Connexion Mobility Ltd (CXZ) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · AU · Market cap A$15.3M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from A$0.0254 to A$0.0229 (−10.0%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −4.5% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0229). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (A$0.0229 to A$0.0418) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0080 – A$0.0320 · fair‑value band A$0.0229 – A$0.0418 · the A$0.0210 price screens below the A$0.0229 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Connexion Mobility Ltd (CXZ) currently trades at A$0.0210, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0229, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Connexion Mobility Ltd generated revenue of A$11.6M at a net margin of 21.9%. Revenue grew 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.8%. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0229 (bear case) to A$0.0418 (bull case); at A$0.0210, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 9%, CXZ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$0.1100) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Connexion Mobility Ltd develops and commercializes fleet management software for the automotive industry in Australia, the United States, Canada, and Mexico.
Full company description
Connexion Mobility Ltd develops and commercializes fleet management software for the automotive industry in Australia, the United States, Canada, and Mexico. It offers OnTRAC and Connecion platforms, which are software as a service solutions that manage the courtesy transportation program to automotive original equipment manufacturers and related mobility needs. The company was formerly known as Connexion Telematics Ltd and changed its name to Connexion Mobility Ltd in November 2023. Connexion Mobility Ltd is based in Melbourne, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Connexion Mobility Ltd reported revenue of A$7.3M in FY2025 versus A$5.9M in FY2021, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was A$1.6M in FY2025, compounding +24.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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