180 in FY2021, a compound +562.2%/yr. Reported net income was −A$20.3M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$115M (≈ $78.8M) Micro · P/S ratio 82.1 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0300 · Return on equity −19,428% · Return on assets (EBIT) −116% (5-year average) · Operating margin −927% · Revenue growth (YoY) +89.4% · Free cash flow −A$13.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 21 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at −56%, CVV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0671 Fair Value A$0.0894 Bull A$0.1118
Price A$0.2050 · Downside -56.4%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 18/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 3
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 33
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 8
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 22
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 23
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 32
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 24/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−32.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+274.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +38.6% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−253,451.1% (2020) → −2,320.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CVV screens overvalued: fair value 56% below the price. Compare with Southern Copper Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Copper · 69 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 18 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −56.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −78.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 89.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Copper median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 88.53× · Priciest 25%
PEG 2.63× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 26

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
China Nonferrous Mining Corporation 1258 HK$11.79 HK$13.81 +17% vs CVV
Lundin Mining Corporation LUN C$30.74 C$34.62 +13% vs CVV
MMG Limited 1208 HK$7.01 HK$7.51 +7% vs CVV
Southern Copper Corporation SCCO $170.36 $157.21 −8% vs CVV
Capstone Copper Corp CS C$11.21 C$9.67 −14% vs CVV
Jiangxi Copper Company 600362 ¥32.80 ¥25.86 −21% vs CVV
Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM $21.95 $16.39 −25% vs CVV
Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 ¥4.95 ¥2.16 −56% vs CVV
First Quantum Minerals Ltd FM C$34.16 C$14.80 −57% vs CVV
Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX $60.31 $16.51 −73% vs CVV

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Caravel Minerals Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Caravel Minerals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CVV.AU

Frequently asked questions

Is Caravel Minerals Ltd (CVV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.0894 versus a price of A$0.2050, about 56% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CVV?
Our estimate for Caravel Minerals Ltd is A$0.0894 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2050.
What is the quality score of CVV?
Caravel Minerals Ltd has a Quality Score of 18/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Caravel Minerals Ltd (CVV)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.0894 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0671, optimistic scenario A$0.1118. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Caravel Minerals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.0894, about 56% lower versus a price of A$0.2050 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0671, optimistic scenario A$0.1118. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Caravel Minerals Ltd (CVV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Caravel Minerals Ltd it is A$0.0894 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.2050.
Is Caravel Minerals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, CVV trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.2050, fair value A$0.0894, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CVV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2050); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0894). For Caravel Minerals Ltd the two are A$0.1156 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Caravel Minerals Ltd worth?
The market values Caravel Minerals Ltd at about A$115M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2050; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0894 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CVV?
Our models span a range for Caravel Minerals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0671, base A$0.0894, optimistic A$0.1118 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.2050). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CVV?
The PEG ratio of Caravel Minerals Ltd is 2.63 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 10, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Caravel Minerals Ltd (CVV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Caravel Minerals Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 18/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CVV from its 52-week high?
Caravel Minerals Ltd trades at A$0.2050, about 59% below its 52-week high of A$0.4950 and 11% above the low of A$0.1850 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0894 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Caravel Minerals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Southern Copper Corporation, Freeport-McMoRan Inc, First Quantum Minerals Ltd, Lundin Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Caravel Minerals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.2050, calculated fair value A$0.0894 (−56%), Quality Score 18/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Caravel Minerals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Caravel Minerals Ltd (CVV)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.2050. Our estimate is A$0.0894, about 56% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Caravel Minerals Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.1118). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (18/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Caravel Minerals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Caravel Minerals Ltd (CVV)?
The market capitalisation of Caravel Minerals Ltd is A$115M (≈ $78.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Caravel Minerals Ltd (CVV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Caravel Minerals Ltd is 82.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Caravel Minerals Ltd (CVV)?
Earnings per share at Caravel Minerals Ltd are A$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Caravel Minerals Ltd (CVV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Caravel Minerals Ltd is −19,428% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Caravel Minerals Ltd (CVV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Caravel Minerals Ltd is −116% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Caravel Minerals Ltd (CVV)?
The operating margin of Caravel Minerals Ltd is −927% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Caravel Minerals Ltd (CVV)?
Revenue at Caravel Minerals Ltd is growing +89.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1,806%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Caravel Minerals Ltd (CVV) generate?
The free cash flow of Caravel Minerals Ltd is −A$13.3M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Caravel Minerals Ltd (CVV) hold?
Caravel Minerals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$5.7M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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