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Crimson Wine Group (CWGL) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $88.1M

Price$4.25
Fair Value$0.6300
Upside-85.2%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.4700 – $0.7800

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

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Analysis

Crimson Wine Group (CWGL) currently trades at $4.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6300 — implying the stock looks roughly 85.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Crimson Wine Group, Ltd., through its subsidiaries, produces and sells luxury wines in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Wholesale and Direct to Consumer. It also involved in selling of bulk wines and grapes and other non-wine retail sales, such as merchandise; and provision of custom winemaking, special event, and tasting services. The company sells its products under the Pine Ridge Vineyards, Archery Summit, Chamisal Vineyards, Seghesio Family Vineyards, Double Canyon, Seven Hills Winery, and Malene Wines brands. It offers wines to distributors; directly to consumers through wine club memberships; wineries' tasting rooms; and through its website, third-party websites, direct phone calls, and other online sales. The company was formerly known as Leucadia Cellars, Ltd. and changed its name to Crimson Wine Group, Ltd. in November 2007. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Napa, California.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Crimson Wine Group (CWGL) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6300 versus a price of $4.25 — about −85% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CWGL?
Our 21-model fair value for Crimson Wine Group is $0.6300 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.25.
What is the quality score of CWGL?
Crimson Wine Group has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.